In Brief
INTERNAL
Imran Khan declares talks with the government are underway
On 30 October, Imran Khan said that dialogue was ongoing between the PTI and the government to come at a solution to the prevailing political crisis in the country. Imran Khan responded to the statement made by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, where he asserted that the government had “snubbed” an offer made by Imran Khan over suggestions of the appointment of the new army chief of Pakistan. The offer was rejected by the government. Further, Imran Khan said that his demand was for new elections and “supremacy of law in letter and spirit.” On the other hand, PML-N leader Khawaja Asif opined that the current government would complete its term and denied any reports of talks with the PTI. He laid criticism to Imran Khan for his judgement of the military establishment in Pakistan and said that he was acting against neutrality in the country. (Mansoor Malik, “Imran claims dialogue on with ‘establishment’,” Dawn, 31 October 2022)

Meanwhile, the Punjab Chief Minister spokesperson made known the precedence of the long march would reach its second phase. The spokesperson said that the long march, according to the plan, will head to Islamabad on 4 November, and the caravan would set out for the city today. Further, the spokesperson added that  Imran Khan would “mobilise citizens” and lead the main caravan going to Gujranwala. The spokesperson also said that the next phase would entail caravans from remote areas of Khyber Pakhtunkwa and Gilgit Baltistan, and would join the march to Islamabad on 2 November. (“Imran Khan's long march 2.0,” Dawn, 31 October 2022)

Female TV reporter dies after being crushed under PTI container
On 30 October, Sadaf Naeem, a journalist for a private news channel died after getting under a container of the Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf, during the long march intending towards Islamabad The journalist’s family spoke of the disaster and said that her death was made known to them through the television. PTI chief Imran Khan said that the “tragic incident” would lead to an immediate halting of the march, and sent his condolences to the family. According to officials, the journalist slipped and fell under Imran Khan’s container. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif expressed his grief and lent financial assistance of PKR 5 million to the family, along with Punjab’s Chief Minister citing the same.(“Female TV reporter crushed under PTI container,” Dawn, 31 October 2022)

UNICEF pushes for escalation of humanitarian assistance for flood victims
On 30 October, the United Nations International Fund for Children in Emergency (UNICEF) Regional Director for South Asia made known that the flood devastation in Pakistan is “massive” and that UNICEF was asking for USD173.5 million to support the country in humanitarian assistance and protect the needs of the victims of the flood. The director said that his visit to Sindh and Balochistan laid bare the damages of the disaster and that water-borne diseases were the main causal effects of the destruction of schools, farmland and everything at large. Further, he added that 84 districts were to face challenges due to disasters, where the total amount of USD173.5 million was disbursed to health, nutrition, emergency preparedness and child protection. He also said that the country is going to face cholera, dengue and malaria outbreaks at the outset of the flood and that the government is at the forefront of rehabilitation. (“UNICEF urges scaling up aid for flood victims,” The Express Tribune, 31 October 2022)

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Jirga denies backing military operations, forming of peace forces, cite “reservations” over acts of terrorism
On 30 October, all of the Malakand division district jirgas of elders and politicians decided that they will “neither form a peace force” nor would they “support any military operation to combat militants. This meeting was called to discuss the acts of terrorism, extortion and lawlessness plaguing Malakand for the past five months. The jirgas decided to elect a “grand Jirga” consisting of members from all districts of Malakand to bring peace a:nd harmony to the region. They also called on the state to investigate the elements that are disrupting the peace in the region and said: “The state should deal with militants with an iron hand.” The meeting was organised by Dir Qaumi Pasoon (DQP) and was attended by political parties, civil society and elders from Swat, Lower Dir, Upper Dir, Malakand, Buner and Chitral, at Chakdara last week. (Haleem Asad, “Jirga refuses to back military operation, form peace force,” Dawn, 31 October 2022)

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Imran Khan won all four NA seats with the victory of the NA-45 constituency by-polls
On 30 October, in the by-polls, Imran Khan defeated other candidates of the National assembly constituency NA-45 Kurram-1. According to unofficial results of all 143 polling stations, Mr Khan rec­e­ived 20,748 votes against 12,718 secured by his close rival Jamil Khan. The turnout remained around 18.4 per cent as voters mostly stayed away from the polling process. With this victory, Mr Khan has won all four National Assembly seats in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, where by-elections were held for filling seats dec­lared vacant after the resignations of the then-incumbent MNAs, belonging to PTI. This seat had fallen vacant with the resignation of ex-MNA Fakhar Zaman Khan. Police, Levies and paramilitary forces were deployed at the polling stations. No untoward incident was reported from any polling station. A total of 198,618 voters, including 111,349 male and 87,269 female voters, exercised their right to vote. (Jawed Hussain, “By-election in Kurram adds another feather to Imran’s cap,” Dawn, 31 October 2022)
 
Low voter turnout of women makes Fafen remind ECP to order re-election
On 30 October, the Free and Fair Election Network (Fafen) said more than 70 polling stations where the number of women voters was below 10 per cent of registered voters during the by-polls held earlier this month, including one station where none of the around 1,350 registered female voters came to vote. The low female turnout went unnoticed, reminding the ECP that it could have ordered re-election under the law. Section 9(1) of the Elections Act 2017 empowers the ECP to void a poll and order a fresh one at all or some polling stations if the overall turnout of women in a constituency remains below 10 per cent of the total votes cast. The ECP is in need to direct the district election commissions (DECs) to conduct special voter education campaigns for women in polling areas that recorded low female turnout in the previous general election or recent local government or by-elections. (Syed Irfan Raza, “Below 10pc women voters’ turnout at 74 polling stations,” Dawn, 31 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
Bilateral naval exercise in the Arabian Sea between Pakistan and UAE
On 31 October, Dawn reported that Pakistan and UAE navies conducted a bilateral exercise titled Nasl Al Bahr-IV that featured advanced naval operations, including a practical demonstration of live weapons firings. Chief of the Naval Staff Admiral Mohammed Amjad Khan Niazi and Head of UAE Naval Training Staff Brig Abdulla Sultan witnessed the exercise in the North Arabian Sea. The fourth edition of Nasl Al Bahr exercises between the two navies was aimed to enhance interoperability, display operational readiness and consolidate bilateral naval relations. The hallmark of the exercise was the live firing by both navies’ surface and aviation platforms. All units successfully engaged targets. (“Pakistan, UAE conduct bilateral naval exercise in Arabian Sea,” Dawn, 31 October 2022)

ECONOMY
Ministry of Finance sends warning of increasing inflation, economic challenges 
On 30 October, the Ministry of Finance in a report,  apprised the rising rate of inflation to be over 21 per cent and warned the country of toughening economic and fiscal challenges. The ministry said that expenditure overruns in the current fiscal year have led the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain in the range of 21-22 per cent and that secure monetary policies of the State Bank of Pakistan have affected the growth of the economy. The report made known that the flood devastations have slowed the growth, saying the government needs to “allocate higher resources” for the rescue and rehabilitation of flood victims. Further, the report mentioned the downturn of the industrial and agriculture sector, with the imbalances in fiscal policies, import compression strategies and other imbalances have led to a decline in growth. The report added that the current account deficit of the country was at USD 2.2 billion, with a 2.6 per cent increase in exports, and a 12.4 per cent contraction in imports. The report also forecasted that the net tax collection of Pakistan stood at PKR1.634 trillion against PKR1.396 trillion in the previous year. (Khaleeq Kiani, “Ministry warns of rising inflation, tough economic conditions ahead,” Dawn, 31 October 2022)

ON CLIMATE CHANGE
Sherry Rehman listed in the group of people shaping the current climate agenda
On 31 October, Dawn reported that Minister for Climate Change Senator Sherry Rehman along with nine other influencers from around the world has been listed in the group of persons to watch during the upcoming Conference of Parties session to be held in Egypt. According to the report published by Climate Home News, a platform that produces content mostly focused on the global climate crisis, “Sherry Rehman, the country’s climate minister, did media rounds to explain the scale of the reconstruction challenge. As the nation chaired a group of 134 developing countries, known as the G77, she would play a key role in driving a push for a new funding stream to respond to climate damages.” (“Sherry among those shaping current climate agenda: report,” Dawn, 31 October 2022)

In Brief
INTERNAL
ISI DG delivered ‘political presser’ and conveniently ignored ‘group of thieves,’ says Imran Khan
On 28 October, Imran Khan while addressing the gathering at the starting point of his ‘Haqeeqi Azadi’ march towards Islamabad criticised the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) director general (DG) for holding a “political presser” and conveniently ignored any reference to the “group of thieves” that got its Rs1.1 trillion theft written off. Further, he warned Lt Gen Nad­eem Anjum that he also held many secrets, however, he was choosing not to say anything for the interests of the country and state institutions. He added, “I am not like the absconder Nawaz Sharif that I will run away to London and then spew venom against the army.” (Mansoor Malik, “Imran begins long march with guns aimed at spy chief,” Dawn, 29 October 2022)

Pakistan requires nearly USD16.3 billion for the aftermath of floods, says report
On 28 October, The Post-Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA), the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank and the United Nations Development Programme (INDP) jointly called for consolidated international support for the rehabilitation of Pakistan’s infrastructure, economy, and institutions, after the devastations of the floods. The PDNA report claimed that “significant international support and private investment will be essential” for a cohesive recovery of the economy and that Pakistan’s resilience would shape the economy’s recovery greatly. The report also stressed on the “inadequacy” of the country’s institutions and the systems related to planning, maintenance and water management. It remarked that the underlying political imbalance and inefficiency were “exacerbating the disaster impacts” and that the estimated total damages were to exceed USD14.9 billion and economic losses were amounting to nearly USD15.2 billion. (Khaleeq Kiani, “Pakistan needs at least $16.3bn for post-flood rehab: report,” Dawn, 29 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Pakhtun leaders from across the country promise not to tolerate terrorists on their land
On 28 October, Pakhtun leaders from across the country gathered in Swat to protest against the surge of terrorism in the region. The leaders pledged that members of their community would not tolerate terrorists on their land. The rally was organised by Swat Olasi Pasoon and Swat Qaumi Jirga in Barikot tehsil to demand ‘durable’ peace in Pakhtun areas, especially the Malakand division. PTM head Manzoor Pashteen said, “All Pakhtuns understand that the state wants Pakhtuns to stay underdeveloped, but they are now united and will snatch their rights from those at the helm,” adding, “All Pakhtuns should forge unity to claim rights. If they don’t, they will continue to be killed and kept underdeveloped.” (Fazal Khaliq, “Pakhtun leaders vow not to tolerate terrorists on their soil,” Dawn, 29 October 2022)

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Anti-Terrorism Court of Hazara gives bail to 80 Tehreek-i-Labbaik workers
On 28 October, the Anti-Terrorism Court of Hazara granted bail to 80 Tehreek-i-Labbaik (TLP) workers that were held for arson attacks, firing, damage to public property, and other offences of terrorism. The judge accepted their bail petition and asked their counsel to produce security bonds as well. The TLP workers were arrested on 16 October, after clashes were reported at the Chamba Bridge entrance from Haripur. The police registered them under criminal cases for carrying weapons of assault and for attacking police personnel. The workers were then sent to Haripur Central Prison by the ATC judge on 20 October, after their physical remand of two days had expired. (“Hazara ATC grants bail to 80 TLP workers,” Dawn, 29 October 2022)

Sindh: MQM-P, PPP and PML-N to get help from the governor to work on an agreement
On 28 October, Governor Kamran Tessori stated that if he is asked by the federal government and his party, he can act as a bridge between MQM and PPP and work on the agreement that the MQM-P, PPP and PML-N had reached during the no-confidence motion against Imran Khan. He said that MQM-P had gifted 100-acre land for a university to the people of Hyderabad and hoped students from all over Sindh would acquire education at the higher seat of learning after its establishment. He said that being the federation’s representative he was supposed to work for creating harmony between all political parties and play his role if some matters went wayward. (“ Sindh governor offers help in implementing MQM-P's accord with PPP, PML-N,” Dawn, 29 October 2022)

ECONOMY 
Record in weekly inflation due to spike in energy and food price
On 28 October, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) the weekly inflation, measured by the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI), posted a record increase of 4.13 per cent for the combined income group on a week-on-week basis for the period ending Oct 27 mainly due to the highest-ever energy and food prices. After rebasing, the SPI recorded the second highest week-on-week increase of 3.68 per cent on 22 September driven by an increase in fuel adjustment prices in the electricity bills of consumers. Soaring vegetable prices due to damage to the standing crops and a massive hike in electricity rates have also contributed to pushing up inflation. The IMF said in its country’s staff report that the average Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation was expected to surge to 20 per cent in the current financial year, while core inflation would also remain elevated due to higher energy prices and the rupee’s decline. (Mubarak Zeb Khan, “Weekly inflation surges to record 4.13pc as energy, food prices spike,” Dawn, 29 October 2022)

ECC approves importing 300, 000 tons of urea
On 28 October, the Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) of the Cabinet granted approval for importing 300,000 tons of urea fertilizer at a cost of 520 USD per metric ton. In a meeting chaired by Federal Minister Ishaq Dar, the ECC approved a proposal of the Ministry of Commerce to suspend the date of implementation of IPO 2022 regarding the import of timber and wood till 31 March 2023. The Ministry of Commerce presented a summary of the suspension of import conditions contained in the Import Policy 2022 with regard to the import of timber and wood. It was informed that the All Pakistan Timber Traders Association (Aptta) had requested an extension in the date of implementation of conditions of the import permit. (“ ECC okays urea, wheat import,” The  News International, 29 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
Saudi Arabia would invest USD10 billion in the country, says PM Shehbaz Sharif 
On 28 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif stated that Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al-Saud would pay a visit to the country in the coming weeks to announce a USD10 billion investment for establishing an oil refinery in Pakistan. Further, PM Shehbaz Sharif raised objections to the previous PTI government for not securing enough opportunities from the Saudi Arabian government, and said that projects were “ignored.” Further, he remarked that the Saudi Development Fund (SDF)’s visit to Pakistan was filled with complaints about “delays in projects” in Pakistan by the previous government. Speaking about the establishment of a hospital that was not completed by the PTI government, the Prime Minister said that he requested the SDF to remain in the country for another two days and sanction the “stalled projects.” He acknowledged the active working of the government for flood relief and said that “hundreds of billions of rupees were being arranged” for the rehabilitation of the country. (Syed Irfan Raza, “$10bn Saudi investment on the cards, says PM,” Dawn, 29 October 2022)

PM Shehbaz Sharif questions the PTI's need to 'ruin relations' with the US
On 28 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif asked Imran Khan about the necessity of “ruining relations” with the United States and remarked that the government was trying to “mend” relations now. PM Shehbaz Sharif said that the mending of these ties was to “co-exist” with the rest of the world, and questioned the integrity of the politics and services of his predecessor. Further, he acknowledged the importance of curbing terrorism and mentioned the imperativeness of the Counter Terrorism agency of the country. (“Pakistan trying to mend ties with US: PM,” The Express Tribune, 29 October 2022)

ON CLIMATE CHANGE
Glacial lake outburst flooding records 300 per cent increase
On 28 October, the Senate Standing Committee on Climate Change was told that Pakistan was witnessed a 300 per cent increase in glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) incidents besides rising sea levels that were threatening cities such as Thatta, Badin and Karachi in just one year. Additionally, the committee discussed issues pertaining to the preparations of the ministry for the 27th Conference of the Parties (COP27) of the UN and the Living Indus Initiative. The committee was informed about the major issues that the Ministry of Climate Change would bring to the table at COP27 in the context of drastic effects of climate change in Pakistan. It was asserted that Pakistan in the last two decades had witnessed 152 extreme climatic events that had led to an increase in food insecurity. (“300pc increase in glacial lake outburst flooding recorded, Senate body told,” Dawn, 29 October 2022)

In Brief
INTERNAL
ISI and Army question PTI in a joint presser
On 27 October, Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) chief Lt Gen Nadeem Ahmed Anjum joined Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) DG Lt Gen Babar Iftikhar held a joint press conference to address the killing of journalist Arshad Sharif and Imran Khan's confrontational narrative against the military. This was the first time in Pakistan’s history the head of the ISI has directly addressed the media.

Controversy over Arshad Sharif’s killing and PTI’s involvement
While speaking to the media, Gen Iftikhar said claimed that Sharif's popularity was based on being an investigative journalist during Imran Khan's cypher reveal was made public in which he alleged that there was a foreign conspiracy to oust his government. He said that the facts behind the cypher and Sharif's death have to be determined.

He also revealed that the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa government on 5 August issued a threat letter on the directives of Chief Minister Mahmood Khan which stated that a TTP splinter group targeting Sharif. He said, "There was reports that he (Sharif) did not want to leave the country but he kept being reminded that he was facing a threat." He concluded by saying, "Kenyan police accepted their mistake and it has to be examined whether this is a case of mistaken identity or one of targeted killing. There are several questions that have to be answered," calling for a "transparent and fair probe."

COAS offered 'lucrative offer' for extension in March
Lt Gen Anjum revealed that in March, Gen Bajwa was given a "lucrative offer" for an extension in his tenure. He said, "It was made in front of me. He rejected it because he wanted the institution to move forward from a controversial role to a constitutional role."

Further, on his public appearance he said, "I am aware that you are surprised by my presence," adding, "As chief of this agency, I cannot remain silent when they are targeted for no reason." He claimed that the nation had given him the responsibility to take secrets to the grave. "But when needed and when necessary, I will bring those facts to light."

Reactions to the presser
Following the press conference, the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa government stated that Chief Minister Mahmood Khan had nothing to do with the issuance of a letter by the counter-terrorism department regarding Arshad Sharif.

Separately, Imran Khan in an interview with 92 News said that if institutions were apolitical what was the purpose of holding a “political presser.” He said, “Either there should be some issue that concerns them, like security, but they held a political press conference so I don’t understand this. Could the defence or interior minister or prime minister not have done this? What was their [the institutions’] job in holding the press conference?” He added that if he started giving answers “it will cause a lot of damage to the country.” (“Army, ISI in unprecedented presser question Arshad Sharif's exit from Pakistan, point to PTI's involvement,” Dawn, 27 October 2022; “‘If institutions apolitical, why hold a press conference’: Imran raises questions on ISPR presser,” Dawn, 28 October 2022; Manzoor Ali, “KP govt claims CM has nothing to do with ‘threat alert’ for Arshad Sharif,” Dawn, 28 October 2022)
 
PTI’s “Haqeeqi Azadi Long March” begins from Lahore
On 28 October, the PTI’s “Haqeeqi Azadi Long March” took off from Liberty Chowk in Lahore. Imram Khan in a video released before the march said, “The purpose of the long march is not any political gains or to topple the government but to make sure that our future is not decided by foreign players.” Meanwhile, the Islamabad police have issued instructions to its officers regarding the code of conduct during the long march which is expected to reach Islamabad on 4 November. According to Dawn, the police officials have been told to avoid firing these shells at protests directly. (“Long march not meant to topple govt: Imran,” Dawn, 28 October 2022; Munawer Azeem, “Islamabad police told not to directly fire teargas shells at long march protesters,” Dawn, 28 October 2022)

Election Coordination Committee sanctions PKR 31 billion to the defense ministry
On 27 October, the Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) of the cabinet approved PKR 31 billion supplementary grant to the defence ministry and cleared an out-of-court settlement with three “non-performing and defaulter” oil and gas companies over 11 exploration and concession blocks to push for new domestic hydrocarbon finds. In a meeting presided over by Finance Minister Ishaq Dar, the committee also approved payment of monthly salaries to the remaining employees of the defunct Pakistan Steel Mills (PSM) throughout the year. The meeting also approved another summary of the commerce ministry seeking an amendment to an ECC’s earlier decision made on 25 July for correcting records, minutes and notification to apply regionally competitive rates of electricity and gas for export sectors. (Khaleeq Kiani, “ECC okays Rs31bn supplementary grant to the defence ministry,” Dawn, 28 October 2022)

Unhealthy lifestyle leads to stunned obese children in Pakistan, says WHO
On 27 October, WHO reported that a large number of children in Pakistan are stunted and severely malnourished while around 6-8 per cent of school-going children below 10 years of age are obese and overweight due to unhealthy lifestyles, unhealthy diet and physical inactivity. Citing the WHO’s global status report on physical activity 2022, Dr Palitha Mahipala said almost 500 million people will develop heart disease, obesity, diabetes or other non-communicable diseases (NCDs) attributable to physical inactivity, between 2020 and 2030, costing 27 billion USD annually if governments don’t take urgent action to encourage more physical activity among their populations. He further claimed that around 50 per cent of women were also either obese or overweight in Pakistan while the remaining were facing issues like malnutrition and called for spending more on lifestyle medicine, health promotion and prevention from diseases.(“ Due to unhealthy lifestyle Pakistani children are stunted, suffer from obesity, overweight: WHO,” Dawn,28 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: All polling stations for NA-45 Kurram declared sensitive
On 28 October, Dawn reported that the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) has announced that the has finished all the arrangements for by-election in the National Assembly’s constituency, NA-45 Kurram. The commission has set up a total of 143 polling stations of which 119 of them have been declared highly sensitive and the rest sensitive. (“All polling stations for Kurram by-election sensitive: ECP,” Dawn, 28 October 2022)

Balochistan: Levies official killed amid open fire on a polio team 
On 27 October, A Levies official was killed when armed men opened fire on a polio team in the Chaman district of Balochistan. Following the incident, officials said, “this act of terrorism will not be spared” and assured that the government is “committed” to providing security to the polio teams engaged in the campaign, with security teams tightening after reported attacks in Pishin as well. (Syed Ali Shah, “Levies official martyred in attack on polio workers,” The Express Tribune, 28 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
Saudi Crown Prince to visit Pakistan, says PM Shehbaz Sharif
On 27 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif stated that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al-Saud would visit Pakistan. This statement comes after PM Shehbaz Sharif concluded a three-day trip to Saudi Arabi during which the two leaders agreed to expand bilateral ties and fraternal bonds. (“Saudi crown prince to visit Pakistan, says PM Shehbaz after trip to kingdom,” Dawn, 28 October 2022)

European Commission denied draft legislation of convention which keeps army chief answerable to violation of human rights
On 27 October, the European Commission (EC) resisted a draft law legislation by the European Parliament related to a convention that holds the army chief accountable for the violation of human rights in any country including Pakistan to secure the new EU GSP Scheme. In order to avail the scheme, the new regulations were prepared by the EC, which had added five new conventions and replaced one that was already ratified by Pakistan. The EU council is considering the proposal, with negotiations underway to put an end to the deliberations by the end of the year. These additional conventions were not ratified by Pakistan, which requires the army chief to appear in court in any case of human rights violations by any EU citizen. Prime Minister Shebhaz Sharif has been trying to lobby this decision down, where he could bring in a “good opportunity for Pakistani exporters to continue tapping the EU market.” (Zafar Bhutta, “EC opposes convention on HR violation,” The Express Tribune, 28 October 2022)
 
JUDICIARY
Trial court order against Sharif family was incorrect, says IHC
On 27 October, the Islamabad High Court virtually cleared former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif in the Avenfield apartments reference, observing that the accountability court order convicting Sharif, his daughter Maryam Nawaz and son-in-law retired Capt Mohammad Safdar was “not correct.” IHC Justice Aamer Farooq and Justice Mohsin Akhtar Kayani issued the detailed verdict on the appeals filed by Maryam Nawaz and her spouse, Capt Safdar, against their conviction. The IHC ruled that “the prosecution has not been able to prove its case” against the duo and the conviction recorded against the appellants was without justification or basis. It declared the accountability court’s decision regarding the conviction of Sharif and his family “not correct.” The IHC bench examined the allegations levelled against Sharif and observed that despite his appeal not being before the bench, his conviction and that of his daughter were interlinked. (Malik Asad, “IHC says trial court order against Sharif family was ‘incorrect’,” Dawn, 28 October 2022)

Government ineffective in pinning down offenders that torture media persons, says Justice Minallah
On 27 October, the Islamabad High Court (IHC) Chief Justice Athar Minallah conveyed his displeasure over the federal government’s failure to figure out the perpetrators of the maltreatment of journalists. Undertaking a petition against human rights violations, Justice Minallah highlighted “grave violations of human rights,” and said that it was “alarming” that the government hasn't been effective in finding out the offenders taking part in criminal acts. Adding that these cases are the “tip of the iceberg”, he also said that the lack of accountability for such violations will continue to remain unchecked and that the government has a constitutional obligation to put an “end to impunity” against the country’s oppressive treatments of its people. Justice Minallah remarked that the federal government will consider the violations based on the report of the commission, and will take appropriate actions. (Malik Asad, “Govt has failed to identify perpetrators of torture on mediapersons: Justice Minallah,” Dawn, 28 October 2022)

Supreme Court Bar Association’s annual elections to be observed with scrutiny amid political instabilities
On 28 October, The Supreme Court Bar Association (SCBA) is holding its annual elections which is proving to be critical in the midst of prevailing political conditions in the country. Major political parties, including the Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf (PTI), are going to keep a close eye on the elections, as the results of these elections might prove to be essential for the future of the state. The SCBA’s elections are being observed by the powerful quarters of the state, with most candidates agreeing on the opinion that high court judges need to be moved onto higher roles based on the seniority principle. (Hasnaat Malik, “Politicians watch closely as SCBA holds polls today,” The Express Tribune, 28 October 2022)

ON CLIMATE CHANGE
Pakistan to plan the case for climate justice at COP 27, says Sherry Rehman
On 27 October, federal Minister for Climate Change, Senator Sherry Rehman said that Pakistan was gearing up to make the case for climate justice at the upcoming multilateral climate forum COP27 in Egypt. In a press conference, she said, “As of now, 1, 731 people have lost their lives and more than 12, 000 are injured in the floods. The government has dispersed PKR 66.6 billion to more than 2.6 million people from the affected populations via Benazir Income Support Programme. The flood has redefined all priorities for us, and it has made climate-induced catastrophes a reality.” She said with the support of other developing countries, Pakistan would seek to put the creation of a Loss and Damage Finance Facility on the agenda. “Pakistan has fought for Loss and Damage to be added to the provisional agenda of COP27. Begging bowl diplomacy must stop and in turn must transform into a funding window, where affected countries can access funds for humanitarian response, rehabilitation, and recovery. She concluded that COP 27 was a multilateral forum and not a donor forum, but it would be the place for broad strategic climate agreements. (“ Pakistan preparing case for climate justice: Sherry,” Dawn, 28 October 2022)

ON CPEC
Execution of ML-1 project to be executed under CPEC 
On 27 October, ahead of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s upcoming visit to China, the Joint Coordination Committee (JCC) of Pakistan and China agreed to execute the much-awaited Mainline-1 (ML-1) project at an estimated cost of 10 billion USD as well as undertaking business-to-business deals under the CPEC. Pakistan will also request for the rollover of deposits and rescheduling of its 27-billion-dollar debt. Pakistan also assured its Chinese counterparts to continue beefing up the security of Chinese working under CPEC projects and in this regard, several initiatives have been taken. Both sides have agreed to expand their cooperation in information technology and it was decided that Chinese companies will establish research centres in Pakistan to explore new avenues in this sector. Both sides have agreed to explore new avenues in the mining sector and it was decided to set up a new working group to explore the sector. (Mehtab Haider, “Pakistan, China agree to execute $10bn ML-1 project,” The News International, 28 October 2022)

ECONOMY
State Bank of Pakistan’s governor assures payment of debt, says there is “no concern”
On 27 October, the governor of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) underestimated the rising global concern of an elevated risk of the country backtracking on its international debt obligations and said that it would pay the maturing debt when its due. He assured that Pakistan would be meeting all its obligations and that “there should be no concern” about the same. The fear of defaulting comes from the surge of Pakistan’s credit default swap (CDS) experienced a 13-year high at 52.8 per cent earlier this week. With investments from global agencies amounting up to USD35 million this year alone, Pakistan is to repay USD1 billion against a maturing debt on December 5 this year. (Salman Siddiqui, “Pakistan will not default: SBP governor,” The Express Tribune, 28 October 2022)

Editorial, Burnt bridges
Dawn, 28 October 2022
Due to the manner in which the establishment repeatedly interfered in political and civilian affairs over decades, the civil-military schism we see today was bound to happen. It is true that the people of Pakistan have always loved their armed forces and will continue to do so, but their love should not be considered unconditional.

‘Historic’ times
The News International, 28 October 2022
What is clear is that the institution is taking the whole state of affairs extremely seriously. These developments come on the eve of Imran Khan’s planned long march to Islamabad, and the somewhat confusing press talk by the PTI’s Faisal Vawda on Wednesday night during which he had said that Arshad Sharif’s murder was plotted in Pakistan, the ‘current establishment’ had no hand in it, and that the long march could lead to ‘blood on the streets.’

Editorial, Unprecedented presser
The Express Tribune, 28 October 2022
In an unprecedented move yesterday, DG ISI Lt Gen Nadeem Ahmed Anjum addressed a press conference and questioned why the army is being dragged into all kinds of controversies. He pointed out at the so-called media trial that is underway against the armed forces in a section of the press and by a particular political party in the backdrop of journalist Arshad Sharif’s killing in Kenya.

Editorial, Gas management
Dawn, 28 October 2022
Line losses are high and theft is rampant in pipeline networks of both the SNGPL and SSGC. The incidence of ‘unaccounted for gas’ is estimated to be close to 18pc due to line losses and theft. The shift to LPG can address this issue too. Unless reforms are implemented, the nation’s gas woes will continue to increase.

Raoof Hasan, Resurrecting the human soul
The News International, 28 October 2022
Starting in Lahore, the freedom march would be on its way to Islamabad on the day this piece appears in the paper, to reach there on November 4. The importance of this march can be easily gauged from the fact that its fate is likely to greatly impact the future of Pakistan.

Dr Pervez Tahir, Do the civilians lack coordination capabilities?
The Express Tribune, 28 October 2022
Pakistan is out of the FATF grey list. It took more than four years to comply with 34 action points. This was not the first time that the country was so listed. The exit will facilitate the badly needed access to the global financial system. Most analyses and the official statements focus on the benefits. How is it that the same donors that thrust upon us numerous regulatory reforms and the resulting set of institutions through various policy loans united behind FATF to force us to do more?

Editorial, Flood affected seniors
The Express Tribune, 28 October 2022
New revelations keep coming in the aftermath of the devastating floods that ravaged major parts of Pakistan and affected millions across the country. A survey recently released by HelpAge International highlighted that 87% of older people in flood-affected areas of Pakistan have a health condition, but only 51% have access to health provisions.

In Brief
INTERNAL
PTI to reach Islamabad with the Azadi march on 4 November
On 26 October, PTI Secretary General Asad Umar said that the PTI’s Azadi March would reach Islamabad on 4 November. He said that the march would depart from Lahore on 29 October and would pass through Muridke, Kamoke, Gujranwala, Daska and Sialkot. Apart from this, the long march would pass through Sambrial, Wazirabad, Gujarat, Lala Musa and Kharian. The PTI senior leader said convoys from all over Pakistan would reach Islamabad on 4 November.

Meanwhile, the federal capital authorities have begun preparations for the PTI’s march to counter the protest along with multiple arrest teams being formed to deal with protesters. Further, over 13,000 police, and paramilitary personnel equipped with teargas, and pepper guns have been deployed across the capital. (Munawer Azeem, “Islamabad braces for another PTI’s long march,” Dawn, 26 October 2022; “Azadi march to reach Islamabad on Nov 4: Asad,” The News International, 26 October 2022)

Kurram DMO issues notice to Imran Khan for allegedly violating the code of conduct
On 26 October, the district monitoring officer of Kurram issued notice to Imran Khan for allegedly violating the code of conduct during the ongoing campaign for by-elections on the National Assembly seat, NA-45. The notice said, “It has come into the notice of the undersigned (DMO) that you, Mr Imran Ahmed Khan Niazi, contesting candidate NA-45 Kurram-I, have solicited and utilised the services/assistance from a public office holder namely Mohammad Iqbal Wazir, the minister for relief, rehabilitation and settlement, during the ongoing campaign activities and electioneering process which is tantamount to violation of para-8 of the code of conduct published by ECP.” The DMO has directed Imran Khan to appear before the office on 27 October. (“Notice issued to Imran for violating poll code of conduct,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

Potential witnesses are implicated by police in Noor Mukadam case, says IHC
On 27 October, the Islamabad High Court division bench was informed by Zahir Jaffer’s counsel that the police had implicated potential witnesses as accused in the Noor Mukadam murder case.IHC division bench comprising Justice Aamer Farooq and Justice Sardar Ejaz Ishaq Khan resumed hearing on the appeal filed against the conviction of Zahir and another appeal filed by Shaukat Mukadam, father of the victim, against the acquittal of Zahir’s parents. The defence council said Zahir Jaffer and the domestic staff were convicted by the trial court and opposed the appeal seeking to convict Zahir’s parents, saying that they were not even present in Islamabad at the time of the murder. According to him, the police nominated the domestic staff and others as “accused” in this case when they may have been produced as potential witnesses. Further hearing in this matter has been adjourned till 9 November. (Malik Asad, “Potential witnesses implicated as ‘accused’ in Noor Mukadam case, court told, Dawn, 27 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Balochistan: Grenade attack on police station kills one police constable
On 26 October, a constable was killed in a grenade attack on a police station in the Dhadar area of the Kachhi district. The grenade attack was carried out by unidentified motorcyclists. The building was damaged in the explosion and windowpanes of nearby houses shattered due to the impact of the blast, though other police officials inside the police station remained safe. Police constable Abid Hussain Solangi, who rece­ived multiple injuries, was being taken to the district hospital in Dhadar when he embraced martyrdom. (Ali Jan Mangi, “Grenade attack on police station claims official’s life in Dhadar,” Dawn, 27 October 2022)

Punjab: CEC holds that no government in Punjab is ready to hold local government elections
On 25 October, the Chief Election Commissioner (CEC) Sikander Sultan Raja made known that governments in Punjab are not willing to hold any local government elections and that the constituencies have been delimited three times already. The CEC asked the Punjab government to provide the Election Commission with the necessary documents and said that “demarcating for the third time” was not a “laughing matter”. Asking for guarantees for elections based on the new law, the CEC also added that EVMs are being used “intentionally” to create problems. (“CEC claims no govt in Punjab willing to conduct LG polls,” Dawn, 25 October 2022)

Sindh: Chief Minister asks for PKR1.3 trillion ADB loan for reconstruction of houses of flood victims
On 26 October, Sind Chief Minister Syed Murad Ali Shah claimed that nearly 1.8 million houses were wrecked during the heavy rains and climate-induced floods across the Sindh province and asked for PKR1.5 trillion for the rebuilding. In a meeting with the Asian Development Bank (ADB), the Chief Minister said that the World Bank had pledged a PKR100 billion loan against a requirement of PKR1.5 trillion for the rehabilitation of flood-affected households and pushed the ADB to meet the shortfall of the finance. Adding that the provincial government established a company to begin the construction of the houses, the CM also said that the people had lost 1.8 million houses in the province. The ADB official said that they committed USD475 million to the federal government, where USD 300 million would be given to the provincial government for the construction of damaged infrastructure. (Tahir Siddiqui, “Sindh CM seeks Rs1.3tr ADB loan to rebuild houses of flood victims,” Dawn, 27 October 2022)

Sindh: Hyderabad to become the hottest city in Pakistan by 2100, with temperatures nearing 32 degrees, says UN
On 26 October, a report released by the UN Climate Change (UNFCCC) said that South Asian states, especially those of India and Pakistan are the most “vulnerable” to climate change, and are experiencing a threat to food security. While mentioning Pakistan’s increasing climatic disasters including floods, the report pointed out that heatwaves will be longer and will occur at a higher frequency in major cities like Karachi. Warning Pakistan of water stress and groundwater withdrawals, the report also mentions the Hindu Kush Himalayan region’s supplies that structure water systems around the major South Asian states. Adding climate-induced changes and heavy rains to global warming changes, the report highlighted average temperature of the Himalayan regions would increase substantially if not restrained through sustainable goals. (Anwar Iqbal, “Hyderabad will be Pakistan’s hottest city by 2100: UN,” Dawn, 27 October 2022)

ON INDIA
PM Shehbaz Sharif urges the world not to “turn a blind eye” to the alleged human rights abuses in Jammu and Kashmir
On 26 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif called on the international community not to “turn a blind eye” to the alleged human rights abuses in Jammu and Kashmir. He said, “The world should not turn a blind eye to Indian human rights abuses in IIOJK, which is a heavily militarised valley. Urge for freedom cannot be suppressed for long.” Further, he said, “Kashmiris’ legendary courage and resilience they have shown in standing up to the Indian occupation forces over the last 75 years.” (“World should not turn blind eye to rights abuses in IIOJK, says PM Shehbaz on Black Day,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
Pakistan and Russia can mutually benefit from enhancing trade cooperation in agriculture, say Russia Delegate
On 26 October, Federal Minister for National Food Security and Research Tariq Bashir Cheema met with a Russian delegation. During the meeting, Prodintorg Representative Yousuf Asif stated that Pakistan and Russia can mutually benefit from enhancing trade cooperation in agriculture. Further, he stated that with Russia being one of the largest global exporters of wheat, Pakistan’s domestic demand can be met under the Government-to-Government (G2G) framework. (Israr Khan, “Moscow can help Pakistan meet wheat demand: official,” The News International, 26 October 2022)

ECONOMY
Pakistan to receive 1.5 billion USD from Asian Development Bank
On 26 October, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) released 1.5 billion USD to Pakistan, facing the daunting task of arranging about 32 billion USD for debt servicing during the current financial year. The State Bank announced that it had received 1.5 billion USD from the ADB “as disbursement of policy based loan for the government of Pakistan. These proceeds have increased the forex reserves of SBP and will be reflected in the reserves for the week ending 28 October 28.” Despite the report about release of ADB funds in the afternoon, the rupee lost 95 paise in the interbank market, closing at Rs220.68.(Shahid Iqbal, “Asian Development Bank releases $1.5bn to Pakistan,” Dawn, 27 October 2022)

Editorial, Long march, again
The News International, 27 October 2022
Do our political actors not worry about such lethal disruptions to the democratic process? What we need most — more than marches and pressers — is for the government and the PTI to sit at the negotiating table instead of having a face-off that can wrap up democracy in the country. Pakistan has seen enough political instability to last us a lifetime. We cannot spend another lifetime trying to battle instability and unnecessary undemocratic interventions.

Editorial, Another march
Dawn, 27 October 2022
The PDM, too, had tried to pressure the PTI government on multiple occasions during the latter’s tenure through marches and protests but was only able to achieve its goal through parliament. Does the PTI expect to rewrite the playbook? Only time will tell if Mr Khan actually has a plan or is just taking a swing in the dark.

Editorial, PTI’s long march
The Express Tribune, 27 October 2022
PTI's much anticipated long march to Islamabad is to begin in Lahore on Friday. Party leaders have been showing off their social media savviness as they attempt to build more support and encourage attendance, and it appears attendance will be high, if not record breaking. But despite substantial motivation among his core supporters and widespread backing as illustrated by his success in recent by-elections.

Editorial, New approach needed
Dawn, 27 October 2022
Ironically, those who are using peaceful means to press for their rights are facing terrorism charges, while the state is ready to negotiate with those who have murdered tens of thousands of Pakistanis. A change in the state’s attitude towards nationalists and other dissenting voices is required.

Editorial, Targeting the protectors
Dawn, 27 October 2022
It is embarrassing and deeply unfortunate that Pakistan has gone many steps backwards after moving forward and making gains. Those responsible for the lapses must be called to task, and the security provided to these teams reviewed.

Maria Ali, Block chain for Pakistan
The News International, 27 October 2022
To make an efficient policy-induced ‘National Blockchain strategy’ –at both the government and sectoral levels – the government needs to engage policymakers, blockchain experts, and public-private stakeholders…Pakistan needs to move towards context-specific and policy-induced adoption of blockchain technologies, not only to initiate dialogue and discussions but also to devise solutions to reap the benefits of blockchain technologies for economic development.

Rimmel Mohydin, A victory for human rights
Dawn, 27 October 2022
The conversation and conversion of the government around torture must be heard by public officials in police stations and prisons. They must all think twice when they mull over their investigative tools. If they do it right, perhaps justice might find her way to Pakistan after all.

Zahid Hussain, Out of the danger zone
Dawn, 27 October 2022
These strenuous and consistent efforts by the state finally got Pakistan off the grey list. But any slackness in the enforcement of anti-terror financing laws or a reversal of anti-terrorism policies could land the country back on the watchlist… Any reversal would be disastrous for national security. The rise of militancy in the last one year is alarming and raises questions about our seriousness in rooting out the menace.

F.S. Aijazuddin, Mother and son
Dawn, 27 October 2022
For the time being, Mr. Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari seems content to be tutored in politics by his sagacious father while playing second fiddle to Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. That he has aspirations to succeed his mother one day as prime minister is embedded in his DNA. She became prime minister first at the age of 35. He is 34 years old.

Muhammad Ali Siddiqi, Pakistan’s image
Dawn, 27 October 2022
As research by a media group shows Islamabad “literally remained under siege for 170 days” between Jan 14, 2013 and Sept 21, 2020 — a period of nearly eight years… No wonder, the overall image of our country is dystopian. The world is wondering what kind of a country it is that cannot protect its capital.

Kamila Hyat, A climate of crime
The News International, 27 October 2022
It is unclear whether any party has the agenda to manage this. In the first place, a way needs to be found to offer jobs to people by setting up major businesses or other infrastructure projects which can give them employment. This has yet to happen. More importantly, we also need to offer greater social welfare than we are able to do at present by bringing in the money to give out not as handouts, but as the right to people who need the protection of the state.

Durdana Najam , Adieu Arshad Sharif
The Express Tribune, 27 October 2022
We may never know who killed Arshad. That is not how Pakistan’s judicial system works. That is not how Pakistan’s investigative and intelligence arms function. That is not why he was killed in the first place. A long list of high-profile murders is awaiting justice. Not to forget that most of these cases went through a threadbare investigation under the supervision of judicial commissions.
 
Editorial, Pak- Saudi reset
The Express Tribune, 27 October 2022
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have reiterated their resolve to graduate their relations to new heights, and agreed to work collectively on issues of regional and international concerns. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, who was on a whirlpool visit to the Kingdom, to iron out the upcoming itinerary of Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammad bin Salman’s visit to Pakistan, took the opportunity to seek renewed investment in Pakistan, and assured that the country is striving to pull out of degeneration through forward-looking policies.

Editorial, Right to breathe
The Express Tribune, October 27, 2022
According to the latest air quality index, the number of polluted particles in the atmosphere of both Karachi and Lahore were recorded at 250 and 233 particulate metres respectively — which comes under the classification of ‘dangerously harmful’ levels. That two major cities of Pakistan rank highest in air pollution is indeed a cause for alarm and should prompt officials to take necessary action.

In Brief
EXTERNAL
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia agree to enhance bilateral ties and fraternal bonds
On 26 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif met with Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al-Saud in Riyadh. During the meeting, the two leaders agreed to upgrade and enhance bilateral ties and fraternal bonds between the two countries to “new heights.” Following the meeting, PM Shehbaz said, “We agreed to upgrade and enhance bilateral ties and fraternal bonds between Pakistan and Saudi Arabia to new heights in line with the requirements of [the] changing world. I told [the crown prince] people of Pakistan are eagerly looking forward to his visit.” (“PM Shehbaz, Saudi crown prince agree to enhance bilateral ties to 'new heights',” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

Pakistan and China sign an agreement to eradicate poverty
On 26 October, The News International reported that Pakistan and China have agreed to sign an MoU on Global Development Initiatives (GDI) in order to combat poverty and explore specific development cooperation projects by using Chinese grants and interest-free and concessional loans. The MoU is expected to be signed during the upcoming visit of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif to China on 2 November. Both sides agree that China and Pakistan are all-weather strategic cooperative partners and iron friends, and their traditional friendship has been firmer with time. Both sides agree that global developments have entered a critical juncture and developing countries are facing serious challenges in achieving the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals. The GDI, proposed by President Xi Jinping, will effectively promote a global development partnership that is united, equal, balanced and inclusive and gives a strong impetus to accelerate the implementation of the 2030 Agenda. (Mehtab Haider, “Pakistan, China to sign MoU to combat poverty,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

Minister of State urges Pakistan to look into energy sector of Kazakstan
On 25 October, Minister of State (Petroleum Division) Mussadik Malik said that Pakistan has to tap into the energy sector of Central Asia to build its gross domestic product (GDP) of 1 per cent growth. While adding that the country has “resolved” to change trade ties with Kazakhstan, the minister added that the petroleum products were majorly dominated by Kazakhstan and that it is “obvious” that collective success is their “connectivity”. Urging progress in their diplomatic relations, Kazakh ambassador Yerzhan Kistafin noted the relevance of Pakistan-Kazakhstan relations, and said that he wanted to “transform dialogue into something tangible.” (Jamal Shahid, “Pakistan needs to tap into energy sector of Kazakhstan: minister,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

INTERNAL
Imran Khan announces long march from Lahore on 28 October
On 25 October, Imran Khan finally announced that his long march on Islamabad would start from Lahore on 28 October. being called “irresponsible” for holding the long march when Pakistan is in deep economic trouble and struggling to recover, Khan reminded his audience how four ‘long marches’ were held during his tenure as PM when the country was suffering from multiple crises. He said, “We will gather at Liberty Chowk at 11 am on 28 October, and set off for Islamabad. “Imran Khan in the press meet explained the rationale of the long march at this time, said that after May 25, the day he held his maiden march after exiting power, “we avoided calling the next phase of march immediately to avoid bloodshed; it would have turned bloody for sure given the kind of repression the government had resorted to. But now, the Friday march is meant for freedom and to decide who is entitled to rule the country.” (Ahmad Fraz Khan, “Imran starts ‘long march’ from Lahore on Friday, Dawn, 26 October 2022)

Election Commission of Pakistan urges Supreme Court to “set aside” orders that “favour” Imran Khan
On 25 October, the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) asked the Supreme Court (SC) to “set aside” different high courts’ orders that lay in favour of PTI leaders, including its chairman Imran Khan, who had objected to contempt notices that were issued by the ECP. Along with six petitions that were pleaded before the SC, the ECP said that the PTI leaders were “avoiding” appearances before the ECP and that high court orders restrained them from taking any adverse action against the leaders. In a previous meeting, the ECP had approached the SC seeking to consolidate the challenges pending before the courts to its contempt notice against the leaders. These challenges, however, have been nullified under the Election Act of 2017, and have granted relief to the PTI leaders. (Nasir Iqbal, “ECP asks SC to set aside orders ‘favouring’ Imran,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

Three-member team constituted to investigate the killing of Arshad Sharif
On 26 October, the body of slain journalist, Arshad Sharif who was killed reportedly at the hands of the Kenyan police on 23 October arrived at Islamabad airport. Footage aired on TV channels showed a large number of people gathered at the Islamabad airport, including members of the media fraternity and politicians. Amid widespread condemnation and condolences, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif announced that a judicial commission would be formed to probe the journalist’s killing. The government has also constituted a three-member team, comprising Federal Investigation Agency (FIA) director Athar Wahid, Intelligence Bureau (IB) deputy director general Omar Shahid Hamid and Lt Col Saad Ahmed of Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), to probe the incident. Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah said that the team would depart for Kenya immediately to ascertain the facts of the case and would submit a report to the ministry. (Naveed Siddiqui, “Arshad Sharif's body arrives in Pakistan,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

HRCP raises concerns over Criminal Laws (Amend­ment) Bill 2022
On 25 October, the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan (HRCP) raised reservation over the passing of the Criminal Laws (Amend­ment) Bill 2022. The commission claimed that while the amendment acknowledges the crime of enforced disappearance and defines this as “unlawful or illegal deprivation of liberty by an agent of the state,” it does not address the need for a new legal architecture extending civilian oversight of these very agents. (“HRCP seeks civilian oversight of state agencies,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

Sufficient urea and DAP available in the country
On 25 October, the national flood response coordination committee chaired by planning minister was informed that sufficient stocks of fertilisers were available for current rabi season. The committee was also informed that wheat seed supply for Rabi crops to the flood-affected farmers was also reviewed in the session and the forum instructed the provincial governments to ensure the establishment of facilitation centres at the tehsil level for the seed supply. (“Sufficient wheat, fertiliser stocks available, NFRCC told,” The Express Tribune, 26 October 2022)
 
PROVINCES
Balochistan: Policeman killed during polio vaccination drive
On 25 October, a policeman was shot dead by unidentified gunmen while guarding a polio vaccination team in Pishin in Balochistan. According to the Pishin Deputy Commissioner, the police have started a search operation in the area to arrest the attackers. This attack comes after a five-day anti-polio campaign began in 426 union councils of 19 districts of Balochistan on 24 October. (Ghalib Nihad, “Policeman killed in gun attack on polio team in Balochistan’s Pishin,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

Sindh: Karachi Circular Railway approved at 44 per cent higher cost
On 25 October, Central Development Working Party (CDWP), in its meeting, referred the KCR project to Executive Committee of the National Economic Council (ECNEC) for approval. Its cost includes a Chinese loan of PKR 263 billion, or USD 1.1 billion, which was 44 per cent higher than the initial estimate, under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) framework. The last government of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) approved the financing structure of the project based on the public-private partnership (PPP) mode. However, the current coalition government has instead decided to take a Chinese loan of USD 1.1 billion to implement the project on the model of the Lahore Orange Metro Line. (Shahbaz Rana, “KCR approved at 44% higher cost,” The Express Tribune, 26 October 2022)

Punjab: Provincial government’s ‘stunt’ of using EVMs slowed down electoral process, says CEC
On 25 October, the Chief Election Commissioner (CEC) remarked that the Punjab government’s plan of action to conduct local government polls through electronic voting machines (EVMs) was a “stunt” that delayed the “electoral exercise.” He said that the government’s actions were “intentional” and that their prerequisites were lacking before they held polls. Additionally, he asked them to provide a letter to the Supreme Court for the delays in the government polls, the government passed the Local Government Bill in 2021 to do away with the middle tier of the local government system. The discrepancy in this structure has urged the CEC to oversee the usage of EVMs becoming a law in the coming weeks. (Iftikhar A. Khan, “Plan to use EVMs ‘stunt’ to delay Punjab LG polls: CEC,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

JUDICIARY
Sindh High Court instructs governments to file comments regarding delayed local government polls
On 25 October, the Sindh High Court (SHC) directed the federal and provincial governments to prepare their plan of action against petitions filed by the Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf (PTI) and Jammat-i-Islami for the adjournment of the second phase of the local government elections in Sindh. Both parties had urged the SHC to review the postponement of the local government polls for the second time. At the outset, the parties argued that the ECP was “deliberately” postponing elections at the “behest” of the Sindh government. The ECP, however, said that the postponement of elections for the third time was made at the “request” of the Sindh government and that they were holding out for adequate security and law enforcement agencies. (“LG polls deferred for third time at Sindh govt’s behest, SHC told,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)
 
ECONOMY
Credit default swap hits 13-year high on ratings downgrades, default worries
On 24 October, Pakistan’s benchmark five-year credit default swap (CDS) increased by 3,071 basis points day-on-day to 52.8 per cent—the highest level since November 2009, according to the data from Arif Habib Limited. The yields on Pakistan’s dollar-denominated bonds continued to rise. This showed that the investors were worried that the nation would miss its obligation to repay credit holders USD 1 billion because the Sukuk is due to mature on 5 December 2022. On a 10-year Eurobond, maturing on April 15, 2024, the yield jumped to 92.93 per cent from 89.58 per cent. The yield on a 10-year Eurobond, maturing on 30 September 2025, increased to 59.07 per cent from 57.63 per cent. Pakistan owes 42 per cent of its debt to multilateral sources, 40 per cent to bilateral creditors, 7 per cent to the global bond market, and 7 per cent to commercial banks, according to analysts. (Erum Zaidi, “Credit default swap hits 13-year high on ratings downgrades, default worries,” The News International, 26 October 2022)

PSX down by 632 points to worries of long march by PTI
On 26 October, the benchmark KSE-100 index lost 632.39 points, or 1.5 per cent, to reach 41,557.64 points at 1117 hours. Head of Research at Intermarket Securities, Raza Jafri, said the index was under pressure because of PTI Chairman Imran Khan’s announcement of beginning a long march to Islamabad on 28 October. He added, however, that the march would not have a lasting impact as long as it did not disrupt the efforts to stabilise the economy and boost foreign exchange reserves. AKY Securities Chief Executive Officer Amin Yousuf also attributed the negative sentiment to Imran’s announcement, saying people were concerned about political instability. According to Yousuf, other factors weighing on the index include low inflows, the pressure on the rupee and rising oil prices in the international market that had led to concerns of an increase in inflation and subsequently, a change in the monetary policy. (Talqeen Zubairi, “Shares plunges 632 points on worries of political instability,” Dawn, 26 October 2022)

Javid Husain, National security
Dawn, 26 October 2022
Pakistan is in dire need of a grand strategy which should bring into a coherent whole the country’s political, economic, military and diplomatic policies based on a sound analysis of the evolving global and regional ground realities. Our failure to do so will pose an existential threat to the country’s security and economic well-being.

Editorial, SC appointments
Dawn, 26 October 2022
There may be a valid argument for the elevation of judges based on merit rather than seniority alone, but it is also important that the criteria for elevation be objective and holistic. The chief justice had previously expressed displeasure over the fact that his nominees had been blocked by other members of the JCP. Would it not be better if any future decisions were to be based on reasoning that others would find difficult to contest?

Editorial, Journalist’s killing
Dawn, 26 October 2022
The fact is that our record when it comes to protecting journalists is far from satisfactory. According to Unesco’s figures, 85 journalists have been killed in Pakistan since 1993, with hardly any of the perpetrators of these crimes being punished. Every threat to journalists must be taken seriously, while those who threaten the media fraternity must face justice to end this climate of impunity.

Editorial, Kenya shooting
The News International, 26 October 2022
The state must own its people and make them feel secure, whether in the country or outside. It is also important to ensure that unnecessary speculation does not harm a grieving family nor place blame without evidence. At the moment, some sense of closure would help the family of Arshad Sharif which needs to know in what circumstances he met those last tragic moments in his life.

Abdul Sattar, The fault is in our priorities
The News International, 26 October 2022
Amidst the political wrangling of our ruling elite, the plight of flood affected people continues to exacerbate…Islamabad complains about the paucity of funds but despite all that from prime minister to Bilawal and speaker national assembly to the chairman senate all are busy making foreign trips, staying in expensive hotels and allegedly squandering public money.

Atta-ur-Rahman, Lifting the quality of education
The News International, 26 October 2022
University education must also foster innovation and entrepreneurship which is sorely missing. University-industry linkages are almost non-existent and technology parks are only a few in number. It is to address these shortcomings that HEC is now working hard under the leadership of its new chairman, Prof Mukhtar Ahmed, so that Pakistan can develop a strong technology-driven knowledge economy.

Lt Gen (Retd) Talat Masood, The change in command
The Express Tribune, 26 October 2022
All eyes are set on December 1 when the new Chief of Army Staff will take over the command from General Qamar Jawad Bajwa. In a normal democratic country, the change of army command is a routine affair and receives limited publicity. But for reasons well known it has great significance for Pakistan. And not surprising has been a subject of discussion in media, by the opposition leadership and the party in power.

Editorial, Need for a judicious probe
The Express Tribune, 26 October 2022
Slain journalist and anchor-person Arshad Sharif awaits justice after death. His mysterious shooting reportedly at the hands of Kenyan Police must be thoroughly investigated under an independent commission of jurists with international repute. The somber analyst, who made a mark for himself through his investigative stories, and one who stood for a judicious society with good governance, was a national hero and was adored by millions of people in Pakistan.

Editorial, Another rape case
The Express Tribune, 26 October 2022
A culture of torture and exploitation is being perpetuated against flood victims who have been rendered homeless and forced to travel to cities to seek refuge…Rape convictions remain alarmingly low at 0.3 per cent. Either the cases remain pending for years on end or perpetrators are acquitted because of the influence of powerful people and loopholes in the relevant legislation. While fierce advocation against rape has led to some important amendments, major reforms are required at a legal as well as at administrative level to efficiently pursue such cases and provide justice to victims.

In Brief
INTERNAL
Imran Khan ‘intentionally and deliberately’ violated Elections Act, says ECP
On 24 October, the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) in its detailed Toshakhana reference verdict stated that Imran Khan “intentionally and deliberately” violated the Elections Act, 2017. The full text of the 36-page order said, “The respondent has intentionally and deliberately violated the provisions contained [in] sections 137 (submission of statement of assets and liabilities), 167 (corrupt practice) and 173 (making or publishing a false statement or declaration) of the Elections Act, 2017, who has made a false statement and incorrect declaration before the commission in the statement of assets and liabilities filed by him for the year 2020-21.” Previously, on 22 October, the ECP disqualified Imran Khan for five years under Article 63(1)(p) for making “false statements and incorrect declaration.”

Meanwhile, the Islamabad High Court (IHC) Chief Justice Athar Minallah ruled that Imran Khan has not been barred from contesting in future elections following the ECP’s verdict in the Toshakhana reference. Justice Minallah said that Imran Khan “won’t face any problems” to contest in the NA-45 (Kurram-I) by-election which is scheduled to be held on 30 October. (Tahir Naseer, “No bar on Imran from contesting election: IHC chief justice,” Dawn, 25 October 2022; Fahad Chaudhry, “Imran ‘intentionally and deliberately’ violated Elections Act, says ECP in detailed Toshakhana verdict,” Dawn, 25 October 2022)

Law minister Azam Nazeer Tarar tenders’ resignation
On 24 October, Azam Nazeer Tarar, the federal law and justice minister tendered his resignation from office due to personal reason. Tarar submitted his resignation to President Dr Arif Alvi late Monday night, stating, "I have the great honour and privilege to serve my country as the federal minister for law and justice under the able leadership of Mian Mohammed Shehbaz Shareef." (Usman Bhatti, “Law minister Azam Nazeer Tarar tenders resignation,” Dawn, 25 October 2022)

Minister acknowledged the services of polio workers on World Polio Day
On 24 October, Minister for National Health Services (NHS) Abdul Qadir Patel while speaking at an event held to mark the World Polio Day with the theme of “A healthier future for mothers and children” stated that polio eradication was the topmost priority of the government. Patel also acknowledged the services of polio workers who carried out vaccination campaign during difficult time saying, “We cannot thank our frontline staff deeply enough for their services to humanity. The women health workers who lead eradication efforts for polio are protecting children in Pakistan and children all over the world from preventable, lifelong paralysis.” (Ikram Junaidi, “Polio workers paid tributes for contributions in difficult times,” Dawn, 25 October 2022)

ON JUDICIARY
Justice Isa urges criticism of individuals and not institutions at Asma Jahangir Conference
On 22 October, Justice Qazi Faez Isa while speaking at the Asma Jahangir Conference urged the public to criticise individuals instead of institutions. He said, “I would only request that you don’t judge us as an institution because there is good in the institution; there is also bad in the institution,” adding that the public are the ones who can judge the judges “individually.” Additionally, he said, “Judge us as judges, condemn me as a judge, do not condemn the Supreme Court.” Further, he claimed that Pakistan needed the judiciary, the executive, the military and more than anything else, it needed to be led by the elected representative of the people claiming, “Pakistan needs democracy.” (“Justice Isa urges criticism of individuals — not institutions,” Dawn, 24 October 2022)

Judicial Commission of Pakistan consentient to promoting IHC Chief Justice to Supreme Court
On 24 October, the Judicial Commission of Pakistan (JCP) laid a unanimous approval to upraise Islamabad High Court (IHC) Chief Justice Athar Minallah to the Supreme Court, along with a diverged nod to two High Court Judges. While dropping one candidate from any further consideration, the strength of the Supreme Court now lies 15 members short to form a full court. Additionally, Justice Minallah’s approval comes as the SC discussed the formulation of criteria for the steady appointment of superior court judges, using a straightforward approach. The rejection of junior judges was called for reconsideration, along with the JCP’s recommendations being taken up for parliamentary approval. (Nasir Iqbal,  JCP okays IHC CJ, two ‘junior’ judges for SC,” Dawn, 25 October 2022)

Lawyers knock back on SC’s decision to upraise junior judges, interdict courts across Sindh
On 24 October, lawyers boycotted judicial proceedings across the city of Sindh in objection to the nomination of junior judges of high courts to the Supreme Court (SC). Pronouncing strikes all over the city’s high court, tribunals, and district courts, lawyers refused to show up to their case proceedings, which led to a massive litigation problem across the city. While the judges remained in the courts to hear the pleas, lawyers spoke in apparent dissent of the SC’s decision to move the junior judges onto the SC, saying that the “principle of seniority” should be considered, and the Sindh Bar Council (SBC) “rejected” these elevations. They also called for “defined” procedures for the elevation of future judges. (Naem Sahoutara, “Lawyers boycott courts across Sindh over move to elevate junior judges to SC,” Dawn, 25 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
Saudi Arabia renews refinery project with Pakistan ahead of PM Sharif’s visit
On 24 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif landed in Riyadh for a two-day visit to Saudi Arabia to attend the Saudi Future Investment Initiative Summit, often referred to as ‘Davos in the Desert’, and hold consultations with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.PM Shehbaz was received by Riyadh Governor Prince Faisal Bin Bandar Bin Abdul Aziz Al Saud at the airport. During his visit, PM Shehbaz would hold consultations with the Saudi crown prince to review the longstanding fraternal relations, with a view to further strengthening the multifaceted cooperation, especially in the economic field. 

Meanwhile, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are to sign a multi-billion-dollar deal for an oil refinery project that had stalled for the past several years. Teams from Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have been engaged in a series of meetings to finalise a commercial deal on the project before Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to Riyadh. (Naveen Siddiqui, “PM Shehbaz lands in Riyadh for two-day visit,” Dawn, 25 October 2022; Zafar Bhutta, “Riyadh renews $10b refinery project,” Dawn, 25 October 2022)

Oxfam recommends Pakistan to utilise G77’s provision for rehabilitation of the flood destruction
On 24 October, a report released by Oxfam urged Pakistan to take advantage of the “Loss and Damage Finance Facility” proposed by the G77 plus China at the Climate Change Conference of the Parties. The report titled “The Cost of Delay” highlighted the necessity of this facility to be utilized by the country, saying if it is “operationalised and adequately resourced”, it would help Pakistan fill “extensive gaps” in its response to the damage caused by the floods. Helping the international community in assisting the situation better, this facility would be financed and funded through grants, and would provide accountability for the support given.  The report also adds that the UN's flood rehabilitation and humanitarian support was nowhere near enough to counter the devastations caused, with the appeal for the floods set up at USD 472.3 million with a mere 19 per cent funded. (Amin Ahmed, “Pakistan urged to avail G77’s facility to face flood disaster,” Dawn, 25 October 2022)
 
ECONOMY
IMF presses Pakistan for higher tax collection by USD three billion to make up for decrease in tax to GDP ratio
On 25 October, The Express Tribune reported that authorities in Pakistan are yet to accept the demand imposed by IMF. The IMF is of the view that due to inflation-induced nearly 25 per cent nominal growth of the economy in the current fiscal year, the tax-to-GDP ratio would fall below the agreed level even if the FBR achieves its annual target of around USD 37.35 billion. At the time of the budget, the government had estimated the size of the GDP at PKR 78 trillion, on the basis of an average inflation rate of 11.5 per cent and an economic growth rate of five per cent. However, due to various administrative measures, rupee devaluation, floods and food supply shocks, the average inflation is now estimated at 23 per cent and the GDP growth rate is around two per cent. After a spike in inflation, the projected size of the GDP for the current fiscal year is estimated at PKR 83 trillion.

The sources said that the IMF has also urged Pakistan to notify an anti-corruption task force, which the government had agreed to in June this year. According to the agreement, by January 2023 Pakistan will publish a comprehensive review of the anti-corruption institutional framework, mainly the National Accountability Bureau (NAB), by a task force with the participation of independent experts with international experience and civil society organisations. (Shahbaz Rana, “IMF presses Pakistan to foist more taxes,” The Express Tribune, 25 October 2022)
 
Pakistan public debt is PKR 49.2 trillion, says Finance Minister Dar
On 24 October, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar said in the national assembly that on 30 June 2022 the domestic debt of the country was PKR 31,000 billion while the external debt amounted to PKR 18,160 billion. Earlier, a report from the finance ministry revealed that the country’s external debt sustainability indicators further worsened in the last fiscal year due to more reliance on short-term foreign loans and exposing the government to risks related to refinancing and rupee depreciation. According to the Annual Debt Review and Public Debt Bulletin for the fiscal year 2021-22, total public debt jumped from PKR 39.9 trillion to PKR 49.2 trillion within a year, an unsustainable increase of PKR 9.3 trillion. PKR 49.2 trillion at June exchange rate is around USD 310 billion, and PKR 49.2 trillion at the current exchange rate is around USD 246 billion. (“Pakistan owes creditors Rs49,200 billion, says Dar,” The Express Tribune, 25 October 2022)

Asian Development Bank signs settlement with Pakistan for USD 1.5 billion
On 24 October, Asian Development Bank (ADB) authenticated an agreement with Pakistan to hand out a USD 1.5 billion loan for “budgetary support” and support for the revitalisation and reconstruction of flood-destructed areas. The loan, given under ADB’s Building Resilience with Active Countercyclical Expenditures (BRACE) Programme, will support the government’s USD 2.3 billion countercyclical development expenditure program which was planned to soften the aftershocks of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. While this loan aims to raise social protection, food security, and help in the employment of people amid the floods, it would be disbursed next week. While adding that financing of this nature would provide “fiscal space” for the government, the ADB said that the package was targeted to help the poorest families of Pakistan. (Khaleeq Kiani, “Accord signed with ADB for $1.5bn loan,” Dawn, 25 October 2022)

ON ENERGY
Hike approved for KE power rates
On 24 October, National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) allowed PKR 12.68 per unit increase in power rates for K-Electric under quarterly tariff adjustment (QTA) for the period, April to June FY2021-22, with a net additional revenue of about PKR 56 billion to the Karachi-based private utility. The permission for lower QTA was granted mainly because of about PKR 19 billion worth of write off amounts on account of unrecoverable bills which the regulator said required further examination and reconciliation of data. (Khaleeq Kiani, “Nepra allows Rs12 per unit hike in KE tariff,” Dawn, 25 October 2022)

Maleeha Lodhi, Compete and contain
Dawn, 25 October 2022
This makes economic decoupling a distant possibility. But the question is whether this can act as a sufficient brake on tensions between the world’s two largest economies and urge them towards what Henry Kissinger calls “co-evolution” even as they engage in intense competition and a high-end tech war.

Editorial, Pointing fingers
Dawn, 25 October 2022
In the past few years, Justice Isa has been a lonely crusader fighting the normalisation of expediency when dealing with violations of the law…The respected justice has shown himself to be a bigger person if he is still willing to excuse the complicity of state institutions in the long-running campaign to smear and punish him for embarrassing the men who consider themselves above any institution or the law. He should not expect the public to be as forgiving.

Dr Naazir Mahmood, Literary losses of Sindh
Dawn, 25 October 2022
Being a cornucopia of ethnic and linguistic diversity, Pakistan presents a rich cultural and literary variety. But somehow if you conduct a survey with university students in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Punjab, there will be little evidence that our youth knows much about Balochistan and Sindh or about their educationists, poets, scholars, and writers.

Shaha Tariq, Women at work
The News International, 25 October 2022
A supportive corporate environment and social infrastructure that allows health and wellbeing as a priority is critical to contribute towards Pakistan’s economic prosperity. A company like S&P Global stands strong with a ‘Women Empowerment-oriented Policy Framework’ and their model can be replicated across the board for enhancing inclusivity and tapping into unexplored talent.

Editorial, Political dilemma
The News International, 25 October 2022
The PTI is confident – and possibly rightly so – that the next elections are theirs to win (or lose) and it won't settle for anything less than the next government. If the democratic system itself is in danger, this would hurt the PTI too in terms of power politics. It is important for Imran Khan to realize that building a narrative against the ECP actually puts the entire election process in doubt.

Muhammad Hamid Zaman, Research on forced displacement
The Express Tribune, 25 October 2022
The UN High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR) puts Pakistan consistently among the first five countries on that list. Pakistan has more or less maintained that position for several decades now. Within the last two decades, a significant number of people have also been forced to flee due to conflict in the northwest. The exact number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) is debated, but conservative estimates put the number to be well above a million.

 Fizza Ali Syed, Rendering climate justice
The Express Tribune, 25 October 2022
The net result of this climate crisis, which has resulted in eight weeks of torrential rains, is nothing short of an apocalyptic — catapulting a nation of 220 million people into a humanitarian crisis, a food crisis, an economic crisis, a health crisis and an education crisis — all in one. With the nation’s climate minister very accurately labelling, it as a “crisis of unimaginable proportions.”

 Editorial, Name and shame?
The Express Tribune, 25 October 2022
Blame-game and mudslinging is an issue in Pakistani society. The nation as a whole is accustomed to pointing a finger at institutions as a whole as it goes on to vent its anger. This literally impacts the collective wisdom of the institution(s), and perhaps that is why we have not been able to build strong institutions.

 Editorial, US-Taliban links and our role
The Express Tribune, 25 October 2022
US officials have recently been downplaying Pakistan’s significance in their country’s interactions with the Afghan Taliban, with a top State Department official dealing with Afghanistan saying Washington does not need any third country to facilitate its engagement with the rulers of Afghanistan.

In Brief
INTERNAL
Imran Khan gets five-year disqualification in Toshakhana reference
On 21 October, the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) disqualified Imran Khan in the Toshakhana reference under Article 63(1)(p) for making “false statements and incorrect declaration.” According to the verdict, Imran Khan had “intentionally and deliberately” violated the provisions contained [in] sections 137, 167 and 173 of the Elections Act, 2017, as he “has made false statement (sic) and incorrect declaration before the Commission in the statement of assets and liabilities filed by him for the year 2020-21.” Hence, he attracts disqualification under Article 63(1)(p) of the Constitution read with sections 137 and 173 of the Elections Act, 2017.

After the ECP’s verdict, Imran Khan could also cease to be the PTI chairman as per an earlier judgement by the Supreme Court which ruled that an individual disqualified under Articles 62 and 63 of the Constitution could not serve as head of a political party.

Meanwhile, PTI workers across Pakistan took to the streets in protests against the ECP’s decision. Although Imran Khan had called for an end to the protests, Faizabad the border between Punjab and Islamabad remained a site of clashes between the PTI workers and police who used tear gas to curb the protests.

PTI’s response
Following the verdict, the PTI stated that the verdict was beyond ECP’s jurisdiction and proved its “lopsidedness.” Meanwhile, PTI Vice Chairman Shah Mahmood Qureshi stated that the ECP verdict “had no value” adding that that Imran Khan would continue to hold the office of party chairman since the commission had no jurisdiction to rule on such matters. Further, he added that the PTI would challenge this decision in the Supreme Court. Similarly, PTI leader Fawad Chaudhry termed the ECP’s ruling as a “slap on the face of 220 million people,” stating, “Today is the beginning of the revolution”.
Meanwhile, Imran Khan in a per-recorded video urged people to “come out” for their rights. He said, “By the time my message reaches you, I might have been put behind the bars in an unfair case,” adding, “It is possible that I might not be able to address you again. I’ve been in the public for 50 years, I have neither flouted the law of Pakistan nor have I violated the Constitution.”

Government’s response
Following the verdict, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif stated that the ECP “has done justice in [the] Toshakhana reference” and urged the PTI members not to take law into their own hands. Meanwhile, foreign minister Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari, stated that this decision was “just the beginning,” predicting that “more such decisions” against Imran Khan were yet to come. Similarly, Maryam Nawaz said, “Pakistan’s first certified liar and certified thief disqualified with irrefutable evidence of theft.” (Syed Irfan Raza, “Govt says decision ‘just the beginning’, PTI puts its faith in courts,” Dawn, 22 October 2022; Fahad Chaudhry, “Imran Khan disqualified in Toshakhana reference,” Dawn, 22 October 2022)

ON FATF
Pakistan removed from the FATF’s grey list
On 21 October, the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) removed Pakistan from a list of countries under “increased monitoring” also known as the “grey list” after a period of four year. While addressing a press conference FATF President Raja Kumar said, “It has two concurrent action plans. After a lot of work by Pakistani authorities, they have largely addressed all of the action plan item,” adding, “As a result of these action plans, Pakistan has made significant improvements to strengthen the effectiveness of this framework for combating terrorism financing.”

Further, in its handout the FATF said, “Pakistan has strengthened the effectiveness of its AML/CFT regime and addressed technical deficiencies to meet the commitments of its action plans regarding strategic deficiencies that the FATF identified in June 2018 and June 2021, the latter of which was completed in advance of the deadlines, encompassing 34 action items in total. (“FATF removes Pakistan from grey list after 4 years,” Dawn, 22 October 2022)

Pakistan Democratic Movement emphasizes determination to conduct general elections in a timely manner
On 21 October, the Pakistan Democratic Movement (PDM) reiterated its purpose to oversee the timely management of the general elections, while welcoming the Election Commission of Pakistan’s (ECP) decision to disqualify PTI chief Imran Khan’s participation in the elections for the next five years. Calling it a “blessed day” and adding that the country “got rid of a big calamity”, the PDM chief said that the coalition parties were aware of Pakistan’s issues and had objected to the former government’s policies from the get-go. Making known his contempt for the PTI’s former policies, the PDM chief also said that they got rid of a “civil strife” and that the current government had “carefully” brought Pakistan out of the grey list of the FATF. He also said that politicians “should compete with each other” in politics and that disqualifications should end. (Khalid Mahmood, “PDM reiterates resolve to hold elections on time,” The Express Tribune, 22 October 2022)

INTERNAL
National Assembly passes bill to criminalize enforced disappearance for the second time
On 21 October, the National Assembly passed a bill seeking to declare enforced disappearances a heinous crime after removing a controversial section which provided for punishment to those filing false complaints. This was the second time that the house was passing the bill. Previously, the bill was drafted by the PTI government after which it was passed in the National Assembly in November 2021. However, the government had to bring it back to the assembly as the Senate had passed it with a few amendments. (Amir Wasim, “NA again passes bill criminalising enforced disappearances,” Dawn, 22 October 2022)

Commission promised to resolve issues faced by Baloch students
On 21 October, the commission constituted to probe resentments of Baloch students promised to inquire deeper into the matter of missing Baloch students. MNA Sardar Akhtar Mengal presided over a meeting in which participants discussed in detail harassment, enforced disappearances and racial profiling of Baloch students at Quaid-i-Azam University and other educational institutions in Pakistan. (Jamal Shahid, “Commission vows to solve problems faced by Baloch students,” Dawn, 22 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Residents of Swat hold another demonstration against the recent wave of terrorism
On 21 October, the residents of Bahrain tehsil gathered in Madyan Bazaar in protest against terrorist activities in the Sawt and called for peace in the region. This was the ninth protest by the people of Swat since the start of terrorist attacks in Swat in August this year. Additionally, the Swat Qaumi Jirga and Swat Olasi Pasoon held the event against the recent surge of terrorism in Swat. (Fazal Khaliq, “Bahrain residents protest recent terror wave in Swat,” Dawn, 22 October 2022)

Punjab: Government to contend against denial of wheat supply in the Supreme Court
On 21 October, Chief Minister Parvez Elahi made known that Punjab would be seeking justice from the Supreme Court due to the denial of wheat supply by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. Mentioning the federal government’s provision of wheat supply has been negligent to Punjab, Elahi said that the Prime Minister was “misquoting” him on the rectification of the issue. Urging the government to intervene with 1 million tonnes of wheat for Punjab, Elahi also lauded Imran Khan’s flagship Ehsaas initiative, saying that his welfare agenda was the “best example of a targeted subsidy”. Chief Minister Elahi announced that the government was “obstructing” the supply of wheat and its lack of support to the flood victims as well. (“Punjab to move SC against denial of wheat supply: CM Parvez Elahi,” Dawn, 22 October 2022)

ON MILITARY
General Bajwa to offer “farewell in arms” in next five weeks, bids farewell to post
On 21 October, Chief of Army Staff General Qamar Bajwa asked for “national coherence” and the prevalence of “rule of law” as he made known retirement in the coming weeks. Announcing his exit earlier this month, General Bajwa said that he would step down from his post by the end of November, and led that the army will continue to persist amid allegations of political interference and hoped that military leadership would “stay out of politics”. Remarking on the military’s “successes” against terrorist activities, he added that peace, stability, and law can only be achieved if the “rule of law and state’s writ” is established. General Bajwa’s exit leads to the speculation that his successor would be considered from the next week, amid political unrest and change in command. (Baqir Sajjad Syed, “Gen Bajwa to bid ‘farewell to arms’ in five weeks,” Dawn, 22 October 2022)

ECONOMY
Weekly inflationary prices see a rise of 0.35 per cent, despite a respite
On 21 October, the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) that measures weekly inflation rose to 0.35 per cent for the week ending on 20 October. Compared to the same period of the previous year, the inflation rate remained constant at 27 per cent, driven by necessary items like onions, tomatoes, diesel, and petrol. Even though short-term inflation has been on the downfall for a while, the prices rose at a steady pace due to the recent surge of food and fuel prices. A World Bank report analyzed that the average consumer index-based inflation in Pakistan would increase to 23 per cent in the current fiscal year, from 12.2 per cent in the previous year, because of increased domestic energy prices, interruptions by the floods, and weaker domestic currency. (Mubarak Zeb Khan, “Weekly inflation edges higher to 0.35pc,” Dawn, 22 October 2022)

Dollar inflow decreases by 30 per cent on YOY quarterly basis
On 21 October, top official sources said while talking to The News International mentioned that despite getting a USD 1.16 billion tranche from the IMF, Pakistan’s dollar inflows in the shape of loans and grants decreased by 30 per cent to USD 2.23 billion in the first quarter (July-September) of the current fiscal year. In the first quarter of last fiscal year, Pakistan obtained USD 1.04 billion through the launch of international bonds and secured commercial loans of USD 457.5 million. However, in this fiscal year, so far, not a single penny could be obtained in these two heads. The foreign currency reserves held by the SBP stood at USD 7.5 billion on 14 October 2022 compared to USD 10.8 billion when the PDM-led government came into power in April 2022. The funding from bilateral donors has gone up as it stands at USD 385.99 million in the first quarter of the current fiscal year against USD 110.4 million disbursed in the same period of the last financial year. Saudi Arabia’s help in the shape of an oil facility on deferred payment provided oil facility worth USD 300 million, China is second as it provided USD 54.93 million in financial assistance in the first months of the current fiscal year. France disbursed USD 4.44 million, Germany USD 0.33 million, Japan USD 0.68 million and the US USD 9.95 million. (“Dollar inflows decrease despite IMF $1.16bn tranche,” The News International, 22 October 2022)

ON JUDICIARY
CJP proposes four names for elevation to SC
On 24 October, the Chief Justice of Pakistan (CJP) summoned a meeting of the Judicial Commission of Pakistan (JCP) to consider the four nominees, IHC CJ Athar Minallah; Lahore High Court judge Justice Shahid Waheed; and two Sindh High Court judges Justice Syed Hasan Azhar Rizvi and Justice Shafi Siddiqui. Since February this year, no SC judge has been appointed. CJP Bandial had summoned a meeting of the JCP on 28 July to consider his five nominees, but a consensus could not evolve among the body’s members. Once again, three senior SHC judges have been overlooked for their elevation to the SC. This has happened for the third time in the last five years. A representative of the Sindh High Court Bar Association (SHCBA) expressed serious concerns over the ignoring of the three senior SHC judges about their appointment to the SC. (Hasnaat Malik, “CJP proposes four names for elevation to SC,” The Express Tribune, 23 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
China and Pakistan to launch three new cooperative corridors, says Ambassador to China
On 21 October, in an interview with China Economic Net Pakistan's Ambassador to China, Moin ul Haque told Pakistan and China have agreed to launch three new corridors, including the China-Pakistan Digital Corridor that would help enhance cooperation in different fields of I.T. He said: “We would be an important source of help for China in terms of software development. So, we are working together to set up training centres in Pakistan for developing software in different fields of IT.” The other two corridors include China-Pakistan Green Corridor (CPGC), which will focus on the agricultural environment, food security and green development, and the China-Pakistan Health Corridor (CPHC), which will help Pakistan get efficiency in the medical field. Former Additional Director General FIA and Founder of Digital Pakistan Ammar Jaffri has said that emerging technologies have now become a lifeline for the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) & targets. (“Pakistan, China to launch three new projects,” The News International, 22 October 2022)

Rise in TTP attacks in Pakistan a major concern: US Special Representative for Afghanistan
On 22 October, The News International reported that in a recent interview US State Department's Special Representative and Deputy Assistant Secretary for Afghanistan Thomas West thanked Pakistan on his country's behalf for hosting Afghan refugees for four decades. He also thanked the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) for facilitating the refugees. West said that he had a two-and-a-half day stay in Pakistan two weeks ago, during which he discussed mutual interests in Afghanistan with the Islamabad authorities. While speaking about the US ties with the Afghan Taliban, the special representative said: "I don't believe that there will be any practical partnership between the US and Taliban," West said. (“Rise in TTP attacks in Pakistan a major concern: Thomas West,” The Express Tribune, 23 October 2022)

ON ENERGY
Excess power generation capacity to aggravate costs for consumers by 2030
On 21 October, a report titled “Pakistan Electricity Outlook 2022” revealed that surplus and expansive power generation capacity would increase prices from PKR 900 billion to PKR 1.6 trillion by 2030. Saying that even though the surplus would sustain the expected time, it would cause a rise from 15 per cent to over 40 per cent over the year, amid a positive growth in projected demand. Adding that the consumers will pay for this excess capacity despite not being used, the report mentioned that the power sector is not looking for “root causes” behind the rising demand and neglecting solutions for the same. (Khalid Hasnain, “Surplus power generation capacity to cost citizens dear by 2030,” Dawn, 22 October 2022)

Ashraf Jehangir Qazi, Imran lbw or not out?
Dawn, 22 October 2022
The youth of the country, more or less across the board, have never given up on him because of their hatred of the incorrigible corruption they see his political opponents indulging in, and which is ravaging their lives. They are aware Imran Khan may not be an angel. But, compared to his rivals, the youth and most probably a considerable majority of the poorer classes do indeed see him as an angel.

Editorial, Imran disqualified
Dawn, 22 October 2022
The political stalemate must be broken unless the parties wish to rule a country broken by an economic crisis and divided bitterly along partisan lines. There will be little left but ashes to rule if things continue in the manner that they have in the past few months.

Jahanzeb Sukhera, Imran’s disqualification
The News International, 22 October 2022
It is likely that either high court would set aside this judgment for being without jurisdiction; however, the real challenge would be at the Supreme Court. This is so since the Supreme Court in several such cases has chosen to convert the proceedings before it into those under Article 184(3), and has then decided the cases on merits, even though technically the disqualifying orders were without jurisdiction. Mr Khan may have to ready the receipts for the final showdown at the Supreme Court.

Editorial, Toshakhana verdict
The News International, 22 October 2022
All eyes will now be on the courts: will the Nawaz precedent haunt Imran? Or will we see a change in jurisprudence? All this cannot be good for Pakistan, even though the merit of the ECP judgment, the question of honesty, dishonesty, and the entire issue of Articles 62 and 63 needs to be considered in greater depth and with greater foresight and thought by parliamentarians and legal experts.

Editorial, Knocked out?
The Express Tribune, 22 October 2022
If Khan goes ahead with his protest march on the capital, there seems to be no returning from the brink. And if the courts intervene to strike a semblance by suspending the ECP order, it could be the only rightly acclaimed relief in a bizarre and option-less scenario. As far as the embattled coalition government is concerned, its strategy to seek Khan’s exit on a knockout basis — after facing repeated rout at polls — is set to be short-lived. The question of legitimacy and legality for any public representative rests with the electorate.

Editorial, Criminalising torture
Dawn, 22 October 2022
The fact is that torture must be replaced with modern, civilised methods of investigation, and those public servants — including personnel from the police, agencies or other law-enforcement bodies — that torture and illegally detain citizens must be held accountable before the law. The task is difficult, but one that must be undertaken.

In Brief
POLITICS
FM Bilawal accuses Imran Khan of “desperately conspiring to get selected” 
On 19 October, Foreign Minister Bhutto-Zardari accused Imran Khan of “desperately conspiring to get selected” again like he allegedly did in the 2018 general elections. However, he stated that this time the people would prevent this attempt by siding with the “true democratic forces” of Pakistan. Further, FM Bilawal claimed that the challenges for the democratic forces were not over, as a “political evil” was busy hatching different designs to put a dent on the democracy and parliamentary system. (Imran Ayub, “Imran desperate to get ‘selected’ again: Bilawal,” Dawn, 20 October 2022)

Ahsan Iqbal asks PTI to file a no-confidence motion instead of going for a long march
On 19 October, Minister for Planning and Development Ahsan Iqbal asked the PTI to file a no-confidence motion instead of going for a long march. He said, “If they have a majority, which they don’t, they should go for a no-confidence.” Further, he ruled out the possibility of having early election stating that elections would be held on time next year. (Kashif Abbasi, “Minister invites PTI to file no-confidence motion against Shehbaz,” Dawn, 20 October 2022)

Prime Minister would meet the same fate as the last two premiers, says JI chief
On 20 October, The Express Tribune reported that Jamat-e-Islami chief Sirajul Haq has said that Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif would meet the same fate as the last two premiers. He said PDM and PTI cannot do politics without the establishment’s support,” adding both groups are playing a dangerous game that has nothing to do with the people. He was of the opinion that the people of Sindh are more affected by the incompetence of the leaders than the floods. (“JI chief foresees PM’s dismissal,” The Express Tribune, 20 October 2022)

INTERNAL
Pakistan witnessed a record 51per cent increase of terrorist attacks since Taliban takeover, says Pips’ Paper Series
On 19 October, Pak Institute of Peace Studies (Pips) in its fifth issue of Pips’ Paper Series fifth issue of Pips’ Paper Series revealed that Pakistan witnessed a record 51per cent  increase in the number of terrorist attacks in a single year after the Taliban came to power in Afghanistan in August. According to the data, as many as 433 people were killed and 719 injured in 250 attacks in Pakistan between 15 August 2021, and 14 August 2022. (Iftikhar A. Khan, “Terror attacks in Pakistan surge by 51pc after Afghan Taliban victory,” Dawn, 20 October 2022)

Violence against women crossed 60,000 over last three years
On 19 October, representatives of the Ministry of Human Rights informed the National Assembly that 63,367 cases of violence against women were registered in the country during the last three years. 11,160 rape/gang rape cases were registered in the country during the last few years, ministry officials informed the National Assembly. Minister for Human Rights Riaz Hussain pointed out that rights violations were reported/registered with federal and provincial police departments, in terms of criminal offenses. Accordingly, the action was taken by them against persons involved in such cases.  Riaz Hussain said the government was committed to ensuring the promotion and protection of women’s rights as envisaged under the Constitution as well as international commitments by adopting all possible measures. (Jamal Shahid, “Over 60,000 cases of violence against women registered in last three years, NA told,” Dawn, 20 October 2022)

Federal Investigation Agency continues inquiry in prohibited funding case
On 19 October, Justice Amir Farooq of the Islamabad High Court (IHC) has led the Federal Investigation Agency (FIA) to proceed with its inquiry as per law in the prohibited funding case against the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI). Remarking that cases like these “come to courts” and that once it hands out a decision, it is accused, saying, “Governments come and go but institutions are here to stay”. The court adjourned the hearing of the case till 27 October. (“FIA directed to continue inquiry in prohibited funding case,” The Express Tribune, 20 October 2022)

JUDICIARY
Supreme Court questions the exclusion of armed forces under NAB law
On 19 October, the Supreme Court challenged the exclusion of armed forces from the scope of NAB law and questioned why the PTI had not raised complaints in its petition demanding amendments to the National Accountability Ordinance (NAO) of 1999. The Reply stated that the armed forces were protected under the NAB law and not individuals who were previously members of any agency under the federal government, PTI counsel Khwaja Harris added that cases pertaining to the misuse of authority had been excluded from the offences under amendments made to the NAO 1999. Saying it benefitted a “specific class”, Harris also questioned the “two standards” of the Court, and the “retrospective effect” of the cases being present in the SC. (“FIA directed to continue inquiry in prohibited funding case,” The Express Tribune, 20 October 2022)

PROVINCES

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Government has nothing to do with the negotiations with TTP, says Special Assistant to Chief Minister 

On 19 October, Special Assistant to Chief Minister on Information Barrister Mohammad Ali Saif said that the government had nothing to do with the negotiations with TTP. He further said he was a representative of the state of Pakistan in the negotiations, facilitated by the Afghan Taliban government. The talks were held with TTP within the jurisdiction of the Constitution and law of the land. However, he said that both parties were yet to reach any decision. He said that negotiations with TTP were held to curb the menace of terrorism in the country. (Faisal Khaliq, “KP govt distances itself from talks with Taliban,” Dawn, 20 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
The US to go ahead with the F-16 sustainment program
On 20 October, The News International reported that the United States will go ahead with its plan to provide USD 450 million F-16 sustainment package to Pakistan as the 30-day notice period lapsed without any objection from the US Senate. Out of 100 Senators, not a single lawmaker raised any objection to the proposed deal during the mandatory 30-day notice period. The Trump administration had blocked military assistance to Pakistan by blaming the country for providing safe havens to the Afghan Taliban and Haqqani Network. (“$450m F-16 package: US Congress raises no objection during sale review period,” The News International, 20 October 2022)

Finance minister assures Pakistan will be back in business after meeting all international obligations
On 19 October, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar said that he did not get any discouragement from Washington over possible cheaper oil imports from Russia and reassured the Pakistani markets would meet all international obligations without default. He also reiterated that the greenback’s value would fall below Rs200 and inflation would also come down in a few weeks. The minister said there were serious challenges the country had been facing but the government had rescued it from default although it had to give a very high political cost. (Khaleeq Kiani, “Ishaq Dar reassures market of timely repayments,” Dawn, 20 October 2022)

Japan allocates USD 172 million in loans to Pakistan
On 19 October, Pakistan signed a debt service suspension agreement with the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) to postpone the payment of USD 172 million in loans under the G-20 Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI). The amount was initially supposed to be recompensed between July and December 2021, and now will be repaid over a span of six years, including a one-year grace period, stretching over semi-annual instalments. The Economic Affairs Ministry said that the G-20 DSSI has laid out the fiscal space necessary to support the urgent economic and public health emergencies in Pakistan. (“Japan rolls over $172m loan,” The Express Tribune, 20 October 2022)

ON CPEC
Pakistan to seek billions in funds to expand CPEC
On 19 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif chaired a meeting to evaluate and finalise the agenda for his first visit to Beijing, which is scheduled for 1 November. Pakistan aims to seek a multibillion-dollar funding window from China to finance 10,000 megawatts of solar-powered electricity generation programmes, and a tripartite agreement between China, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia to establish an oil refinery in Gwadar. Adding that they want to get at least USD 2 billion in “Chinese financing”, the request will depend on the outcome of the solar power bids’, and will open a line of credit for the Chinese companies to invest in projects. Pakistan is also looking to sign a framework of a strategic cooperation agreement on the production of semiconductors with China. (Shahbaz Rana, “Billions needed to expand CPEC,” The Express Tribune, 20 October 2022)

ECONOMY
CAD reduces by 37.4 per cent on a year-on-year basis in the first quarter
On 19 October, data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) showed that the current account deficit for the first quarter of 2022-23 clocked in at USD 2.2 billion, down 37.4 per cent from a year ago. According to Arif Habib Ltd, the primary reason for the decline in the deficit is a 19 per cent reduction in the country’s total imports. However, total exports and remittances also dropped 4 per cent and 12 per cent, respectively, over the same period. (“CAD hits lowest level since April ’21,” Dawn, 20 October 2022)

 
Editorial, The importance of devolution
The News International, 20 October 2022
Urban centres do need better than this from the Sindh government. Local government elections should be about bringing power back to the people, something which will require defying the machinations of provincial governments. It is no wonder then that territorial provincial governments have been dilly-dallying over devolution for so long.

Ali Tauqeer Sheikh, Climate justice at home
Dawn, 20 October 2022
Pakistani courts have defined the anchors of climate justice for Pakistani citizens. These can inform government policies, plans and financial allocations to strengthen climate justice. Taking up the global cause is important, but not sufficient, unless we begin delivering climate justice at home.

Shahid Mehmood, How not to turn to ‘welfare’
Dawn, 20 October 2022
There is absolutely no need for the cabinet to approve price increases be­­­cause it makes the issue political. Also, can the press please stop sensationalising this issue? Human life is priceless and there’s no need to cause a commotion over a few rupees’ increase that can save lives.

F.S. Aijazuddin, The chosen one
Dawn, 20 October 2022
Today, we have elected narcissists without the looks and without a lake. Our government is an uneasy composite of a number of coalition partners. If only the PML-Q and the PTI could lower the wings of humility and think above themselves, they would realise this is the closest we will ever get to a national government.

Editorial, Questionable acquittal
Dawn, 20 October 2022
These loopholes in the legal system need to be plugged lest more rich and powerful convicts walk away free by ‘buying justice’ in the name of compromise or forgiveness…Pakistan’s criminal justice system needs to seriously address the lacunae that allow influential convicts to get away even after committing the most heinous of crimes.

Dr Zia Ullah Ranjah, Reforms for justice : Part - I
The News International, 20 October 2022
Bar councils must also regulate bar politics to ensure that politics does not prevail on the primary role of the bar councils – regulation of the legal profession. The judiciary, government and civil society should stress on the role of the bar councils vis-a-vis training and accountability of lawyers.

Editorial, Reforms in power sector
Dawn, 20 October 2022
The eyewash of ‘drastic’ measures approved by the federal cabinet in the name of power-sector ‘reforms’ underscores how deeply ad hocism is rooted in Pakistani officialdom… This kind of thinking has only aggravated existing issues, burdening Pakistani consumers with inflated bills and regular blackouts at the cost of big losses to the economy and industrial competitiveness in the international markets.

Imran Jan, How would the most dangerous nation look like?
The Express Tribune,20 October 2022
Pakistan bends backward to appease America and in return, America insults and humiliates Pakistan. Pakistan allowed Raymond Davis to escape to safety and then the US violated Pakistan’s sovereignty in its hunt for Bin Laden. The very route where Pakistan allowed US and Nato convoys to enter Afghanistan for much-needed supplies for the occupying army becomes the site of the Salala attack where young Pakistani soldiers were killed in the US firing.
 
Durr-E-Shahwar Siddiqui, Pharmaceutical downfall
The Express Tribune, 20 October 2022
Pakistan needs updated policies, upgraded standards and advanced surveillance mechanisms, along with a firm financial support by the government, for production, provision and storage of quality medications in affordable prices throughout the year.
 
Durdana Najam, Pasteurised milk essential to attain SDGs
The Express Tribune, 20October 2022
The last few years have been a test for Pakistan. First, Covid-19 pushed a large segment into acute poverty. Later, the Ukraine war, domestic political mandarins, and unprecedented floods further pushed up the poverty curve. If this was not enough, there is no political will to improve the situation.

Editorial, Elections delayed
The Express Tribune,20 October 2022
Already three months behind schedule, the second phase of local bodies elections in Sindh has been delayed yet again after the Election Commission of Pakistan accepted the provincial government’s request to push elections by another three months, citing security issues and the federal government’s refusal to provide additional law enforcement personnel.

Editorial, Nukes are secure
The Express Tribune, 20 October 2022
 Pakistan Army’s top brass too huddled to draft a minute sheet and expressed its unflinching support to the nuclear program by reiterating that it is in safest hands and secure. It is universally agreed that the command and control structure of Pakistan’s nuclear program is foolproof, and professionally manned with a set of international safeguards. Thus, commenting on its coherence or slip-side is unwarranted, and would be seen as an exercise in futility.

In Brief
POLITICS
National Assembly passes nine and introduction of six bills despite adequate quorum
On 18 October, the National Assembly passed nine bills and introduced six bills, as Deputy Speaker Zahid Akram Durrani continued the proceedings of the house on the first private member’s day of the present session despite the lacking quorum. The house took up over 100 agenda items, out of 114, during the two-hour-long proceedings. (Amin Ahmed, “NA takes up heavy legislative business without quorum,” Dawn, 19 October 2022)

Prime Minister assures MQM-P’s reparation of grievances, says concerns will be addressed
On 18 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif promised that MQM-P’s skepticism would be addressed, following an objection against the PPP for the violation of its agreement with the party and protesting against the shortfall of its promises. Seeking an intervention from the Prime Minister, the MQM-P threatened to quit the coalition government if their complaints were not resolved. The delegation added that it has become “difficult to face our voters and the public,” and that there is no “justification” for them to remain in the government. (“PM promises MQMP redress of grievances,” The International News, 19 October 2022)

INTERNAL
Government's petition against Imran Khan is to be considered by Supreme Court
On 19 October, Dawn reported that a five-judge Supreme Court bench headed by CJP Umar Ata Bandial is expected to take up on 20 October the federal government’s contempt of court petition against Imran Khan as well as another plea seeking a restraining order against him from creating a perceived law and order situation through a long march on D-Chowk. Despite these assurances, the PTI top leadership, by acting in blatant disregard for the court directions, exhorted its supporters to reach D-Chowk, falsely professing that the court had allowed the march without any conditions.(“ SC may take up govt’s plea against Imran tomorrow,” Dawn, 19 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Balochistan: 43 per cent of crops and vegetables destroyed in floods, says UN Report
On 18 October, the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA) in a report stated that the monsoon rains and flooding have damaged 117,400 acres or 43 per cent of crops and vegetables and around 35,000 acres or 30 per cent of orchards in Balochistan. The report was prepared by the Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) of Balochistan, in collaboration with UN agencies. (Amin Ahmed, “Floods damaged 43pc crops, 30pc orchards in Balochistan: UN report,” Dawn, 19 October 2022)

Balochistan: Counter Terrorism Department accused of killing three missing persons in a “fake encounter”
On 18 October, Voice for Baloch Missing Persons (VBMP) chairman Nasrullah Baloch accused the Balochistan Counter Terrorism Department (CTD) of killing three missing persons in a “fake encounter” in Kharan. According to Nasrullah, the persons killed were picked up from Quetta on 28 September and 6 October. He said, “The issue of these two missing persons was also raised through VBMP’s platform and the concerned authorities were informed.” (Ghalib Nihad, “Balochistan CTD accused of killing 3 missing persons in ‘fake encounter’,” Dawn, 19 October 2022)

Balochistan: President Alvi files Reko Diq reference in SC
On 17 October, President Arif Alvi on behalf of the federal government sought an opinion from the apex court regarding the contract with Barrick Gold Corporation. In July 2022, Barrick Gold Corporation had asked the government to get the Reko Diq gold and copper deal stamped by parliament and the Supreme Court for the long-term sustainability of the company’s investment in the project. The government sought opinions on two questions. First, is the deal with the complainant company, Tethyan Copper Company Pakistan (Private) Limited (TCC), compliant with the apex court’s earlier judgment in the Maulvi Abdul Haq case? Second, is the proposed Investment Protection Act compliant with the Constitution? In developing the project, nearly USD 10 billion will be invested in Balochistan, including USD 1 billion for social uplift projects, roads, schools, hospitals and the creation of technical training institutes for mining. The investment will create over 8,000 new jobs. (“President Alvi files Reko Diq reference in SC,” The Express Tribune, 19 October 2022)

Sindh: Karachi LG polls get postponed for the third time
On 18 October, the ECP decided to postpone the local government elections in Karachi for the third time, owing to the non-availability of the required number of security forces for static duty during the poll. The chief secretary and IGP Sindh had requested that since the police force was insufficient, the static duty should be assigned to the Pakistan Army and Rangers at the polling stations. On 14 October, the chief secretary of Sindh requested the Election Commission that most of the polling stations in Karachi Division are either very sensitive or sensitive. In a meeting called to discuss the by-poll, the Election Commission has no option but to postpone the local body’s elections in Karachi for the time being as peaceful conduct of elections and protection of voters was its top priority. (Mumtaz Alvi, “ECP postpones LG polls in Karachi again,” The News International, 19 October 2022)

Sindh: Jamaat-e-Islami questions CEC's inability and autonomy in failure to conduct elections
On 18 October, while speaking at a press conference at his party's Karachi headquarter, Jamaat-e-Islami Karachi Ameer, Engr Hafiz Naeemur Rehman, explained that under Article 220 of the Constitution, the ECP reserves the right to use the army, FC, police or any other institution to hold elections anywhere in the country. He said: “If the chief election commissioner, Sikandar Sultan Raja, continues to ask institutions, instead of issuing orders to them, then it means either he is unable to exercise his powers or he is unaware of his constitutional powers, therefore, he should quit his job." The press conference was called after the Election Commission of Pakistan's announcement to postpone the local government elections for the third time in Karachi. Rehman further said that days before the LG elections in Karachi, the CEC became a facilitator of the PPP government in Sindh, the party that doesn't want to devolve powers to local governments. (“JI asks CEC to quit if can’t exercise constitutional powers,” The Express Tribune, 19 October 2022)

ON CLIMATE CHANGE
Climate financing issue of Pakistan will be taken up to COP27, says Sherry Rehman
On 18 October, the Pakistan climate change council chaired by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said the government would be raising the loss and damage agenda at COP 27. Climate Minister Sherry Rehman said, “The COP27 must capitalize the adaptation fund and introduce agility and speed in countries that need to build resilience.” Ms. Rehman further said that the gap was actually in the undertaking of responsibility by the rich countries that not only did not fulfill their pledges but also provided compensation for carbon-intensive lifestyles and investments that continued to increase emissions. (Jamal Shahid, “Pakistan to take up climate financing issue at COP27, says minister,” Dawn, 19 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
Pakistan exhibits open support to Saudi Arabia
On 18 October, Pakistan demonstrated transparent solidarity with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s decision and OPEC’s ruling to cut oil production. The Foreign Ministry said that Pakistan “expresses solidarity with the leadership” of Saudi Arabia, amidst the US President Joe Biden asking  OPEC+ to halt the ruling by a month, to avert price increases in the US. While adding that Saudi Arabia had “coerced” smaller countries of OPEC into this decision, Biden has threatened a “consequence” to this decision as well. Pakistan, however, came out in support of Saudi Arabia and said that they “appreciate” the concerns of Saudi Arabia for “avoiding market volatility” and ensuing global stabilisation. They also mentioned Saudi Arabia’s efforts of a “constructive approach” to these issues and lauded its long-withstanding relations. (Mariana Baabar, “Pakistan expresses solidarity with Saudi Arabia,” The International News, 19 October 2022)

ECONOMY
Imports of oil and food increased to USD 7.58 billion
On 18 October, the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics said Pakistan’s oil and eatables imports grew 9.06 per cent to USD 7.58 billion in the first quarter of the current fiscal year from USD 6.95billion a year ago. The oil import bill increased by over 5.94 per cent to USD 4.86 billion in July-September from USD 4.59 billion over the corresponding months of last year. Further breakup showed that the import of petroleum products went up by 9.79 per cent in value. Crude oil imports rose by 7.98 per cent in value during the period under review while those of liquefied natural gas declined by 5.35 per cent in value. Liquefied petroleum gas imports jumped by 10.69 per cent in value in FY23. (Mubarak Zeb Khan, “Imports of petroleum, food rise to $7.5bn,” Dawn, 19 October 2022)
 
Federal Board of Revenue restricts Pakistan Railways accounts, retrieves PKR 60 million
On 19 October, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) halted the bank accounts of Pakistan Railways (PR) and recouped PKR 60 million because of non-payment of its dues. The PR approached the court for a restrainment and secured a stay, resulting in the restoration of its accounts. The FBR refused to return the recovered amount, stating that In 2007, the PR defaulted PKR 60 million of the FBR. The PR claimed that they have provided the required evidence that supports their payment, but the FBI added that they were “unwilling” to accept this evidence. (Bilal Ghauri, “FBR freezes PR accounts, recovers Rs60mn,” The International News, 19 October 2022)

MILITARY
Pakistan Army reaffirms security of strategic assets
On 18 October, Chief of Army Staff (COAS) General Qamar Javed Bajwa expressed confidence in Pakistan’s nuclear command and control structure and the security of the country’s strategic assets, at the Corps Commanders Conference. Mentioning Pakistan’s responsibility as a nuclear weapons state, the COAS said that the country has taken “all measures necessary” to strengthen nuclear security. He also mentioned that he was confident of US and Pakistan’s commitment to their agreement and that US’ interests lie in a “secure and prosperous” Pakistan. Clarifying that Pakistan’s nuclear programme was targeted at reserving national strategic objectives, and maintaining the balance of power, the cabinet said that its command control was under a “sound” system. (Muhammad Anis, Pakistan’s strategic assets secure: Army,” The International News, 19 October 2022)

ON ENERGY
Cabinet approves expansion of AMI among other power sector measures
On 18 October, the federal cabinet approved drastic measures, including the installation of advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) and low-cost solar energy projects, to overhaul the existing electricity generation and distribution system. The AMI is an old project worth USD 900 million, out of which USD 400 million was disbursed by Asian Development Bank (ADB) extended to Pakistan in 2015 for installing AMI in LESCO and IESCO to reduce electricity theft and improve recovery through accurate billing. A meeting of the cabinet presided over by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, also approved steps to complete the ongoing census exercise, provide seeds to farmers for the wheat crop in collaboration with provinces, besides appointments in power distribution companies (Discos), and action against corrupt officials. (Syed Irfan Raza, “Cabinet okays plan to overhaul power sector,” Dawn, 19 October 2022)

ON GILGIT-BALTISTAN
CM’s plea against PM’s orders returned
On 18 October, Supreme Court Registrar's office refused to entertain the Gilgit-Baltistan (GB) chief minister's petition challenging the appointment of a judge as well as the extension is given to three judges of the region’s chief court by the Pakistan government. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif gave an extension to three judges of the G-B Chief Court on 16 September following a summary moved by Governor GB Syed Mahdi Shah. However, the summary was initiated without consulting the chief minister. SC Registrar's office has returned the petition by raising seven objections. (Hasnaat Malik, “G-B CM’s plea against PM’s orders returned,” The Express Tribune, 19 October 2022)

In Brief
POLITICS
Imran Khan admits to backchannel negotiations; Opposition rejects PTI’s calls for scheduling early elections
On 17 October, Imran Khan while speaking at a press conference said, “Negotiations, what should I say… [t]hey are happening and not happening. Whatever little we have done over backchannels, there is no clarity as yet.” Further, he said, “I know why that clarity is not there, because Nawaz Sharif is afraid of elections. Unless he decides, elections will not take place. He is afraid that if all parties ganged up couldn’t defeat [me], if elections are held they will lose. He wants to drag this on, no matter if the country goes to the dogs,” adding, “He [Nawaz] wants that if this can be dragged on, PTI’s wave can be quelled. The wave is rising, but he wants the wave to go down. Until then, he is not concerned about what happens to the country.” Meanwhile, Imran Khan stated that he was giving the government more time to finalise the date for the elections, warning that he would not delay his long march beyond October.

The government in response rejected this demand for early elections and state that the government would “not allow any mob to impose a decision [related to the elections] on the basis of force.” Additionally, they also rejected any ‘behind-the-curtain parlays’ with the PTI. (Muhammad Saleh Zaafir, “No behind-the-curtain talks with PTI: ruling alliance,” The News International, 18 October 2022; “Coalition parties reject Imran Khan's warning, say govt to decide on elections,” The News International, 18 October 2022; Ikram Junaidi, “Buoyed by poll success, Imran admits ‘backchannel’ is open,” Dawn, 18 October 2022) 

INTERNAL
Former Finance Minister rages against the elite, calls Pakistan “intolerant”
On 18 October, Former finance minister Miftah Ismail spoke on Pakistan’s “belligerently uneducated” state and commented on the country’s elite leaving no realm for reforms. Speaking at Habib University, he mentioned the institute’s benefactors and added that generational families of Pakistan have created a deficient social mobility in the country. Questioning the incessant issues of the country, he referred to the decadent problem of low literacy, terrorism and circular debt plaguing the country. Answering a query about Pakistan’s reparations for climate change, he remarked that there was “minimal” likelihood for it to occur. Adding that “Pakistan isn’t a well-liked country,” he also advocated for minimal military intervention. (Kazim Alam, “Miftah rails against rent-seekers,” Dawn, 18 October 2022)

ECC to review allocating funds for next population census
On 17 October, coalition government decided to review a decision to hold next general elections on the basis of a new population census by withholding PKR 5 billion budget for the headcount but sanctioned PKR 17 billion to finance schemes under Sustainable Development Goals Achievement Programme (SAP). The decision marks a departure from the previous cabinet’s conclusion that it had instructed for holding the next general elections on the basis of a new census. Sindh had serious reservations on the results of the last population census The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) was making preparations for holding the census next year. The present assembly will complete its term in August next year and elections will have to be conducted within three months of the end of the assembly’s term. During the first quarter, no money was spent on the SDGs and it is now expected that half of the budgetary allocation will be released and spent in the second quarter, according to the sources. The spending is aimed at boosting the popularity of ruling alliance ahead of the general elections. (Shahbaz Rana, “ECC holds up funds for next population census,” The Express Tribune, 18 October 2022)

NFRCC places damage report by flood in parliament
On 17 October, the National Flood Response Coordination Centre (NFRCC) announced that a joint survey of damages caused by the catastrophe has been completed in 46 districts of Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. A meeting of the NFRCC was held with Federal Minister for Planning and Development Ahsan Iqbal in the chair. He informed the National Assembly that Pakistan had suffered USD 32 billion losses in the recent floods, according to initial estimates. The survey is still ongoing in 22 districts of Sindh, six of Balochistan, 13 of KP, and two districts of Punjab. It was informed that the number of teams conducting the survey was to be increased so that the exercise could be completed as early as possible. Officials while giving a briefing on water disposal measures from flood-prone areas informed the meeting about the inflow and outflow of water in rivers and dams. (Muhammad Anis, “Pakistan suffered $32bn flood losses, NA informed,” The News International, 18 October 2022; “Flood damage survey complete in 46 districts of Balochistan, KP,” Dawn, 18 October 2022)
 
PROVINCES
Sindh: PTI leader alleges rigging in Malir
On 17 October, PTI leader Ali Zaidi accused the SSP-Malir and returning officer (RO) of NA-237 of “supervising” rigging in the by-election and vowed to take up complaints against them at every legal forum. he alleged Malir SSP Irfan Bahadur was given the task by former president Asif Ali Zardari to encroach land in the district, and labelled him as ‘new Rao Anwar’. He referred to ‘evidence’ which proved open rigging by PPP workers led by MPA Saleem Baloch and the party’s district president Salman Murad Baloch, who were backed by district police. He called the ECP a silent spectator while the ruling PPP used government machinery to win the NA-237 seat.(Imran Ayub, “PTI accuses SSP, RO of rigging in Malir by-poll,” Dawn, 18 October 2022)

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: TLP maintain Abbottabad police killed 10 workers in confrontation
On 18 October, the Tehreek-i-Labbaik (TLP) contended that the Abbottabad police has killed 10 of its workers and wounded hundreds during a skirmish at the main bridge of Chamba village in Abbottabad district which borders Haripur district. With the police denying deaths, 33 officials were allegedly injured by the TLP workers. Following a ban on processions, the TLP chief mentioned its marchers were attempting to remove shipping containers placed on the bridge, where the police tried to “disperse” them and fired at them. Alleging that the police tried to subject the workers to “severe torture” and they behaved “sagaciously”, the TLP workers were nearly 30,000 in number and were met with 1,600 personnel of riot police. (Muhammad Sadaqat, “TLP claims Abbottabad police killed 10 workers in clash,” Dawn, 18 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
Finance Minister Ishaq Dar up for buying fuel from Russia, but on ‘India rate’
On 18 October, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar announced that Pakistan is ready to buy fuel from Russia, but at the rate it was giving it to India. Speaking to the media during an official visit to the US, Dar wished that the West would not have any objection to the import of concessionary fuel due to Pakistan’s financial hardships. Saying that the government selected saving the state instead of their politics, Dar also mentioned the nuclear programme of Pakistan is spearheaded by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, and is acknowledged by the US authorities. Mentioning a conference involving the UNDP, ADB and World Bank, Dar spoke of the financial losses amounting to USD32.40 billion and made a robust appeal to the international community to help Pakistan. (“Ready to buy fuel from Russia on ‘India rate’: Dar,” The International News, 18 October 2022)

Pakistan has the ability to keep nuclear assets safe, says US State Department spokesperson 
On 18 October, Dawn reported that the US State Department spokesperson Vedant Patel told journalists in Washington shortly after a meeting between Ambassador Masood Khan and Counsellor Derek Chollet that it is confident of Pakistan’s ability to keep its nuclear assets safe and secure, dismissing speculations stirred by President Joe Biden’s off-the-cuff remarks about the country’s nuclear program. Chollet said in a tweet that he met Ambassador Khan “to discuss US-Pakistan long-standing partnership and to further grow our ties in so many areas including health, agriculture, education, entrepreneurship, energy and more for the benefit of our peoples and the region”. The counsellor’s tweet forced the Pakistan embassy to acknowledge the meeting in a press release that not only borrowed Chollet’s statement but also included contents from the daily news briefing. (Anwar Iqbal, “US ‘confident’ Pakistan’s nuclear assets are secure,” Dawn, 18 October 2022)

ON INDUS WATERS
World Bank  restarts the legal process to solve the Indo-Pak water dispute under Indus Water Treaty
On 17 October, World Bank announced the beginning of two parallel legal processes to address Pakistan’s concerns over two hydropower projects on the western rivers by India after six years. India and Pakistan had opted for two separate processes, neutral expert and court of arbitration respectively as there was a lack of consensus on the preferred approach to solving the water dispute around the construction of two dams, Kishanganga (Jhelum river) and Ratle (Chenab river) hydroelectric power plants. The two countries disagree on whether the technical design features of these two hydroelectric plants contravene the Treaty. Pakistan asked the World Bank to facilitate the establishment of a Court of Arbitration to consider its concerns about the designs of the two hydroelectric power projects, while India asked for the appointment of a Neutral Expert to consider similar concerns over the two projects. (Shahbaz Rana, “WB steps in to mediate Indo-Pak water dispute,” The Express Tribune, 18 October 2022)

Editorial, Imran’s victory
Dawn, 18 October 2022
Lastly, even though Mr Khan has touted his victory as a ‘referendum’ on the question of early elections, it is unclear what he hopes to achieve with the stunt. The government seems to be in no mood to accede to his demands, and Mr Khan has gained little leverage to realistically force its hand.
 
Arifa Noor, By-election blues
Dawn, 18 October 2022
The PML-N’s anticipation that time will improve its chances is based more on hope than any real strategy, while the establishment’s strategy is unclear to all. These elections have simply underlined the need for an early election. Parliament will continue to be incomplete while the beleaguered PML-N-led government can either make difficult economic decisions or win the election. The two goals do not overlap.
 
Mosharraf Zaidi, Imran Khan’s big win
The News International, 18 October 2022
Like always however, these threats will continue to be buried under a news cycle in which it is Imran Khan first, Imran Khan second, and Imran Khan third. If Khan and the PTI are indeed as confident as they say they are about this momentum and its longevity, someone in the PTI should be preparing to deal with these questions and these threats.
 
Editorial, PTI power show
The News International, 18 October 2022
At the moment, though, there is very little that seems to be able to stop Imran's winning streak. If the PDM parties haven't woken up to a fact already, they should: Imran has reached the kind of populism they can only dream of. And their ineffectual way of countering this has till now only boomeranged right back at them.
 
Dr Niaz Murtaza, Ten paths forward
Dawn, 18 October 2022
Despite many economic and political crises, it remains unbent. This review doesn’t show a miracle short-cut to fix it, but that there isn’t one. So we must stop chasing futile novel ideas; instead, we must push for better strategies by supporting new grassroots leftist parties which alone offer fair and durable progress and are the tenth and the best path. But progress may be slow given autocracy’s bad legacies.
 
Abuzar Salman Khan Niazi, Colonial legacy
Dawn, 18 October 2022
In modern democracies, singing from the same songbook is not a yardstick of patriotism: people are free to show their disagreement in their own way. The words used in such thoughts can be harsh, but that does not render them seditious. Section 124-A has long passed its expiry date; this provision is a silhouette of the colonial empire that should not see the light of day in a free and democratic Pakistan.
 
Editorial, Reviving Nacta
The News International, 18 October 2022
Originally, Nacta was conceived as a clearinghouse for intelligence from all the different civilian and intelligence agencies. This has not been put into practice because of various reasons. Raw intelligence on its own is rarely useful…This requires trust. Militancy is a threat so potent that the only way to defeat it is by presenting a united front. Nacta needs to become that united front.
 
Raza Muhamad , BRI leads through GDI and GSI
The Express Tribune, 18 October 2022
 China’s rise, by means of economy over past three decades, has overawed the West. China was integrated into ‘laissez faire system’ by USA to wean it away from erstwhile USSR. Chinese leadership, starting with Deng Xiaoping, adopted the concept of socialism with Chinese characteristics. It essentially meant shift from command economy to the market economy, having a strong political control inside the country. It helped China grow at an amazing speed.
 
Shahid Najam, Sovereignty or servitude: nation at the crossroads
The Express Tribune, 18 October 2022
 Pakistan stands at a critical juncture. Political uncertainty, economic instability, soaring inflation and rising societal despair seem to pervasively afflict the country with no respite or hope of upturn on the immediate horizon.
 
Dr Muhammad Imran, Why is it difficult to sell climate change story of our flood?
The Express Tribune, 18 October 2022
 UN Secretary General António Guterres, US President Joe Biden, Angelina Jolie, as well as the Pakistan government are linking the Pakistani flood with climate change. But it is so difficult to sell the climate change story of the Pakistani flood to people in the Western world. Why?

In Brief
INTERNAL
Not ready to accept preconditions for negotiations, says Rana Sanaullah
On 16 October, Rana Sanaulah said that the ruling government is not willing to accept pre-conditions for carrying out negotiations with the opposing PTI. The PTI demanded the government would have to share a general election date for commencing a dialogue process. Saying that the government wouldn't “budge” to pressure, Sanaullah said that change is brought through the vote and that Imran Khan’s march would be met with greater resistance. Discerning that the PTI would not be the only party to change the ruling government with force, the minister also said that he maintained the election code amidst claims of him violating the guidelines. (“No preconditions for talks, Rana Sanaullah tells PTI,” Dawn, 17 October 2022) 

Election Commission of Pakistan discards PTI’s claims of rigging by-elections
On 16 October, ECP rejected PTI allegations of rigging the by-elections which were held for eight seats of the National Assembly and three seats of the provincial assembly. Saying that the elections were held according to the voter list of 2018, the ECP disregarded the claims by calling them “ridiculous” and questioned the credibility of their claims, adding that they are “based on lies and lack of awareness”.  (Syed Irfan Raza, “ECP rejects PTI’s allegations of rigging,” Dawn, 17 October 2022)

PTI reclaims six National Assembly seats, adds two in Punjab
On 16 October, the PTI recaptured six of eight National Assembly seats along with two more in the Punjab Assembly in the by-polls, as mentioned by unconfirmed and unofficial results. Reports of clashes between PTI and ANP workers, and amidst politicians urging people to vote, on the polling process, with PTI winning in bulk. Despite losing two seats, the secretary general mentioned that the result was  “another chance” for decision-makers and that the “nation’s will” will prevail. The ECP, however, saw misconduct commence at NA-237’s polling station, with the PTI being blamed for the rigging, along with violations of ECP’s guidelines. The by-elections were held for three seats in each of the national and provincial assemblies. (“By-polls: PTI recaptures 6 NA seats and adds 2 more in Punjab, according to unconfirmed and unofficial results,” Dawn, 17 October) 

On world food day PM calls for joint steps to ensure food security
On 16 October, PM shared a message through his official account on twitter for collective steps to ensure food security which can tackle increase in poverty and hunger in the world. The tweet said: ““Due to climate-induced natural disasters and because of rising prices in the international market, there is a risk of further shortage of already-scarce nutritional food at the international level.” (“PM calls for joint steps to ensure food security,” The News International, 17 October 2022)
 
Pakistan calls for a new security paradigm at UNGA
On 17 October, The Express Tribune reported on the speech given by the Pakistani delegation during United Nations General Assembly’s First Committee, which deals with disarmament and international security matters. He mentioned that political and military tensions, strategic asymmetries and nuclear dangers are growing and the global arms control order, particularly in the nuclear realm, presents a “precarious picture”. Pakistan has called for rebuilding a more enduring and equitable international security architecture, as the build-up of strategic arms escalates. He said: “Military capabilities are assuming a force multiplier character due to growing weaponization and integration across nuclear, outer space, cyber, conventional and AI (Artificial Intelligence) domains.” A handful of states seemed determined to perpetuate the status quo to their continued strategic advantage, he added. The Pakistani envoy said that nuclear weapons and their delivery systems no longer existed in isolation, and the need for rebuilding a more enduring and equitable international security architecture was obvious. Proposals for Negative Security Assurances (NSAs) have been on the Conference on Disarmament (CD) agenda for the longest duration, he said. (“Nuclear arms: Pakistan calls for new security paradigm,” The Express Tribune, 17 October 2022)
 
PROVINCES
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Swat Jirga promises to protect the ‘hard-earned peace’
On 15 October, a Jirga attended by tribal elders, senior government officials and elected representatives promised to protect the ‘hard-earned peace in Malakand division at all costs.’ During the meeting, the members also discussed the security situation in Swat and other districts of the division and the measures taken to ensure peace and stability. Meanwhile, the civil society activists and youth rejected the Jirga claiming that it lacked true representation of Swat people. (“Swat jirga vows to protect peace,” Dawn, 17 October 2022)

Balochistan: Splinji operation kills five ‘terrorists’
On 16 October, during an intelligence-based operation in Splinji in Mastung District, nearly five suspected terrorists were killed and three security personnel were injured. A spokesperson claimed that the terrorists were planning to “attack pilgrims and security forces”, and that a loaded consignment of arms and ammunition were seized during the operation. The exchange between the two continued for hours, with firing and explosions lasting until late at night. (“Five ‘terrorists’ killed in Splinji operation,” Dawn, 17 October 2022)
 
ON FATF
The possibility of Pakistan exiting the ‘grey list’ status to be discussed in the upcoming FATF plenary session
On 17 October, Dawn reported that the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) is scheduled to meet on 20-21 October. During the meeting, the much-awaited decision of whether Pakistan would remain or exit the ‘increased monitoring list’ or ‘grey list’ would be up for discussion. Previously, a 15-member joint delegation of the FATF and the Asia Pacific Group made an onsite visit to Pakistan from 29 August to 2 September to verify the country’s compliance with the 34-point action plan committed with the FATF. Currently, Pakistan has been on the FATF’s grey list for almost 52 months. (Khaleeq Kiani, “Pakistan likely to exit FATF ‘grey list’ this week,” Dawn, 17 October 2022)

ECONOMY
Dar urges multilateral donors to assure Pakistan of their support
On 16 October, Ishaq Dar while addressing a meeting of Menap (the Middle East North Africa Afghanistan, and Pakistan) ministers of finance and central bank governors urged the IMF and multilateral donors to provide greater policy support to Pakistan. International financial institutions have assured Pakistan of their full support in the wake of the devastating floods in the country, as he calls for greater policy support from the multilateral donors.He further asked the IMF to tailor its response to the situation in Pakistan and similar countries by taking into consideration the serious economic social and political challenges they face amid climate-induced calamities. (Mehtab Haider, “Dar seeks IMF, donors’ greater policy support for Pakistan,” The News International, 17 October 2022; Anwar Iqbal, “Govt has enough time to stage comeback: Dar,” The  News International, 17 October 2022; “Multilateral donors assure Pakistan of support,” The Express Tribune, 17 October 2022)

Trade deals to be signed among the Central Asian states
On 17 October, The News International reported that Pakistan has adopted a diversified modus operandi to improve its export outlook and initiated the ‘Look Central Asian States policy’ to capture more markets. Federal Commerce Minister Naveed Qamar in an interview stated, “After inking a preferential trade agreement (PTA) with Uzbekistan, trade agreements with Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan are also on cards.” Also “Look Africa policy” adopted in the previous tenure will continue as it has started giving dividends to Pakistan in terms of making inroads into the vast markets of African countries. The minister said that Kazakhstan is a rich country and a trade agreement with it will benefit Pakistan. (Khalid Mustafa, “Pakistan gears up for more trade deals with Central Asian states,” The News International, 17 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
US Ambassador should be expelled, says JI chief
 On 16 October, Jamaat-e-Islami chief Sirajul Haq demanded that the government announce the expulsion of the American ambassador until his country apologized for President Joe Biden’s anti-Pakistan statement. He said, “What I think is maybe one of the most dangerous nations in the world: Pakistan. Nuclear weapons without any cohesion.” Incensed by the off-the-cuff remarks at a most critical moment in the patchy relations between the Cold War friends, Islamabad had summoned the US ambassador for an explanation. In a separate statement, the Prime Minister’s Office said Pakistan rejected the US President’s remarks, which were “factually incorrect and misleading”. (“JI demands expulsion of US ambassador,” The Express Tribune, 17 October 2022)

Maleeha Lodhi, The trouble with technology
Dawn, 17 October 2022
There is no move by big powers for any dialogue on cyber and AI arms control. If the global internet can’t be regulated and giant, unaccountable social media companies continue to rake in excessive profits, there is even less prospect of mitigating the destabilising effects of cyber and AI-enabled military capabilities.

Editorial, Trading on goodwill
The News International, 17 October 2022
Our foreign debt is the price we pay for development. We are not seeking any relief from any of our lenders beyond what they have offered to do on their own. We are working to fix our economy and we will continue to follow that path. We are starting reconstruction shortly to rehabilitate the millions rendered homeless. Now comes the hard part – walking the talk, especially the final two points.

Khalid Bhatti, The people have spoken for peace
The News International, 17 October 2022
It is the responsibility of the state to maintain law and order and to provide protection and peaceful living. The KP government needs to take a clear position on this sensitive issue. The government shouldn’t appear apologetic and the state must act to maintain peace and protect its people.

Editorial, Acknowledging the inevitable
Dawn, 17 October 2022
The citizens of KP, many of whom suffered through the worst of the ‘war on terror’, saw the writing on the wall long ago. But the government seemed to be in denial mode, pinning its hopes on talks with the TTP that were doomed to fail…While the focus is on the resurgent terrorism in KP and its tribal districts, the fact is militants of every stripe have become more active all across the country.

Mashal Arbab, Swat in protest
The News International, 17 October 2022
If ensuring access to education for girls in Swat and the KP region by containing militancy and beefing up security doesn’t strike a chord with the state, our hope of faring well on global gender indices will remain a distant dream and gender equality will remain a myth for future generations.

Muhammad Amir Rana, Militancy in Sindh
Dawn, 17 October 2022
The security institutions have limited options to deal with a faceless militant group, but they can focus more on breaking the nexuses with external factors, including like-minded militant movements in Balochistan. At the moment, the tactics of the Sindhi militants are not sophisticated, and vigilant policing can help minimise their terrorist potential.

Hafiz Muhammad Usman Rana, Ratings and risks
The News International, 17 October 2022
Historically, flexible exchange rates have been used as shock absorbers. However, flexible exchange rates may not provide complete protection from external shocks, mainly when financial markets are not functioning smoothly. As a result, the government should employ a combination of instruments, such as currency market intervention, macroprudential, and capital flow management policies.

Editorial, Dar’s divergence
Dawn, 17 October 2022
The statements of the two Bretton Woods officials clearly indicate their subtle disapproval of Mr Dar’s divergence from the agreed terms of the programme. If Pakistan is to progress, we will have to implement a prudent fiscal policy and implement politically tough structural and governance reforms. That is the only option on the table, at least for now.

Umair Javed, Maintaining perspective on class
Dawn, 17 October 2022
A large segment of what is wrong in this country can be traced to the actions of the upper classes — business and landed elites who monopolise advantages through the political system… Ultimately, this dysfunctional system is held in place by those with the power to change it, but who choose not to do so. Keeping this fact in mind would bring considerable nuance to any discussion of the Pakistani middle class.

 Kamran Yousaf, Dissecting Biden’s statement
The Express Tribune, 17 October 2022
What I think is maybe one of the most dangerous nations in the world: Pakistan. Nuclear weapons without any cohesion. ‘These were the words of US President Joe Biden last week. This was only the second statement Biden made about Pakistan since becoming President. He recently mentioned Pakistan at the United Nations General Assembly session in the context of recent floods.

Shahid Javed Burki, Women’s situation in two hotspots
The Express Tribune, 17 October 2022
Women’s situation in different parts of the world depends on where they reside. Cultural mores, society preferences and increasingly the interpreted role of religion determine how society treats their women. Even though they were given the right to vote, their representation in the legislatures for the countries in which they live remains low.

Abbas Moosvi, Identity politics and its discontents
The Express Tribune, 17 October 2022
Progressives, not just in Pakistan but around the world, face a critical juncture: in which they must collectively decide what their strategic orientation towards politics is going to be. As things stand, the ‘Left’ is characterized by excessive factionalism and a myopic, one-upmanship approach that leaves it stretched too thin – chasing moving targets, too many of which represent mere symptoms rather than the underlying societal disease.

In Brief
INTERNAL
Defence Minister assails Imran Khan for undermining COAS appointment
On 14 October, while talking to journalist Minister for Defence Khwaja Muhammad Asif explained that   Imran Khan’s all clamoring was about the appointment of the army chief, and he was unleashing personal attacks on the head of the army for the sake of point scoring and political mileage. Asif said Imran Khan did not like the institution and its officers to follow the Constitution and act as neutral. The defense minister said that the Swat situation clearly showed the failure of the Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa government, which was responsible for the protection of the life and properties of people. The provincial government was responsible for taking action against any anti-state and anti-people elements. Referring to PTI’s criticism of acquittal of PMLN leaders, Asif said that the court issued its ruling on merit. (“Imran’s clamour related to army chief’s appointment: Asif,” The News International, 15 October 2022)

By-polls on 8 NA seats and 3 PA seats to be conducted tomorrow
On 15 October, Business Recorder reported that a decisive contest is to be expected as the actual outcome may definitively determine the efficacy of Chairman Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaaf Imran Khan’s narrative, post the success of the 9 April ‘vote of no confidence’, over that of the 11-party Pakistan Democratic Movement (PDM). All NA seats were vacated by the PTI and Imran Khan is contesting seven of the eight NA bye-elections . The by-polls will be held for NA-24 (Charsadda-II), NA-31 (Peshawar-V), NA-22 (Mardan-III), NA-108 (Faisalabad-VIII), NA-157 (Multan-IV), NA-118 (Nankana Sahib-II), NA-237 (Malir-II), NA-239 (Korangi-I), PP-139 (Sheikhupura-V), PP-241 (Bahawalnagar-V) and PP-209 (Khanewal-VII). (Ali Hussain, “By-polls to 8 NA, 3 Punjab PA seats tomorrow: PTI’s prospects still bright?,” Business Recorder, 15 October 2022)

World Bank estimates loss over the worst floods of Pakistan in the round table conference held in Washington
On 14 October, a high-level round table meeting on 'Pakistan's Floods: Impact and Response' was held in Washington. Major bilateral and multilateral development partners and donors attended the round table discussion. Initial findings of Pakistan's post-disaster need assessment jointly prepared by the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, UNDP, EU, and the government of Pakistan were presented at the meeting. In his concluding remarks, Dar emphasized the need to provide adequate support to Pakistan to meet the challenges of recovery and rehabilitation. The World Bank-led Post Damage and Need Assessment exercise has initially estimated the cost of flood damages and direct losses as over USD 32 billion has been reported.(Shahbaz Rana, “Worst floods since independence caused over $32 billion losses, WB initial estimates,” The Express Tribune, 15 October 2022; Round table on Pakistan floods' impact, response held in Washington,” The Express Tribune, 15 October 2022)

SC explains defections as a threat to a democratic system
 On 14 October, the Supreme Court said that defections are an attack on integrity. As per details, the majority members of a five-judge bench announced its detailed judgment on Article 63A of the Constitution. The 95-page judgment stated there can be no “healthy” operation of, and among, the parties in the external aspect of defections are not thwarted and defeated. It maintained that the defector’s proscribed vote seeks to disturb, and materially and adversely alter, the balance among the political parties, which must necessarily be maintained if they are to compete and vie for political power in the manner contemplated by Article 17(2). The judgment said if the vote is disregarded then it is a huge deterrent to, and disincentive against, even trying to induce or seek or engineer the casting of the vote in defiance. (Terrance J Sigamony, “SC explains what actually constitutes threat to democratic system,” The Business Recorder, 15 October 2022)

Anti-terrorism system to be revitalized by NSC
On 14 October, the National Security Committee (NSC) has decided to revitalize the anti-terrorism system at the federal and provincial levels besides forming the Apex Committee and activating Anti-Terrorism Agency (NACTA). The meeting of the NSC presided over by Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif and attended by the federal ministers, service chiefs, heads of intelligence agencies, and other senior officials, reviewed the overall law and order situation in the country in detail. The NSC has also decided to revitalize the anti-terrorism system at the federal and provincial levels. The meeting decided that while reviewing it, measures should be identified so that the system can be developed on more efficient lines. The system will also perform monitoring functions to ensure continuous improvement. (“NSC decides to revitalise anti-terrorism system,” The Business Recorder, 15 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Terrorist attack have killed 155 policemen and left many others injured
On 13 October, around 155 policemen have their lives and 369 personnel have suffered injuries in terrorist attacks across Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa. This was revealed during a high-level security meeting. The official handout, however, did not specify the span of time during which these fatalities occurred. The high-level meeting on the province’s law and order was held under the chairmanship of Chief Secretary. The meeting discussed the law-and-order situation in all the districts of the province, especially Swat, the newly merged districts as well as Lakki Marwat and expressed satisfaction that the situation is by and large under control. The officers concerned informed the forum in detail about the law-and-order situation of their districts. One suicide bomber was arrested alive and an investigation has been underway in the case. Apart from this, 44 IEDs, 31 hand grenades, four land mines, seven rockets, nine mortars and 48 kilos of ammunition were recovered.(“ 155 cops martyred in K-P terror attacks,” The Express Tribune , 15 October 2022)
 
Punjab will have five new districts, says Chief Minister
On 15 October, Chief Minister Chaudhry Parvez Elahi stated that five new districts will be added to the province of Punjab, and said that it was administered by PTI chief, Imran Khan. The status of districts will be given to Tanusa Sharif, Murree, Wazirabad, Talagang and Kot Addu. With the provision of health and improved facilities, the Revenue Board added that this addition would “put on the path of financial independence”. With the approval of Tanusa and Talagang districts, he said that the others would remove deficits in facilities for the people of the area. This plan was announced as a part of long-standing public demand from the people. (provinces) (“Punjab to have five new districts,” Dawn, 15 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
No change in policy on Russia-Ukraine conflict: FO
On 14 October, Foreign Office explained that Pakistan’s policy on the Ukrainian conflict has not changed and hoped that other countries will understand and respect Islamabad’s principled and independent position on the issue. Speaking at his weekly media breifing, FO spokesperson Asim Iftikhar pointed out that Foreign Minister in his recent joint presser with his German counterpart in Berlin had reiterated Pakistan’s position and emphasized the necessity of dialogue and diplomacy for the resolution of this conflict. HE explained: “We were also very unambiguous in pronouncing our position on the illegality and unacceptability of the referenda organised in Ukraine. I think our position has been well articulated and we understand that there is receptivity about this position that Pakistan has all the right to take independently.” In response to another query, he said that Pakistan does not want to be a part of any bloc politics in the world. He said that Pakistan wants to have broad-based, objective, balanced, and mutually-beneficial relationships with all major powers, including the United States and China. (Ali Hussain, “No change in policy on Russia-Ukraine conflict: FO,” Business Recorder, 15 October 2022)

US President Biden opines that Pakistan might be one of world’s most dangerous nations
On 15 October, US President Joe Biden demonstrated his belief that Pakistan may be one of the “most dangerous nations in the world” while speaking about the change in the global geopolitical landscape. Adding that Pakistan has “nuclear weapons without cohesion”, Biden’s remarks were considered “unnecessary” by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs  (FO) of Pakistan. Citing that Pakistan’s nuclear programme was effective and standardised, Biden’s alleged opinions came as he spoke about the “aggressive attitudes” of China and Russia. Terming the claim as “baseless”, the ruling government and the FO said that the context in which Biden has said these statements is unclear. (“ Biden thinks Pakistan might be one of world's most dangerous nations,” The International News, 15 October 2022)

ECONOMY
President Alvi assents to ‘Export-Import Bank Bill, 2022’ into the law
On 14 October, President Arif Alvi signed the ‘Export-Import Bank Bill, 2022’ into law after it saw passage by the parliament. This law will enhance and promote trade in Pakistan, and will be established for the purpose of “supporting, promoting and developing international trade,” and also export-oriented and imported substituting businesses, with participating and insurance of credit and equity. The action plan also enables the bank to provide reinsurances from within the country and will provide financial assistance. The President also assented to two more bills.(Naveed Butt, “President signs ‘Export-Import Bank Bill, 2022’ into law,” The Business Recorder, 15 October 2022) 
 
Federal Excise Duty on unmanufactured tobacco not applicable, says Board of Revenue
On 15 October, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) said that the adjustable Federal Excise Duty (FED) of PKR390 per kg on unmanufactured tobacco is not applicable to farmers, and that it has nothing to do with them. Saying that the excise duty is not payable at the stage of the farmers, the FBR said that it is viable for cigarette manufacturers to increase documentation and curb illegal trade. While also dealing with overburdened taxation and harmful business trends, the Khyber Pakhtunkwa region sees a dismal future with these excise duties, says the Senate Special Committee, with the composition of tax only benefitting big companies after the implementation of the tax. (Sohail Sarfaraz, “Unmanufactured tobacco,” The Business Recorder, 15 October 2022)

ON GILIGIT- BALTISTAN
Gilgit –Baltistan: govt to move SC against the appointment of judges without consultation
On 15 October, the government will approach the Supreme Court against the recent appointment of three judges to the region’s chief court by the Pakistan government. Chief Minister Khalid Khursheed Khan will file a constitutional petition under Article 184(3) of the Constitution. The petition contends that the appointments were made in violation of the G-B Government Order 2018 and the G-B Rules of Business, 2009. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif appointed three judges of the G-B Chief Court on 16 September following a summary move by Governor Syed Mahdi Shah. However, it is further learned that the summary for the appointments was initiated without consulting the chief minister. (Hasnaat Malik, “G-B moves apex court against appointment of judges,” The Express Tribune, 15 October 2022)

In Brief
INTERNAL
United Nations Humanitarian Coordinator sees major gap between pledges and flood relief aid for Pakistan
On 12 October, United Nations Humanitarian Coordinator Julien Harneis stated that the aid pledges made by UN member states towards for Pakistan were not converting into commitment as quickly as they were a couple of weeks ago. He said, “We have to work with those countries who were supporting the UN to accelerate the speed to enable us to provide assistance to the people affected by catastrophic floods in Pakistan,” adding, “We have not yet seen enough funding for health, nutrition and safe water and we are working with those countries that are supporting Pakistan to see more funding in this critical area. This is absolutely a challenge and there remains a major gap. The Unicef, which is very much involved in the health and nutrition of young children, is not receiving funding at this time of crisis.” (Amin Ahmed, “UN sees major gap between pledges and flood relief aid,” Dawn, 13 October 2022)

PTI Senator Azam Swati arrested for tweeting a “highly obnoxious and intimidating message”
On 13 October, PTI Senator Azam Swati was arrested for allegedly tweeting a “highly obnoxious and intimidating message” against state institutions state institutions, including the army chief. This came after an FIR was registered at the FIA’s Cyber Crime Reporting Centre in Islamabad. Following the arrest Swati stated that he was not arrested for breaking the law, violating the Constitution or fundamental rights. He said he was arrested for “taking one name of Bajwa and that is the violation.” (“PTI Senator Azam Swati arrested for tweeting against army chief,” Dawn, 13 October 2022)

Asjad Imtiaz Ali gets another term in IRSA
On 12 October, the federal cabinet approved the reappointment of an incumbent federal member,Asjad Imtiaz Al in the Indus River System Authority for another term of three years, until October 24, 2025. the cabinet had approved the re-appointment and his formal notification would be issued by the cabinet division shortly before the expiry of his existing term that began on 25 October 2019. With this re-appointment, Asjad Imtiaz Ali would become the longest-serving member of the water regulator since its inception in 1992. (Khaleeq Kiani, “Irsa’s federal member gets another term,” Dawn, 13 October 2022)

JUDICIARY
Holding the entire cabinet or committee responsible for jointly taken decisions would slow up the country’s decision, says CJP
 On 12 October, CJP Umar Ata Bandial observed that holding the entire cabinet or committee responsible for jointly taken decisions would slow up the country’s decision-making process, as the Supreme Court took up Imran Khan’s petition against the recent amendments to the National Accountability Bureau (NAB) ordinance. At the outset of the hearing, Imran’s lawyer pointed out that as part of NAB amendments, the decision of the federal cabinet and working development parties had been excluded from the jurisdiction of the accountability watchdog. “The new laws are also a violation of the international conventions of anti-corruption.” Talking about cases regarding assets beyond means, he said that such cases were considered a crime across the world. “We will review the NAB amendments in the context of international standards and local laws.”(Haseeb Bhatti, “NAB law: Holding entire cabinet accountable for joint actions would slow down decision making, says CJP, Dawn, 13 October 2022)

PM Shehbaz, son Hamza acquitted in money laundering case
On 12 October, a special court acquitted Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and his son former Punjab chief minister Hamza Shehbaz in the PKR 16 billion money laundering case. The Federal Investigation Agency (FIA)’s arguments revolved around expelling the impression that there is not even a single direct allegation upon Prime Minister Shehbaz and his son Hamza which could establish their guilt in the case and gave them clean chit. The FIA’s report released 28 benami accounts of the Shehbaz family which were detected by the investigation team through which money laundering of PKR16.3 billion was allegedly committed during 2008-18. The FIA examined the money trail of 17,000 credit transactions. The report added up that the amount was kept in hidden accounts and given to Shehbaz in a personal capacity. The FIA alleged that the money received from the accounts of low-wage employees by Shehbaz Sharif had been transferred outside Pakistan through hundi giving benefits to his family. Eleven low-paid employees of the Sharif family were found guilty of facilitating money laundering. (Rana Yasif, “PM Shehbaz, son Hamza acquitted in money laundering case,” The Express Tribune, 13 October 2022) 

IHC seeks a report on the delay in the issuance of ID card to Altaf Hussain
On 12 October, the Islamabad High Court directed the interior secretary to file a report after consulting the foreign affairs secretary about the issuance of an identity card to MQM founder Altaf Hussain. Justice Mohsin Akhtar Kayani gave the order after the court resumed hearing on a petition filed by the MQM through Momin Khan, its former deputy convener, seeking the issuance of a National Identity Card for Overseas Pakistanis to Altaf Hussain. The Nadra legal adviser told the court that Mr. Hussain’s profile was not available in its records. He said it was probable that his last card was issued before the establishment of Nadra. The court said it was regrettable that the interior ministry had kept Altaf Hussain’s application pending since 2014. (Malik Asad, “IHC seeks report from ministry over issuance of ID card to MQM founder Altaf Hussain,” Dawn, 13 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Federal government to assist provincial government to eradicate terrorism
On 12 October, Prime Minister’s Steering Committee on Peace on Wednesday reviewed the recent spate of attacks in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, particularly in Swat. Chairing the committee, interior minister released statement which said: “The committee expressed concern over the increasing incidents of terrorism in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and expressed solidarity with the people of Swat against terrorism.” The statement said that all the participants had unanimously decided to provide full support for the eradication of terrorism in the province. They also observed that instead of politics, the KP government should ensure public order in the province and cooperate with the federation. “Extremism and terrorism are on the rise in KP, but the provincial government is busy planning sit-ins against the federation,” it added. (Shakeel Qarar, “Govt reviews recent attacks in Swat, decides to assist KP in curbing terrorism,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

ON INDIA
‘Absolutely willing’ to talk to India but onus on New Delhi to initiate ‘meaningful engagement’, says Shehbaz Sharif
On 13 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif while speaking at the 6th summit of the Conference on Interaction and Confidence Building Measures in Asia in Kazakhstan said, “I am absolutely ready and willing to have a serious dialogue and discussion with our counterparts, Indians, provided that they show sincerity of purpose and they show that they are ready to discuss issues that have really kept us at a distance over decades.” He added that it was unfortunate that several issues have kept the two countries apart, hampering bilateral trade and investment, however, he said, “This has to come to a stop,” he stressed, adding, “but the onus remains on India to take the necessary steps for meaningful and result oriented-engagement.” (“Shehbaz says ‘absolutely willing’ to talk to India but onus on New Delhi to take steps for ‘meaningful engagement’,” Dawn, 13 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif meets Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev
On 12 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif met with Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev along the sidelines of the sixth Summit of Conference for Interaction and Confidence Building Measures in Asia (CICA) in Kazakhstan. During the meeting, the two sides decided to hold fast-track discussions on energy collaboration, renewed their commitment to deepen bilateral engagement in several areas of cooperation and reviewed the progress of various ongoing initiatives aimed at promoting connectivity, trade and investment. (Syed Irfan Raza, “Pakistan, Azerbaijan to fast-track energy ties,” Dawn, 13 October 2022)

ECONOMY
Government to raise around USD 35 billion to finance the devastation caused by floods
On 12 October, government targeted raising over USD 35 billion by selling various short and long-tenure sovereign bonds to financial institutions over the next three-month period (October-December). The PIBs cut-off yields (commercial banks’ interest rate on financing to the government) fell by eight basis points on the 3-year bond and 30 basis points on the 5-year bond after quite a long gap. The drop created room for the government to borrow more than its set target as demand for financing remained high. While banks considered the rate to have peaked at 15 per cent, which may be revised down in future monetary policy statements, it also means that the banks have parked maximum amounts in the long-tenure PIBs at the prevailing fixed rate of return. In the latest auction, the banks had offered PKR 662 billion against the government target of PKR 175 billion.  Experts have commented that the rupee would consolidate around the current levels in the short-run and may resume an uptrend in case Finance Minister Ishaq Dar agrees with the IMF to ease conditions and the country witnesses an early inflow of the pledges made by creditors and the global community in relation to flood relief efforts. (Salman Siddiqui, “Govt to raise Rs7 trillion through bonds,” The Express Tribune, 13 October 2022)

Govt to cut development expenditure to PKR 48 billion
On 13 October, The Express Tribune reported that an acute economic crisis has forced the federal government to drastically cut the development expenditure in the first quarter of the current fiscal year to just PKR 48 billion, which is hardly seven  per cent of the annual allocation and less than two-thirds of the official target for the quarter. Documents of the Ministry of Finance showed that at least 10 ministries did not spend a penny on development works during the July-September period of the current fiscal year due to no budget sanctioning. For the current fiscal year, the National Assembly has approved PKR 727 billion for over 1,100 PSDP projects. The government entered a tight monetary condition with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and committed that it would create a primary budget surplus of Rs153 billion – the net revenue after paying the debt servicing cost. Furthermore, the World Bank in its recent report titled “Pakistan Economic Update” stated that the country would have a primary budget deficit of three per cent of GDP, largely because of the devastating floods. (Shahbaz Rana, “PSDP spending cut to just Rs48b,” The Express Tribune, 13 October 2022)

‘Document economy, broaden tax base’ says Auditor General of Pakistan 
On 13 October 2022, the Auditor General of Pakistan (AGP) communicated major concern over the Federal Board of Revenue’s (FBR)  shortcomings to document the economy, the oncoming wide economic activity, and the subsequent widening of the tax base by including all informal sectors in the tax bracket. In his report titled “Broadening the Tax Base” for 2021-2022, the AGP has ruled that the FBR has failed to register commercial connections of yearly electricity bills, the majority of individuals failing to make the tax bracket, and lack of effort for the fulfilment of their statutory obligation to broaden their tax base. He also added lack of digitisation is a consistent issue. (Sohail Sarfraz, “Documenting economy, broadening tax base,” Business Recorder, 13 October 2022)

ON ENERGY
Pakistan State Oil acquires USD14.6 million in contention with LNG Supllier Gunvor
On 13 October, Pakistan State Oil (PSO) won nearly USD15 million in an arbitration award against international energy trader, Guvnor International BV, for excessive port chargers for liquified natural gas (LNG) supplies over the previous years. In a five-year agreement with the trader, PSO had signed for the supply of 100 million cubic feet per day in 2015-16, all the while paying excess port charges for the last four years. The internal auditors pointed out excess payments and after a thorough review, PSO found that LNG had been overcharging them by USD14.6 million. This comes after negotiations with Guvnor, and the London High Court (LCIA) ruling in favour of PSO in proceedings lasting nearly two years. (Khaleeq Kiani, “PSO wins $14.6m arbitration against LNG supplier Gunvor,” Dawn, 13 October 2022)

Comments of Power Division necessary on 300-MW Gwadar Project necessary, cites Secretary to Prime Minister
On 13 October, the Secretary to Prime Minister “refused” to place Special Assitance to Prime Minister’s (SAPM) note on the 300-MW Gwadar Project before Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. Citing that “comments of power division should be obtained” on the matter, SAPM noted that the availability of power is imperative and that the project is first on the priority list of CPEC projects. Stating that the overall development is key, he mentioned that Gwadar East Bay Expressway and technical centres were completed, and without any industrial development, this would be futile. He said, “the decision must consider all options and overall development of Gwadar and CPEC”. (Mushtaq Ghumman, (“300MW Gwadar power plant project,” Business Recorder, 13 October 2022)
 

The federal government is to arrange PKR100 billion for supply of electricity to export sectors
On 13 October, the Federal Government is set to provide PKR100 billion from the federal budget to ensure the supply of electricity to five export-oriented sectors, for the financial year of 2022-2023. Minister of Commerce Syed Qamar commented about IMF’s Program for Pakistan, and that a necessary amount would be used for this measure. Saying subsidies would be violating the agreement with the IMF, the Commerce Ministry gave its summary of energy tariffs for last year, where Pakistan saw a high of USD31.8 billion in the financial year for 2021-2022. The Power Division has notified electricity tariff of US 9 cents for August 2022, and to provide additional funds nearing PKR33.4 billion for September, and end concessionary tariff starting 1 October.(Mushtaq Ghuman, “Supply of power to 5 export-oriented sectors,” Business Recorder, 13 October 2022) 

Zahid Hussain, Politics and the establishment
Dawn, 13 October 2022
The PTI’s threat to storm the capital has further vitiated the political atmosphere and created more space for extra-constitutional powers to act. Indeed, it will be good for the country and the security institution if the military keeps itself out of politics. But that is not likely to happen with the political forces fighting each other.

F.S. Aijazuddin, An adieu, overdue
Dawn, 13 October 2022
In the present impasse between a PML-N-led coalition government, an intransigent PTI, and a prevaricating establishment, perhaps the kindest decision an unwelcome president could make is to resign and exit with a dignity that has not always been in evidence during his term. Over 220m Pakistanis (minus his sponsor) will applaud him for it.

Editorial, Political vendetta
Dawn, 13 October 2022
Does their acquired wisdom teach them that this is the best path back to popularity? If the PDM wants to win in the polls, it needs to provide people with better reasons to side with it because settling personal scores does not engender much loyalty. It needs to keep its focus on reviving the economy, not finding new ways to persecute its rival force.

Editorial, Anti-militancy protests
Dawn, 13 October 2022
The chilling attack on the school van should prompt the state — its civilian arm as well as the security establishment — to take action against the terrorists present in KP. If this is not done now, a familiar scenario is likely to play out, with the militants establishing their presence and making a mockery of law and order, followed by the state moving in and using kinetic means to dislodge the terrorists, as the people of the area suffer, again, for no fault of their own.

Editorial, ECP’s welcome decision
Dawn, 13 October 2022
Elections are an essential feature of democracy. There have been several recent examples where countries with strong democratic traditions have refused to postpone elections even during the Covid-19 pandemic. But Pakistan is a different story. There are always certain forces, parties and individuals in this country that somehow try to disrupt the electoral process on one pretext or another.

Kamila Hyat, Political priority list
The News International, 13 October 2022
We need change and we need it quickly. Otherwise, it may be too late for Pakistan and certainly too late for its people with children currently struggling to survive in flood-hit areas across Sindh, southern Punjab, Balochistan and other parts of the country due to the lack of help and assistance they have received from an inept and uncaring government.

Editorial, Election time
The News International, 13 October 2022
Holding of elections is a constitutional requirement and holding of local bodies elections is imperative in a state that calls itself a democracy – devolution of powers being an essential component of good governance. Flood relief and rehabilitation is the responsibility of an entirely different machinery that is not directly involved in the election exercise. The local bodies elections in Sindh have been long overdue and it is imperative that Karachi has an elected local administration as early as possible.

Editorial, Zaitoon Bibi case
The News International, 13 October 2022
The fact that the decisions by lower courts were repeatedly challenged shows the obstinate behaviour of those who refuse to accept a woman’s share in property. Zaitoon Bibi’s case is a prime example that women have to fight long and hard battles before they can get their rights. For over four decades, a woman was denied her due share in inheritance. We hope it won’t take another 46 years for another Zaitoon Bibi to get what is her rightful inheritance.

Durdana Najam, All Opportunists san savior
The Express Tribune, 13 October 2022
Pakistan is busting at its seams. One of the largest floods has washed away half of its agricultural land. The number of deaths can be in the thousands.

Editorial, CTBT: a success story ready for completion
The Express tribune, 13 October 2022
As news headlines herald a return to a darker age of nuclear brinkmanship, with fears that different states might develop, test or even use nuclear weapons, 176 countries have chosen to take a bold stand. The CTBT is a success story, and that is good news at a time when the world is grappling with multiple crises that undermine the norms and institutions that were erected to advance global peace and security.

Inam Ul Haque, Resolvable problems of the Afghan government
The Express Tribune, 13 October 2022
Irrespective of the Western propaganda against the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA), particularly with regard to the rights of women and minorities with girls’ education topping the agenda, all does not seem well within the Emirate. There are issues like the IEA fault lines, its relationship with the TTP and by extension with Pakistan, the ISIS-TTP nexus and its looming shadow over Afghanistan, and IEA’s sustenance and credibility.

In Brief
ON MILITARY
Army announces 12 major generals had been promoted to the rank of lieutenant general
On 11 October, the army announced that 12 major generals have been promoted to the rank of lieutenant general. According to the ISPR, the promoted generals include, Maj Gen Inam Haider Malik, Maj Gen Fayyaz Hussain Shah, Maj Gen Nauman Zakria, Maj Gen Mohammad Zafar Iqbal, Maj Gen Ayman Bilal Safdar, Maj Gen Ahsan Gulrez, Maj Gen Syed Aamer Raza, Maj Gen Shahid Imtiaz, Maj Gen Mohammad Munir Afsar, Maj General Babar Iftikhar, Maj Gen Yousaf Jamal, and Maj Gen Kashif Nazir. This announcement comes as the army is set to see a reshuffle in November. According to Dawn, it is rare to see such a big number of promotions to the rank of lieutenant general at one time. However, these promotions have been overdue for almost a year though these elevations are normally said to be done on the basis of vacancies. (Baqir Sajjad Syed, “Stage set for major reshuffle in top military brass” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

INTERNAL
FIA books Imran Khan over PTI allegedly receiving prohibited funding
On 11 October, the Federal Investigation Agency (FIA) booked Imran Khan and other PTI leaders in connection with the party receiving prohibited funding. The FIA said that a case under sections 420 (cheating and dishonestly inducing delivery of property), 468 (forgery for purpose of cheating), 471 (using as genuine a forged document), 477-A (falsification of accounts) and 109 (punishment of abetment if the Act abetted committed In consequence and where no express provision is made for its punishment) of the Pakistan Penal code has been registered against Imran, his party leaders and the management of UBL. Additionally, they have also been booked under Section 23 (penalty and procedure) of the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act, 1947. This comes after the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) in August gave its verdict regarding the PTI’s prohibited funding case stating that the party did receive prohibited funding. (Shakeel Qarar “FIA books Imran, other PTI leaders in connection with prohibited funding case,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

Strict action is to be taken against the govt officials who join the PTI march in the capital
On 11 October, the federal government asked the chief secretaries of provinces, Gilgit-Baltistan and Azad Jammu and Kashmir to ensure that no government official participates or becomes part of the PTI long march to the capital. The interior minister asked the chief secretaries to ensure that no government official became a part of any initiative or plans to ‘attack’ the federal capital. PML-Q has vowed to stand by the government during tough times. The commitment to support the government was made during a meeting between Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Chaudhry Shujaat at the latter’s residence. (Syed Irfan Raza, “Shujaat assures PM of support in face of PTI’s march plan,” Dawn, 12 October 2022; Munawer Azeem, “Provinces told not to allow govt officials to join PTI’s expected long march,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

Meanwhile, Imran Khan while addressing a rally in Nankana Sahib said, “All of the thieves have joined hands to defame me and my party… they are making [my] dirty videos [through the use of] deep fake technology.” He added, “The videos will be shown to the public… but they will fail to achieve the objective,” adding that these moves by the government would not be able to stop his long march. (Amjad Mahmood, “Rivals making ‘dirty videos’ to malign me: Imran,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)
Rivals making ‘dirty videos’ to malign me: Imran,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

PTI seeks Zardari's qualification and PML-N seeks Tarin’s disqualification
On 11 October, PML-N decided to submit a reference against PTI Senator and former finance minister Shaukat Tarin for allegedly ‘working against the country’s integrity and national security’. In a recently released audio leak, Mr Tarin, previous finance minister had been heard suggesting Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa government to not show budget surpluses in an intent to sabotage the IMF deal. PTI had earlier sought disqualification of ex. President Asif Zardari in a case when he former president had retained two BMW cars and a Toyota Lexus LX-470 gifted by then UAE President Sheikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al-Nahyan and former Libyan president Muammar Gaddafi. (Amir Wasim, “PTI wants Zardari gone, PML-N wishes same for Tarin,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

Parliament joint sitting passes three bills
On 11 October, under the chairmanship of National Assembly Speaker Raja Pervaiz Ashraf, the House passed the Trade Arrangements Amendment Bill 2022 Islamabad, Domestic Workers Amendment Bill 2022 and Dyslexia Special Measures Amendment Bill 2022. The bill for production, transmission and distribution of electricity could not be presented due to the non-participation of PPP member Jam Abdul Karim Bijar. Speaking on the occasion, National Assembly Member Mohsin Dawar called for the issuance of South Waziristan MNA Ali Wazir’s production order, saying much discussion had been held on his imprisonment. Dawar questioned why was Wazir incarcerated, pointing out that PTI leader Shahbaz Gill was also released “in two months” after being granted bail in a sedition case. (Saqib Virk, “Parliament joint sitting passes three bills,” The Express Tribune, 12 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Swat protesters end 40-hour sit-in after talks with the administration
On 11 October, protesters in Swat ended their 40-hour sit-in over the recent killing of a school van driver after the administration promised to arrest the culprits and took custody of the deceased’s children. Earlier on 11 October, a van driver dead and two students were injured after unidentified assailants opened fire on a school van in Charbagh tehsil. This attack came amid the recent surge of violent incidents in the valley. The locals have blamed Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan for the attack; however, no group has claimed responsibility so far. Additionally, the incident has brought back memories of the attack on Malala Yousafzai in 2012, who is coincidently visiting Pakistan after four years. (“School van attack: Swat protesters end 40-hour sit-in after successful negotiations with administration,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Govt seeks SC against the centre for denying the share in resources
On 11 October, the government decided to approach the Council of Common Interests and the Supreme Court against a long delay in the release of the province’s due share in national resources by the centre. It said it would use all legal and constitutional means to get due payments. The decision was made during a cabinet meeting called here to discuss the ‘province’s financial crisis due to a delay in the release of funds by the centre’. Finance minister Taimur Saleem Jhagra and special assistant to the chief minister Barrister Mohammad Ali Saif later briefed reporters on the cabinet’s meeting and said besides moving the Council of Common Interests and Supreme Court, his government would also call a special meeting of the provincial assembly to take members of all political parties into confidence about the ‘denial’ of funds by the federal government. (“KP govt to take centre to Supreme Court over ‘denial’ of share in resources,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

ECONOMY
IMF projects rise in inflation and unemployment in Pakistan
On 11 October, IMF released its World Economic Outlook (WEO). The report kept Pakistan’s GDP growth projection at 3.5 per cent for the current fiscal year 2022-23 against 6 per cent growth achieved in the last financial year. IMF explained the 2022 projections for Pakistan are based on information available as of the end of August and do not include the impact of recent floods. The IMF also projected that unemployment will go up and will be standing at 6.4 per cent for the current fiscal year against 6.2 per cent for the last financial year. The Fund has assessed that the CPI-based inflation will go up and will be standing at 19.9 percent in the current fiscal year against the officially released figure of 12.1 percent for the last fiscal year. The current account deficit is projected to remain at 2.5 per cent of GDP for the current fiscal year against 4.5 per cent for the last financial year. The current account deficit is projected to remain negative 2.4 per cent for FY-2027. (Mehtab Haider, “Unemployment, inflation to rise: IMF,” The News International, 12 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
The civilian government in Pakistan remains the principal “interlocutor” in bilateral ties, says US State Department
On 11 October, the US State Department Ned Price stated that the civilian government in Pakistan remains the principal “interlocutor” in bilateral ties. He said, “We value our long-standing cooperation with Pakistan. There are a number of areas where our interests are aligned,” adding that Afghanistan and the security challenges that confront the region “are always there when we have high-level meetings with our Pakistani counterparts.” (Anwar Iqbal, “Civil govt main ‘interlocutor’ in Washington-Islamabad ties: State Dept,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

Pakistan sustains “neutrality” on Russia, abstains from voting on UNGA motion
On 11 October, Pakistan sat on the fence about voting on a motion rejecting Russia’s demand for a secret ballot in the UNGA on Ukraine’s annexation of four regions. Pakistan’s move to abstain from voting on this matter suggested that the country would keep up its stance until the “actual” resolution reprimanding Russian annexation of Ukrainian territory would be submitted. Approached by the US and other European countries to vote in support of the resolution, Pakistan’s actions drew out a strong reaction from the US and its western allies and threw dubious shade on their recent engagements with them. The US and its allies also added that maintaining neutrality on the issue of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is “tantamount” to support Moscow. (Kamran Yousaf, “India gives in, Pakistan maintains ‘neutrality’ on Russia,” The Express Tribune, 11 October 2022) 

Buddhist heritage site in Haripur visited by Thai monks
On 11 October, a bunch of 150 monks from Thailand paid a visit to the acclaimed Buddhist heritage site in Haripur with monk Arayawangzo, the honourable Buddhist monk, who led the bunch as a part of his visit to Pakistan which he has completed three months of. Further, they stated that the stay was a part of the Rain Retreat Programme, the monks offered prayers as a part of their activities as well. Mentioning that the monks had “carried out research work” at heritage sites including Julian and Bhamala in Haripura, the officials said that it marked the first time that a celebrated monk was visiting Buddhist holy places. The officials also announced that monk Arayawangso would assist the Khyber Pakhtunkwa archaeology department with a Budda stupa that was partially damaged. (“Thai monks visit Buddhist heritage site in Haripur,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

JUDICIARY
Peshawar High Court rules that a Pakistani woman’s Afghan husband is qualified for Pakistan Origin Card 
On 12 October, the Peshawar High Court (PHC) proclaimed that a Pakistani woman’s Afghan spouse is entitled to Pakistani Citizenship, whose petition was filed to challenge the Citizenship Act’s provision which allowed Pakistan’s citizenship for foreign wives of Pakistani men and forbids the same for foreign husbands of Pakistani women. Contending that the law was discriminatory in nature, the petitioner sought the declaration of the “unconstitutional” section of the Pakistani Citizenship Act. The petitioner’s counsel said that the section was not in accordance with the fundamental rights and that it didn’t treat women equally. The counsel added that the Citizenship Act was a violation of the international conventions it is a signatory to, and that it should not discriminate on the basis of gender. (“Pakistani woman’s Afghan husband entitled to Pakistan Origin Card: PHC,” Dawn, 12 October 2022) 

ON CPEC
CPEC to get speed up after the JCC meeting, says Chinese Consul
On 11 October, Chinese Consul General Lahore Zhao Shiren during his visit to Pakistan said that the work on the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor projects is expected to speed up after the Joint Cooperation Committee (JCC) meeting to be held later this year. Additionally, the official stated that the meeting of the JCC on CPEC will be preceded by the first official visit of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif to China next month. Mr Shiren further said the CPEC was not alone a Chinese project, Pakistan needed to take its full ownership. “It is for the people’s livelihood as it has improved Pakistan’s infrastructure, alleviating the energy crisis, playing a pivotal role in getting Pakistan out of poverty and embarking on the path of growth and recovery. The CPEC should be implemented wisely as a lot of work in this respect has to be done.”(Zulqernain Tahir, “CPEC projects to speed up after JCC meeting: Chinese consul,” Dawn, 12 October 2022)

Editorial, Protest for peace
The News International, 12 October 2022
Pakistan has experienced relentless terrorism and violence for decades now. The TTP and its offshoots have had a love-hate relationship with the state, at times enjoying negotiated peace and at others indulging in combat with law enforcers. One thing is clear: Pakistan had sacrificed far too much to cave in to the demands of militants. For people of Swat, and every other place in Pakistan, this terror threat needs to be tackled now, before its too late.

Rafia Zakaria, Snakes without ladders
Dawn, 12 October 2022
Dignitaries have come and gone, but the floodwaters, the snakes, the water-borne and mosquito-borne illnesses, the absolute desperation have all stayed. After the fervour of the initial weeks, the donations are also trickling to a close. And yet it appears, it is just those small donations, given by those Pakistanis who still have a heart, that have the possibility to save even a few of the people whose lives are ebbing away with each passing day.

Jamil Ahmad, Costs of climate
Dawn, 12 October 2022
For Pakistan, which currently holds the presidency of the group of developing countries, COP27 will be a double test of its diplomacy to make a convincing case for enhancing climate finance, including loss and damage, and to positively contribute to a successful outcome of the meeting in Sharm el Sheikh.

Editorial, Much-needed probe
Dawn, 12 October 2022
The ‘Cablegate’ affair has not been a storm in a teacup: its ripples have travelled far beyond the domestic front. Our relations with a global power were strained in the process, and the contents of a classified diplomatic communiqué at least partially disclosed. While realpolitik will likely take care of the first, the second may well have a chilling effect for some time on the wider international community’s willingness to communicate candidly with our diplomatic missions abroad.

Editorial, Winds of change?
The News International, 12 October 2022
Regardless of who is at the helm in the country, the PML-N is still lost without the ‘N’ factor in it – at least electorally speaking. Will we then see a return of both the N and the M to spearhead the party’s electoral fight? That, along with speculations about a plan in Punjab near the elections, may mean a more aggressive approach towards dealing with Imran and an attempt to push back against the carefully calculated cipher narrative constructed by the PTI.

Editorial, Banking on hope
Dawn, 12 October 2022
With inflation still burning hot, it would have been better if the State Bank consolidated further, yet it appears to have placed too much faith in the “orderly movements in the rupee” to contain core inflation. It is hoped that the State Bank is not making the same mistake it made before the start of the fiscal tightening cycle when it resisted taking a proactive stance and was forced to take remedial measures later.

Editorial, No resolution in sight
Dawn, 12 October 2022
Whether the Indian establishment admits it or not, its mix of ‘carrots’ and ‘sticks’ in held Kashmir will not resolve this critical issue. What can make a difference, however, is if India adopts a more flexible attitude, and realises that the Kashmir question cannot be adequately addressed unless dialogue is carried forward involving Pakistan as well as the legitimate Kashmiri leadership.

Dr Imran Batada, Internet inclusion in Sindh
The News International, 12 October 2022
Expanding and investing in internet infrastructure in Sindh would bring many benefits to a region that has long suffered from lack of basic infrastructure; it could drive economic growth, increase education rates, and reduce inequality. Concrete policy action is needed to expand internet access and enable a digital transformation that will enable economic growth and help bridge the gender divide.

Talat Masood, Dealing with climate induced calamities
The Express Tribune, 12 October 2022
The recent devastating floods have exposed the best and worst of Pakistan. Close to 33 million people are still living in open or makeshift tents. Generally, the government has dithered and at best its efforts can be described as perfunctory, both at the federal and provincial levels. In sharp contrast some of the NGOs and members of the community have made a remarkable contribution; they risked their lives but remained in the forefront of assisting the flood victims with food, clothes and shelter.

Muhammad Majid Bashir, Therapeutic jurisprudence of suicide
The Express Tribune, 12 October 2022
Section 325 of the PPC, a 150-year-old legislation, does not recognise the pressure associated with the criminalisation of suicide, and penalises individuals already suffering. This section imposes a punishment of imprisonment, fine or both on the person attempting suicide. The suicide attempt is the only offence where the accused is also the victim…The government should raise awareness about mental health and suicide through widespread campaigns and seminars to de-stigmatise the issue and encourage people to seek psychological assistance.
 

In Brief
INTERNAL
Interior Ministry claims to have resolved audio leaks issue
On 10 October, Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah claimed that the leaks controversy, which had put the cyber security of the PM’s official residence and the office at stake, had been resolved and that no “hostile intelligence agency” was involved. The ministry clarified that the staffer did it for money. Parallelly, Imran Khan on 10 October during a workers' convention of the party, the former prime minister claimed that the security line at his residence was also bugged when he was in the office. He termed the audio leaks a serious breach of national security. He disclosed that his party would approach courts on the audio leaks and seek formation of a joint investigation team (JIT) to probe which “intelligence agency” was involved in the bugging of the Prime Minister House and the Prime Minister Office. (“Imran hints at moving court over audio leaks,” The Express Tribune, 11 October 2022)

Malala visits Pakistan after four years
On 11 October, Malala Yousafzai arrived in Pakistan after four years. A statement from the Malala Fund said that the visit aims “to help keep international attention focused on the impact of floods in Pakistan and reinforce the need for critical humanitarian aid.” This is Malala’s second visit to Pakistan since the Taliban attack in Swat in 2012. Previously, she visited Pakistan in March 2018. (“Malala in Pakistan to visit flood-hit areas,” Dawn, 11 October 2022)

ON JAMMU AND KASHMIR
Pakistan rejects PM Modi’s statement on the Kashmir issue
Pakistan rejects PM Modi’s statements on the Kashmir dispute “categorically rejected” the remarks made by Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Jammu & Kashmir during a public rally in Gujarat. The FO accused PM Modi of making “delusional statements about having resolved the dispute unilaterally, the Indian leadership must deliver on their commitments to the Kashmiris,” adding that his statements allegedly reflected “how oblivious the Indian leadership has become of the ground realities in IIOJK.” (Naveed Siddiqui, “Pakistan hits back at Modi for claiming to have ‘resolved’ Kashmir dispute,” Dawn, 11 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
Pakistan among 54 countries in need of urgent aid, says UN
On 11 October, the United Nations stated that 54 countries including Pakistan need urgent debt relief due to global crises. According to a report from the United Nations Development Programme, dozens of developing nations were facing a rapidly deepening debt crisis and “the risks of inaction are dire.” The report added that without immediate relief, these countries would see rising poverty levels, and “desperately needed investments in climate adaptation and mitigation will not happen,” adding that the more worrisome reality is that these countries were “among the most climate-vulnerable in the world.” (“54 countries, including Pakistan, urgently need debt relief: UN,” Dawn, 11 October 2022)

ECONOMY
Finance Minister leaves for the annual meeting of WB and IMF
On 11 October, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar left for a visit to the United States to attend the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. He is also expected to hold direct talks with their officials. On 10 October Dar reaffirmed Pakistan’s commitment to complete the IMF programme with all its conditions in an honourable manner and meet all repayment obligations to multilaterals, bond holders and Paris Club creditors. The minister has ruled out any consideration for renegotiating the IMF agreement when it was in the last leg of its completion. He also shared that Pakistan was seeking a rescheduling of bilateral debt, which now stands at around USD 27 billion. However, he ruled out rescheduling of international debt from wealthy western nations under Paris Club, multilaterals and international sovereign bonds. (Tahir Sherani, “Dar leaves for US for annual meetings of IMF, World Bank,” Dawn, 11 October 2022)
 
Pakistan to seek bilateral debt rescheduling of around USD 27 billion
On 10 October, while talking to journalists the finance minister said that to secure greater breathing space in foreign loan repayments amid tight external account conditions, Pakistan is seeking rescheduling of bilateral debt, which now stands at around USD 27 billion of which Chinese debt is about USD 23 billion. Non-Paris Club members generally include China, Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern states. The repayments involve about USD 22 billion worth of foreign debt servicing and about USD 10-12 billion of current account deficit. As of 30 September, the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 7.89 billion while the country’s total foreign exchange reserves are reported at USD 13.6 billion, including USD 5.69 billion of commercial bank stocks. The minister also conceded that conditions were not favourable for the launch of a USD 2 billion international bond, budgeted for the current fiscal year, although authorities were planning foreign visits for the purpose. (Khaleeq Kiani, “Dar moves to secure rescheduling of $27bn in bilateral debt,” Dawn, 11 October 2022)
 
SBP keeps policy rate unchanged to support an economy facing challenges made worse by devastating floods
On 10 October, State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) left its benchmark interest rate unchanged for a second straight meeting and maintain the policy rate at 15 per cent. The economic activity has slowed down with inflation and the current account deficit has been falling since the last monetary policy was announced in August. “Based on currently available information, the MPC was of the view that the existing monetary policy stance strikes an appropriate balance between managing inflation and maintaining growth in the wake of the floods,” the SBP said in a monetary policy statement. The SBP has hiked the policy rate by a total of 525 basis points (bps) since the year’s beginning to fight the spiraling inflation and reduce the higher current account deficit. It raised interest rates by 800 basis points in the fiscal year 2021/22. The SBP also informed that Pakistan has received additional external flows commitments worth USD 4 billion from international money lenders including, the Asian Development Bank (ADB), United Nations (UN), and the World Bank, among others. (Erum Zaidi, “Pakistan secures $4bn additional pledges: SBP governor,” The News International, 11 October 2022)
 
Rupee continues to rise against dollar for thirteenth straight session
On 11 October, Pakistani rupee maintained its winning streak against the US dollar for the 13th consecutive session in the interbank trade now reaching PKR 216.80 per USD. State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) said that recent gaining spree of the Pakistani was initially due to the market’s sentimental reaction to the change of finance minister. Analysts however, have explained that factors like improvement inflows in form of remittances, exports, crackdown on speculators, and declining gap between interbank and KERB. (“Rupee continues to rise against dollar for 13th straight session,” The News International, 11 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Balochistan: JUI-F denies offer to join the government 
On 10 October, Jamiat Ulema- I-Islam refused to accept the offer to join the coalition government in Balochistan and said that they would take part as a strong opposition in the assembly. Provincial chief Maulana Wasey mentioned that the decision comes as Bizenjo failed to take a decision and that they sought other parties to discuss their demands. Adding that the charter for demands included ones for ministries and portfolios, the JUI-F said that the offer made by the Balochistan government “was not in line with its demands.” (Saleem Shahid, “JUI-F refuses to join Balochistan government,” Dawn, 11 October 2022) 

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Government says yes to enhancing pay scales and restoring allowances as teachers call off strike 
On 11 October, teachers of government primary schools in Khyber Pakhtunkwa declared the conclusion of the strike that lasted five days. Pronouncing that the government had acknowledged their demands, with a special preference for raising their pay scales and restoring their allowances. Saying that primary schools would start from 11 October, the All Primary Teachers Association informed that the agreement regarding this decision would be signed shortly. The teachers staged a sit-in at the Jinnah Park in Peshawar, before they marched on the KP Assembly, showing banners and placards, they cited protest for not accepting their “genuine” demands, where some protestors were arrested and hauled and assaulted by the authorities. (Mohammad Ashfaq, “Teachers call off strike as KP govt agrees to upgrade pay scales, restore allowances,” Dawn, 11 October 2022) 

JUDICIARY
Sindh High Court denies lifting of curbs on collection of utility taxes through electricity bills 
On 10 October, the Sindh High Court (SHC) ruled that its previous order was to stop K-electric from acquiring the Municipal Utility Charges Taxes (MUCT) through power bills till 26 October.  A Karachi administrator said that the bench heard two petitions that were against the collection of MUCT through power bills. Saying that they could recover their taxes through a third party, the administrator said that the municipality was legally allowed to hire a third party for the collection of these taxes. With the collection of 65 million with the MUCT in place, the administrator furthered a repeal of the restraining order and claimed that the declaration of the MUCT would be considered illegal and that linking of such tax should be set aside from consumption of electricity. They sought a restrain for the KE from collecting MUCT in electricity bills. (Saleem Shahid, “‘Anti-Afghan Taliban’ police officer shot dead in Quetta,” Dawn, 11 October 2022) 

Arifa Noor, Our quiet desperation
Dawn, 11 October 2022
Is it even possible for those at the top to have a dialogue about this, instead of droning on about ‘truth and reconciliation’ processes, which is their code word for continuing the blame game and harping on ‘democracy’, another code word for winning power for themselves? And before it gets too late.

Editorial, Shifting sands
Dawn, 11 October 2022
The stakes are high, and Pakistan cannot afford any more experiments, whether they originate from the finance ministry or Aabpara. Will the establishment be able to hold its peace with the government if the economic revival plan does not go as expected?

Editorial, Terror in GB
Dawn, 11 October 2022
Elsewhere, in parts of KP there are now credible reports that TTP fighters have once again picked up the gun. Clearly, militant groups are again starting to throw their weight around. Instead of meekly reacting, the state must proactively nip the terrorist threat in the bud before the nation is overwhelmed by a fresh wave of militant violence.

Editorial, What next for Nawaz?
Dawn, 11 October 2022
Yet no matter how strong his narrative, it won’t be easy for him to get relief as there is a perception that some decisions in cases involving politicians seem to have been person-specific. If the PML-N supremo wants to come back, he shouldn’t wait for his conviction to be reversed. His presence in the country will help him more than any narrative he builds abroad.

Editorial, Monetary hiatus
The News International, 11 October 2022
It is difficult to see how the inflows can be adequate to offset Pakistan’s forex needs when the country owes around $21 billion in repayments over the current fiscal. If the government acquires dollars from the open market, the rupee may come under pressure once more. On balance, the new monetary policy looks like a charter for inaction rather than action – a resolution to omit rather than commit. The wisdom of this course of action is not obvious at once, but we will not have to wait long for it to manifest.

Editorial, Review, relief, rehabilitate
The News International, 11 October 2022
Pakistan’s resource base has been shrinking while education and health facilities are below par. Diseases are also hovering around while the country spends dismal amounts on the education and health sectors. Moreover, no province in Pakistan can claim to have an adequately operational local administration that can improve governance. All this calls for a thorough review of the situation and much better development planning.

In Brief
INTERNAL
Nawaz Sharif asked why "five precious years" of his life were wasted
On 9 October, Nawaz Sharif while addressing a ‘heart-to-heart’ press conference with Maryam Nawaz Sharif in London said that his daughter was meeting her brothers and him after the death of his wife three years ago. He said, “I remember all those scenes, how my wife was on her deathbed and how cruelly we were treated — and those people who were making fun,” adding, “I also remember, when I got to know that the sentence [in the Avenfield reference] was being announced on the 6th [of July, 2018], I said ‘my wife is very ill and is in a coma’. I don’t know what issue they had, but they didn’t listen to my plea.” Additionally, he termed the cases against him “fabricated”, asking why "five precious years" of his life were wasted.

Further, he stated that he was punished and disqualified for life to keep him away from elections and yet, today, lifetime disqualification was being criticised as “draconian.” On the current state of politics he stated that Imran Khan had ruined the country’s relations with its allies and other nation, and kept “fooling” the nation with his “absolutely not” narrative, adding that “the one who plotted has turned out to be the biggest conspirer,” further wondering what else would come to light. (“Nawaz describes trials and tribulations in ‘heart-to-heart’ with media,” Dawn, 10 October 2022; “Why were five precious years of our lives wasted? asks Nawaz Sharif,” The News International, 10 October 2022)

Judiciary has turned a blind eye to PMO audio leaks, says Fawad Chaudhry
On 9 October, Fawad Chaudhry claimed that the judiciary is turning a blind eye to the sequence of audio leaks involving political leaders. He stated that perhaps judiciary would act if the judges’ own phones were to get tapped. He said, “Judiciary is busy in its infighting over appointment of judges,” adding, “Are we making a mockery of our country? Who is leaking this and who will be answerable for this?” (“Judiciary has turned a blind eye to PMO audio leaks: Fawad,” Dawn, 10 October 2022)

PTI challenged the judgement of IHC on imposing section 144 ahead the long march
 On 10 October, the Islamabad High Court reserved its judgment on PTI’s petition challenging the federal government’s powers relating to the imposition of Section 144 ahead of the party’s expected long march to the federal capital. PTI senior leader Asad Umar moved the IHC, requesting it to declare the imposition of Section 144 in Islamabad unconstitutional. The plea contended that after the ouster of its government, the PTI set up a website named “namnzoor.com” to collect donations from overseas Pakistanis. It said that details of these donations are being shared with the ECP in compliance with the Election Act 2017. In the second petition, the PTI requested the court to stop the FIA and Islamabad police from proceeding against PTI leaders and supporters ahead of its potential long march. It accused the ruling coalition of launching a campaign against Imran Khan, creating hurdles in the upcoming march, and expressing apprehensions about mass arrests.(“ PTI asks high court to ‘restrain’ FIA following raids,” Dawn, 10 October 2022; Awais Yousafai, “IHC reserves judgment on PTI’s plea against Section 144,” The  News International, 10 October 2022)

ON CLIMATE CHANGE
UNDP ranks Pakistan eighth among nations most vulnerable to extreme weather
On 8 October, the United Nations Development Programme ranked Pakistan as eighth among nations most vulnerable to extreme weather. Hamad Baig of the Glof-II project said, “We’re working to further empower communities to identify and manage risks associated with glacial lakes outburst flooding and related impacts of climate change, strengthen public services to lower the risk of disasters, and improve community preparedness and disaster response capacities in eight districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.” (“UNDP vows to build disaster-resilient Pakistan,” Dawn, 10 October 2022)

Civil court in Rawalpindi issues fresh arrest warrant for Rana Sanaullah
On 10 October, a fresh arrest warrant was issued for Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah by a judicial magistrate, with the police ordered to immediately arrest the minister and produce him before the court. The issuance of the fresh warrant comes two days after a court in Rawalpindi issued a non-bailable arrest warrant against the interior minister for failing to appear before the Punjab’s Anti-Corruption Establishment (ACE). On 8 October, Rawalpindi’s Senior Civil Judge (Criminal Division) Ghulam Akbar issued a non-baiilable arrest warrant for the interior minister over his alleged failure to join the investigation in the graft case. (Rizwan Shehzad, “Court issues fresh arrest warrant for Rana Sanaullah,” The Express Tribune, 10 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Sindh: MQM-P’s Kamran Khan Tessori made as the new governor of Sindh
On 9 October, MQM-P’s Kamran Khan Tessori was appointed as the new governor of Sindh. This comes after the office was vacant since Imran Ismail resigned before Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif became the premier in April. (“MQM-P’s Kamran Tessori appointed governor Sindh,” Dawn, 10 October 2022)

Sindh: Lahore records worst air quality
On 8 October, Lahore once again ranked as the most polluted city in the world with the Air Quality Index (AQI) rating ranging between 166 and 279 in the different areas of the metropolis. The latest data gathered through various government and private monitors highlights that the air quality of the provincial capital is the worst in the world, followed by Beijing, Dhaka, Milan, Shenyang, Seattle, Zagreb, Portland, Karachi and Vancouver. On average, the PM2.5 concentration in Lahore’s air is currently 16.8 times above the World Health Organisation (WHO) annual air quality guideline value. (Imran Adnan, “Lahore records worst air quality,” The Express Tribune, 10 October 2022)

Punjab: Administration in dilemma after look -after charge gets completed for Chief Secretary
On 10 October, Dawn reported that an unprecedented situation has cropped up in Punjab as the chief secretary having look-after charge completed his tenure and the incumbent chief secretary did not submit his joining report leaving the top administration office vacant. Abdullah Sumbal returned the chief secretary’s vehicle and did not sign any official file since his look-after charge too ended on Friday evening. Chief Minister Chaudhry Parvez Elahi has gone abroad for his private tour, allowing the administrative chaos to deepen in the province. The federal government and Punjab government could not resolve the matter in three weeks since Mr Afzal had gone on “protest leave”.(Mansoor Malik, “Punjab admin rudderless without chief secretary,” Dawn, 10 October 2022)

Balochistan: Grenade attack leaves four injured
On 8 October, four people were injured at night as a result of a grenade attack on a security check post on Sariab Road. Police said two people were seriously injured and shifted to the hospital for treatment. The grenade hurled by unidentified motorcyclists landed on the roadside, injuring four pedestrians. Security forces cordoned off the area and launched a search operation and took some suspects for interrogation. No organization has claimed responsibility for the attack. (“Four injured in Quetta grenade attack,” Dawn, 10 October 2022)

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Group clash between two groups left two killed and four injured
On 10 October, Dawn reported that two people were killed and four others injured in a clash between two groups at Bypass Road near Mingora. The incident took place early in the morning at a weight station. As a result, a man who owned the weight station and his son were killed on one side, while four persons from the other side were critically injured. (“Two killed, four injured as Swat groups clash,” Dawn, 10 October 2022)

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Two terrorists gunned down by security forces in North Waziristan 
On 9 October, security personnel hauled two terrorists during a fierce exchange of fire in the general area of Mir Ali, in the North Waziristan District. The Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) said that the weapons and ammunitions that were retrieved from the terrorist also engaged in active terrorist activities against security forces and in the killing of innocent citizens. Preceding this attack, another terrorist was killed by the forces during an Intelligence-Based Operation (IBO) in Peshawar’s general area of Mattani. (“Security forces gun down two terrorists in North Waziristan,” The News International, 9 October 2022)   
 
ON ECONOMY
State Bank of Pakistan look to keep the standard interest rate at a stable 15 per cent in new monetary policy  
On 10 October, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) made known its new monetary policy after a meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). A survey administered by The News said that the SBP’s MPC would keep the benchmark rate of interest at a firm 15 per cent, whereas the bank’s policymakers would let the interest rates be unchanged, despite an external financing deficiency. With September’s inflation pressures leading this policy rate, the consumer price index (CPI) fell to 23.2 per cent as compared to 27.3 per cent in August of the previous year. The central bank has raised the policy rate by 525 basis points since the beginning of 2022 to battle soaring inflation and to curb the import bill, with the bank’s policymakers not seeing a major risk to the inflation scenario n the future. Citing that the policy rate comes at a time when inflation is on the decline and the freezing of policies due to climate-induced floods, the central bank navigates this policy change with USD 8 billion in foreign exchange reserves, and a need for multiple partners to deal with the aftermath of the floods. (“In new monetary policy, SBP expected to keep benchmark interest rate steady at 15%,” The News International, 10 October 2022) 

PKR maintains a consistent uptrend momentum, gains PKR2.2 in interbank trade 
On 10 October, the PKR kept up a good recovery in the interbank market as it extended its gains against the dollar by more than PKR two in the morning session. The Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP) said that the dollar was being traded at PKR217.70 as of 12:30 pm, with the appreciation value of the currency being PKR2.2. Calling against the manipulation of the exchange rate from higher officials in banks, the FAP added that strong fines should be imposed on these banks and that they could prevent “satta baazi” in the future. The appreciation of the PKR has led to delayed import payments and a rush in export proceeds said the FAP. While the appreciation seeks good value to the PKR, Tresmark, a terminal that tracks the global currency market said that lowering the dollar to PKR200 would lead to a substantial consequence in the export proceeds and that it is not “viable”. (“Rupee continues upward momentum, gains Rs2.22 in interbank trade,” Dawn, 10 October 2022) 

Pakistan will not opt for debt restructuring 
On 09 October, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar in a press conference said that the government will not be asking for a debt restructuring from the Paris Club creditor nations. This comes after speculations arose on Pakistan possibly defaulting on its foreign debt. Dar also dismissed the market speculations that it will be extending maturities for its bonds. He added that they will pay all types of bonds on time. ("Govt will not seek Paris Club debt restructuring: Dar," Dawn, 9 October 2022) 

Finance Minister and World Bank country director meet 
On 8 October, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar hosted World Bank country director Najy Benhassine in Islamabad where the two discussed various issues. Dar outlined damages caused by the flood and economic problems that have come up as a result of the devastating floods. In response to this Najy Benhassine told Dar that the World Bank will be providing USD 2 billion to help the flood victims. Out of this USD, 1.5 billion will be provided by the end of the year to address the emergency in Pakistan, with Dar appreciating the World Bank for its support in revitalising the development projects and financial restructuring of the country. Citing that these funds would be used to “repurpose” their existing funds, the World Bank said that these funds would finance projects to support urgent needs. (“Govt to put economy on sustainable path to growth, says Dar,” Dawn, 9 October 2022) 

Finance Minister announces delayed payments of letters of credit worth USD50,000 will be cleared by this week 
On 9 October, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar announced that the pending bills of letters of credit (LCs) worth USD50,000 would be unburdened, revealing that this decision comes to provide relief to the business community. Dar also said that before his meeting with the IMF, the SBP chief will pass ordinances to clear the LCs as a beginning path to growth. With a whopping 7,952 cases pending and receiving 4,400 requests to open the LCs, the amount would be subtracted. Previously, the state bank needed prior approval before the opening of LCs but have since been an instruction adhered to in May. (“LCs worth $50,000 to be cleared this week, announces Ishaq Dar,” The News International, 9 October 2022) 

ON MILITARY
Armed forces will not let anyone create instability: COAS
On 8 October, while attending  a passing-out parade at Pakistan Military Academy (PMA), Kakul, COAS Bajwa said, “The message is clear. The armed forces with the support of our citizens will never allow any country, group or force to politically or economically destabilise Pakistan.” The remarks came days after Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah announced that army would be called out in aid of civil power, in case PTI chief Imran Khan gave a call for long march to Islamabad. A date for the march is yet to be announced though PTI says all preparations are at the final stage for what it claims would be the largest gathering of people in the country`s political history. He added that people of South Asia, like the rest of the world, deserved prosperity and better living conditions and that can only happen with sustained economic growth, development and above all, lasting peace. Therefore, we must strive hard to keep the flames of war away from the region. (Iftikhar A Khan, “Army chief vows not to let anyone foment instability,” Dawn, 10 October 2022)

Muhammad Amir Rana, Afghan Taliban’s frustration
Dawn, 10 October 2022
Pakistan has not achieved much in return for its support to the Taliban, especially concerning its key interests, such as border security, elimination of terrorist networks and trade and connectivity with the Central Asian states. Yet, the architects of Afghan policy in Islamabad have not entirely given up hope and still believe that once the Taliban regime overcomes its immediate economic and humanitarian crises, it will prove to be Pakistan’s best ally.

Editorial, Terror threat
The News International, 10 October 2022
As a democratic country that has fought valiantly against terrorism and sacrificed more than 80,000 lives, we deserve peace and security. How long will we expect our people to lay down their lives in this fight against terrorism? When a large number of people take to streets in Swat demanding the government to take decisive action against militant elements in the valley, the government should take it pretty seriously.

Abbas Nasir, Warning against belligerence?
Dawn, 10 October 2022
The heavens will not fall if the elections are not held till, say, the summer or autumn of next year as scheduled. Driving home a narrative, even in a post-truth era, is a political party’s right. One hopes and prays the transition at the head of the military and whatever democracy we have is not jeopardised by violence.

Dr Naazir Mahmood, An attack on democracy
The News International, 10 October 2022
Imran Khan’s deceitful narratives have been extremely harmful for democracy, for politics, for rule of law, and for society itself. There appears to be no logical conclusion to this farce of politics that the former prime minister is staging. Calling others traitors and trying to save his own skin has been his forte. The torpedo has done enough harm; it must be defused now, but who will do it and how is a million-dollar question.

Editorial, Bucking the trend
Dawn, 10 October 2022
The problem that became more serious after the restoration of the stalled IMF programme failed to end the market volatility needs to be dealt with to end the growing economic uncertainty. But whatever happens, Mr Dar should avoid interfering with the market forces or we may soon find ourselves in the midst of a deeper crisis.

Dr Khaqan Hassan Najeeb, The liquidity crunch
The News International, 10 October 2022
Building buffers can help cover financing needs in case of delays in anticipated inflows. Authorities have to start thinking about a plan to ensure permanent sustainability of the country's chronic balance of payments issue. This requires a path to a much more modest CAD. Rethinking of the financing of machinery by companies through raising funds abroad are some ideas which research can shape into concrete doables for reducing CAD.

Editorial, Moody’s reading
The News International, 10 October 2022
However, Moody’s needs to realise that the purported rescheduling in this case was not on the creditor’s instance; and that tapping into climate finance is a legitimate avenue for creditors like Pakistan; and that a rescheduling at the lenders' instance, in view of a cataclysmic disaster hitting the creditor, must not be classified as default.

Kamran Yousaf, Future of Pak-US ties
The Express Tribune, 10 October 2022
The Foreign Office spokesperson acknowledged that the change of government brought a positive shift in Pakistan’s relations with major powers and other countries…There are also ample opportunities in the field of trade and investment provided Pakistan creates the right type of policies and environment. Given Pakistan’s economic challenges, for various reasons, both sides will not seek divorce.

Dr. Moonis Ahmar, There can be no economic miracle in Pakistan!
The Express Tribune, 10 October 2022
When Ishaq Dar took oath as federal finance and revenue minister more than a week ago, there was an instant depreciation in the rate of the dollar versus the rupee; rise in the stock exchange index; and reduction in the prices of petroleum products. Does it mean that one person, who has twice earlier served as federal finance minister and escaped from Pakistan five years ago because of corruption charges, can cause an economic miracle?
 
Dr. Muhammad Ali Ehsan, Pakistan’s Konrad Adenauer
The Express Tribune, 10 October 2022
The political interpretation of the information-age audience in Pakistan is that the parties that have their Headquarters in London and New York and which have successively ruled this country have failed. Despite state sponsored propaganda against Imran Khan and all attempts to disqualify him from politics the one leader who fits in the boots of Konrad Adenauer is Imran Khan and he seems to be the only leader destined to lift up the spirits of the nation and lead it to regain its lost dignity and pride.

In Brief
INTERNAL
UNGA adopts resolution support rehabilitation and reconstruction efforts in Pakistan
On 7 October, the UN General Assembly (UNGA) unanimously adopted a resolution calling on donor nations and institutions to extend full support to rehabilitation and reconstruction efforts in Pakistan. The resolution which was co-sponsored by 159 countries urged the international community “in particular donor countries, international financial institutions and relevant international organisations, as well as the private sector and civil society, to extend full support and assistance to Pakistan in its efforts to mitigate the adverse impacts of the floods and to meet the medium- and long-term rehabilitation and reconstruction needs.” Further, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said, “The scaling calamities in Pakistan can linger for years. Massive guidance and support to the government of Pakistan are absolutely essential.” He added, “Countries, like Pakistan, which confront such climate-induced disasters, should not be left to fend for themselves,” adding, “We must construct global mechanisms that can enable climate-struck countries to access resources to mitigate the impacts of the ever more frequent and more intense climate disasters and to recover quickly from such disasters.” (Anwar Iqbal, “UNGA agrees to support Pakistan’s reconstruction,” Dawn, 8 October 2022)

No agency involved in audio leaks, says Interior Minister
On 7 October, Federal Minister for Interior Rana Sanaullah convincingly ruled out on involvement of any internal or external agencies in the cyber security breach at the Prime Minister Office that led to audio leaks. As the ongoing “cipher imbroglio” deepened in the country in the aftermath of recent audio leaks, the interior minister completely eliminated spy or any other agencies’ role in the audio leaks and pointed finger at individuals. He said, “There is nothing to hide; neither any internal nor any external agency is involved in it; I’m categorically saying that no hostile or internal agency is involved in this.” After his press conference, another audio leak emerged in which Imran apparently can be heard instructing party leaders Asad Umar and Shireen Mazari to brand lawmakers as traitors. He says: "What we have done has created an impact, now the strategy is to brand and spoon feed public on Mir Jafar and Mir Sadiq. Their (public) minds are already fertile to accept this. We have to brand them (traitors) for life." (Rizwan Shehzad, “No agency involved in audio leaks: Sana,” The Express Tribune, 8 October 2022)

Senators warn of surge in terrorist activities by TTP
On 7 October, senators warned of the surge in terrorist activities by the Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). PPP Senator Raza Rabbani urged Chairman Sadiq Sanjrani to direct the interior minister to brief the parliament and the public at large about the present status of peace talks with the TTP. This comes after the interior ministry issued an alert over increasing threat of terrorist attacks by the group after talks with the TTP remained inconclusive. (Iftikhar A. Khan, “Senators alarmed over surge in TTP activities,” Dawn, 8 October 2022)

Net metering rules to get amended by NA
On 8 October, Dawn reported that The National Assem­bly’s Standing Committee on Cabinet Secretariat has termed proposed amendments to Net Metering Rules against the public interest and directed the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) not to proceed with the amendments till the issue was under consideration of the committee. The committee members appeared quite skeptical about the role of Nepra in initiating such amendments and said that the proposed amendments would not only discourage people to convert to renewable energy but also increase the burden on the government. They said the committee asked Nepra to protect the interests of consumers besides encouraging the people to shift to renewable energy. (Taheer Siddiqui, “NA panel terms move to amend net metering rules ‘anti-people’,” Dawn, 8 October 2022)

ECP requested by interior ministry to put off by-polls for 90 days
On 7 October, the Interior Ministry requested the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) to postpone the by-elections scheduled to be held on 16 October for 90 days in view of "credible reports" from intelligence agencies that a "political party" was planning to besiege the federal capital. The letter said that most resources have been diverted toward relief and rehabilitation efforts across flood-hit areas in the country; therefore, it would put immense strain on government agencies including the Pakistan Army, Frontier Corps, Rangers, and other LEAs to utilise its resources and carry the extra work during election duties. (Saqib Virk, “ECP requested to put off by-polls for 90 days,” The Express Tribune,8 October 2022)

TikTok removes 15 million videos from Pakistan
On 8 October, The Express Tribune reported on the latest Community Guidelines Enforcement Report, with 15,351,388 videos removed, Pakistan ranked second in the world for the largest volume of videos taken down for Community Guidelines violations from 1 April 2022 - 30 June 2022. 97% per cent of videos were removed within 24 hours of being posted for violating Community Guidelines, 98 per cent were removed before a user reported them, and 97 per cent were removed before having any views. An official statement issued in this regard said that the report reflected the platform’s ongoing commitment to earning trust by being accountable while working to be safe and welcoming. The latest iteration of the report shows improvements made in countering misinformation and efforts made in the investment in digital literacy education to help get ahead of the problem at scale, it added. (“TikTok removes 15m videos from Pakistan,” The Express Tribune,8 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: 100 protestors got arrested and charged for the second consecutive day in teachers protest  
On 7 October, teachers of the government’s primary schools from across Khyber Pakhtunkhwa protested for the second consecutive day with the police arresting more than 100 protesters and booking their 13 leaders for rioting, attempting to murder, and other offenses. The police deployed scores of personnel in the nearby schools, including Higher Secondary School No 1, where the protesting teachers usually gather before marching on the Khyber Road. APTA president Azizullah Khan said the teachers held talks with the government’s representatives, who promised the early resolution of their issues. He said the government’s members asked protesters to end the sit-in. (“Peshawar police book 13 teacher leaders for rioting, unlawful gathering,” Dawn, 8 October 2022)

JUDICIARY
No retrospective effect for AMLA, says LHC
On 7 October, the Lahore High Court ruled that the Anti-Money Laundering Act 2010 (AMLA) cannot be invoked to prosecute an alleged offense committed before its promulgation as the law has not been given retrospective effect. Justice Asjad Javed Ghural maintained in his detailed verdict that “It is thus quite clear that the said Act was not given any retrospective effect, as such violation of any provision of AM before to its promulgation cannot form the basis of a money laundering allegation.” Justice Ghural states in his verdict that the high court has time and again shown reluctance in interfering in the ongoing investigation process on the well-cherished principle that functions of an investigating agency and the judiciary are complementary and not overlapping and the combination of individual liberty. (Wajih Ahmad Sheik, “Anti-Money Laundering Act given no retrospective effect, rules LHC,” Dawn, 8 October 2022)

ON GILGIT-BALTISTAN
Militants block roads demanding the release of accomplices
On 7 October, militants set up blockades on one of the major arteries linking Khyber Pakhtunkhwa with Gilgit-Baltistan, leaving a senior minister and several tourists stranded on Babusar Road near Chilas. The militants were demanding the release of their accomplices, including those involved in the gruesome murder of foreigners in the Nanga Parbat area and other terrorist incidents in Diamer. (Jamil Nagri, “Tourists, minister trapped as ‘militants’ block Babusar Road in GB,” Dawn, 8 October 2022)

ON MILITARY
Chief of Army Staff General Bajwa emphasises on regional peace and alerts possible change in status quo
On 8 October, Chief of Army Staff General Qamar Javed Bajwa underlined the necessity of regional peace and supplementing a mechanism for the peaceful resolution of bilateral issues. He apprised the gathering of the consequences of the devastation the status quo would leave behind if changed. He commented that the “desire for peace must not be construed” as Pakistan’s weakness, and that no mistake should be made in their collective effort to “defend” their interests. Further, he stated that neighbourly relations with the regional partners are “evolving,” adding that the “political logjam” that South Asia is facing with regards to bilateral relations. Additionally, he warned of “fake news.” (“COAS Bajwa stresses regional peace, warns ‘price of status quo will be devastating’ for all,” Dawn, 8 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
France’s donor conference to be held by the end of the year, says Foreign Office
On 7 October, the Foreign Office (FO) stressed the requirement for the world’s continuous and sustained support for the reconstruction and revitalisation of the flood hit regions of Pakistan. He said that Pakistan would implore the international community to fund the reconstruction at the donors’ conference that is set for the end of the year. While the specificity of the conference is not concrete, French President Emmanuel Macron has offered to host the conference. He expects a “comprehensive plan” to be prepared for the conference. (Baqir Sajjad Syed, “Macron-promised donor conference by year’s end: FO,” Dawn, 8 October 2022) 

ECONOMY
Increased food prices charge weekly inflation
On 7 October, the Sensitive Price Index (SPI) measured the rate of inflation at a rise of 0.29 per cent for the end of the week on 6 October due to the rise in food prices. The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics released data that showed the inflationary rise with the increase of the food prices and soaring energy prices. The SPI raised on a weekly basis, with the increase in tomatoes and onion pricing, along with other vegetables. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) based measure said that inflation would slightly climb due to increased domestic energy prices, flood devastations, and a weak PKR, according to the World Bank’ Pakistan Development Update of October 2022. The IMF also said that the CPI would surge in the ongoing fiscal year while core inflation would continue to remain high. A weekly review read that 17 items rose in pricing, along with 14 items seeing a decrease and 20 items remaining stable. On an overall review, tomatoes, onions, diesel, petrol and other necessities saw the most surge in pricing, and add to the overall standing rate of inflation. (“Higher food prices fuel weekly inflation,” Dawn, 8 October 2022) 

PKR600 billion worth of projects approved by the federal government
On 7 October, the federal government dealt a major PKR600 billion worth of funding toward major development plans, in the midst of a thin fiscal capacity and the cessation of subsidies on energy for the common people. The Executive Committee of the National Council (ECNEC) approved plans mostly for the energy and communication sector, and has led with the objective to “meet the additional load demand” and improve regions for a 500kv Sialkot Substation project. Adding to the upgrade and construction of the 220kv Vehari substation and Chasma Right Bank Canal Project which is supported by a French agency, the funds were approved for PKR17.06 billion and PKR189.09 billion respectively.
With the project covering the costs for the Naulong Multipurpose Dam project, the funds here would contribute to the building of a proper functional dam and improve impoverishment, socioeconomic conditions in the area. Adding to the mix the Punjab Resilient and Inclusive Agriculture Transformation project along with the revitalisation of the Karachi-Quetta-Chaman Road, the committee approved the plan with PKR74.75 billion and PKR17.83 billion respectively. (Mubarak Zeb Khan, “Projects worth Rs600bn approved,” Dawn, 8 October)   

Maleeha Lodhi, An uneasy relationship
Dawn, 8 October 2022
Pakistani officials play down differences with Kabul and point to the many areas of ongoing cooperation to indicate that relations remain “smooth” and “good”. But it is also a fact that for months there have been no ministerial visits by either side. Cooperative relations with Afghanistan are a strategic compulsion for Pakistan but that does not minimise the many problems that stand in the way of achieving this.

Editorial, More leaks
Dawn, 8 October 2022
The interior minister should realise that sounds more like a shoddy cover-up than a plausible explanation for how two sitting Pakistani prime ministers ended up being illegally surveilled and having their private dealings leaked to the public. Are our security agencies so hapless and inept that they couldn’t prevent some ‘hackers’ from breaching the PM Office’s security? Quite embarrassing if true.

Editorial, Leaking away
The News International, 8 October 2022
The court had ruled in the PTI’s favour, which later helped PTI secure the Punjab government. So it makes total sense for the PTI to deny the latest audio leak. However, the veracity of the audio must be ascertained before any allegations are levelled officially. If the audio is true, former PM Imran Khan will need the spin-masters within the party to work overtime in spinning a yarn around this one.

Farrukh Khan Pitafi, Leaking
The Express Tribune, 8 October 2022
The priorities of a nation define its future. Let’s consider ours. The country’s poor people are telling you they are sunk, and if the flood were not enough, shrinking purchasing power would likely kill them. The elites of the country and the media tell you there is only one topic of discussion that matters Imran Khan. The country’s religious elite agree that there is only one topic worth discussing.

Editorial, Protesting teachers
The News International, 8 October 2022
One of the primary demands of the teachers is that primary schoolteachers be recruited to basic pay scale of 14 rather than 12. This demand is reasonable as our teachers deserve better pay and working conditions that our government schools hardly offer them. The provincial government has also cut down several allowances from teachers’ pensions which they were entitled to. A country where teachers are beaten up or disrespected can hardly hope for its education system to improve.

Saleem Safi, Betraying political creators
The News International, 8 October 2022
Imran Khan was pampered, supported, sponsored, idealized, and brought into the shining political limelight from deep political obscurity. However, once in power, he played havoc with the country’s economy, politics, foreign policy, social fabric, and moral values. Now when he is out of power, Imran Khan is targeting his very own benefactors, sponsors, and mentors. What a betrayal.

Sarwar Bari, Remembering 2005 earthquake amid the 2022 floods
The Express Tribune, 8 October 2022
Despite the difference in the trigger, time, and space between the 2005 earthquake and the recent floods, there are many similarities between the two gigantic disasters. Today 17 years later, the people of the quake-hit areas remember their departed loved ones, the colossal destruction, and the massive displacement that they had suffered.

Imtiaz Gul, Re-emergence of proxy terrorism
The Express Tribune, 8 October 2022
Proxy violence across Pakistan is on the rise again. In the first nine months of 2022, mostly TTP-related terrorists carried out 274 attacks, leaving at least 455 dead…almost all proxy terror franchises share one objective: continue the destabilization campaign and keep security forces on tenterhooks. This entails a picture of a volatile country not worth foreign investment.

Editorial, Subsidy for exporters
Dawn, 8 October 2022
Low-value-added sectors enjoying the electricity subsidy should agree to gradually move to higher-end products. Unconditionally financing big factory owners, who also have easy access to long- and short-term cheap bank loans, may win the government big business’s support but it will not help our exports.

In Brief
INTERNAL
Another audio leak: Imran Khan was heard talking about horse trading in parliament
On 7 October, Imran Khan was heard talking about horse-trading in parliament in another audio leak from the Prime Minister’s Office. The recording allegedly to be Imran Khan says, "You have a misunderstanding that now the number game is complete [...] don't think this is over," adding, "You see, 48 hours is a long long time. Big things are happening. I am making my own moves that we can't make public." The recording continues to says, "I have given the message that those five are very important. And tell them that if they secure these five [...] and if he secures 10, then the game will be in our hands. The nation at this moment is alarmed. Across the board, people want us to win somehow, adding, "Hence, don't worry about whether this is right or wrong [...] even if they break one, it would create a huge difference." (“Another audio leak drops, this time allegedly of Imran strategising on horse-trading in parliament,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

PM Shehbaz Sharif calls Imran Khan a “fraudster” and the “biggest liar in Pakistan’s history”
On 6 October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif criticised Imran Khan for being a “fraudster” and the “biggest liar in Pakistan’s history.” He said, “I’m finally saying this today that the entire opposition has been vindicated by God. And Imran Khan — who lies day and night — is a fraudster […] he had isolated the nation and played with it. He attacked the army and tried to create divisions in state institutions.” Additionally, he claimed, “The audio leaks have also exposed what game the biggest liar Imran Khan and other conspirators played on the cipher issue, which was not less than committing treason with the country.”

Meanwhile, the government has decided to clamp down on the PTI’s long march, termed it as a “conspiracy” against the state. A statement from the PMO said, “It will not be a political long march of PTI but a march for a conspiracy,” adding that the PML-N leaders have agreed to give full authority to PM Shehbaz Sharif to take appropriate measures to tackle the situation. (Muhammad Anis, “By God, Imran is a fraud: Shehbaz,” The News International, 7 October 2022; Syed Irfan Raza, “Govt to use ‘full force of law’ to counter PTI march,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

Meanwhile, Dawn reported that sources in the police have informed that the federal government has prepared a plan under which the police have been given a go ahead to put Imran Khan under house arrest at his Banigala residence under the Maintainance of Public Ordinance. (Munawer Azeem, “Plan ready to put Imran Khan under house arrest,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

President Alvi urges politicians to end polarisation
On 6 October, President Dr Arif Alvi while addressing the joint session of the Parliament urged the politicians to end increasing polarisation and decide on an election date by coming together. He said, “People can only be united if politicians are united,” adding that eliminating differences was the “need of the hour.” However, the session was unproductive as majority of treasury and opposition members refused to attend the president’s constitutionally mandatory address. Following the address Foreign Minister Bhutto-Zardari demanded “impeachment of the president,” as he criticised the president for his “unconstitutional efforts to sabotage vote of no confidence,” violating the Constitution and his oath in order to undermine transfer of power. (Amir Wasim, “Alvi faces ‘empty’ NA, jeers from lawmakers,” Dawn, 7 October 2022; “In joint NA session, President Alvi urges lawmakers to 'end polarisation' and decide election date together,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

INTERNAL
Pakistan’s efforts for the uplift of the aviation industry lauded
On 5 October, Inter­nat­i­o­nal Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) in its press release ap­­preciated Pakistan’s efforts to transform the country’s aviation sector into an effective, qualitative and modern industry, meeting global air-safety standards. Delegates of Pakistan Civil Aviation Authority (PCAA) are representing Pakistan at the ICAO Assembly. The 27 September-7 October moot is being attended by 193 member states in Montreal. (“Pakistan’s efforts for uplift of aviation industry lauded,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

Maryam Nawaz meets Nawaz Sharif in London after getting her passport
On 6 October, Maryam Nawaz met with Nawaz Sharif  in London after three years. The party workers danced to drum beats and distributed sweets to celebrate the reunion of the Sharif family and Maryam Nawaz’s acquittal in the Avenfield Reference by the Islamabad High Court. On 4 October, PML-N Vice President Maryam Nawaz received her passport from the Lahore High Court (LHC) deputy registrar's office (judicial). (Murtaza Ali Shah, “After three years Maryam and Nawaz reunite in London,” The News International, 7 October 2022)

PROVINCES
Sindh: Karachi to face a temperature of 38-40 degrees in October
On 7 October, the Met department reported that the maximum temperature in Karachi is likely to range between 36 and 38 degrees Celsius on 7 October and 38-40 degrees Celsius from 8-10 October. According to the Met chief, “The region is likely to turn warmer under the influence of a low-pressure prevailing over south India.” (“Temperature in Karachi may rise to 40°C,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

Balochistan: Police officer opens fire on flood relief victims; one killed
On 6 October, one person was killed after a police officer open fire during distribution of relief goods by an NGO in the cattle farm area of Jafferabad district. According to Dawn, reports claimed that hundreds of people had gathered after a foreign NGO announced to distribute relief goods, including tents, food and other items among the flood victims when the official opened fire to control the crowd. (Saleem Shahid, “One killed in Balochistan's Jafferabad as distribution of relief goods descends into chaos,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

Sindh: Inability to hold the LG polls, says govt
On 6 October, the government expressed its inability to hold the crucial polls arguing that it was focusing on relief and rehabilitation of flood victims which did not allow it to shift its attention, resources, and energy to “other issues”. The Sindh government has been under severe criticism from its opponents over the past many years, mainly for curtailing the powers of local government institutions and also delaying its polls. Syed Murad Ali Shah said, “There’s a natural calamity we are facing. The lives of more than 33 million are at serious risk. Elections will keep taking place but right now we have 33 million people to take care of. Therefore, our focus should be on them. Let’s press a pause button on politics for a while.” With fresh excuse from the ruling party chief and the uncertainty further deepening about the polls, the opposition parties reacted strongly to PPP’s stance and warned that any move by the Sindh government to postpone the LG elections in the metropolis would have political and legal consequences. (Imran Ayub, “Opposition rejects Bilawal’s excuse for not holding LG polls in Sindh,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: School teachers got arrested after resorting to baton charge
On 6 October, police arrested dozens of schoolteachers after resorting to baton-charge and tear gas firing to disperse their rally staged to demand gradation of their pay scales and restoration of allowances. Protesting the police’s action, the Primary School Teachers’ Association announced the closure of all government primary schools in the province from 7 October. The police baton-charged protesters and fired tear gas on them to ensure their dispersal. The action injured many teachers, who were shifted to the Lady Reading Hospital, whose doctors provided them with first aid. The police also arrested dozens of teachers. They, however, didn’t register FIRs against them until night. (Mohammad Ashfaq, “Peshawar police baton-charge, arrest protesting schoolteachers,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

ECONOMY
Finance Minister introduces power subsidies package for export-oriented industries
On 6 October, during a hurriedly called press conference, Finance Minister announced that in order to keep exports sectors competitive, the government would bring power tariff at a regionally competitive electricity tariff (RCET) of PKR 19.99 to honour a commitment the government had already made with the exporters. Recently, the influential All Pakistan Textile Mills Association (APTMA) had threatened to close mills over RCET`s withdrawal. Responding to a question, he said this would have a financial implication of PKR 90-100bn over the year as the government would bear the difference between PKR 19.99 per unit to exporters and the average power rate. Separately, on 7 October, Finance Minister responded to downgrading of Pakistan's sovereign credit rating, he said, “They (Moody’s officials) have to meet me. I told them if you don’t [reverse] this, I will give you a befitting response in our meeting next week."  (Khaleeq Kiani, “Dar unveils Rs100bn power subsidy for exporters,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

PKR continues its streak against USD, strengthens by 2.24 per USD
On 7 October, Pakistani rupee's recovery streak continued with a gain of PKR 2.24 against the dollar during early trade in the interbank market. Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (ECAP) General Secretary Zafar Paracha said the rupee's value was improving because of regulators' strict monitoring and action against speculators. Tresmark's Head of Research Komal Mansoor said the exchange rate was moving only on political news and economic fundamentals were not involved. (Talqeen Zubairi, “PKR jumps by Rs2.24 against dollar in interbank,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

Inflation to decline from next fiscal year: SBP deputy governor
On 6 October, while speaking at a zoom session organised by the World Bank and Tabadlab, the SBP deputy chief said inflation doubled from 13-14 per cent to about 25-27 per cent since June on the back of an increase in fuel prices. He added that Pakistan will likely achieve its 5-7 per cent inflation target by the next fiscal year due to a beneficial base effect and tightening of macroeconomic policies. The SBP deputy chief also termed fears about Pakistan’s economic outlook “exaggerated” and said Pakistan was over-financed by at least USD 10 billion as a result of inflows from friendly countries and pledges made by development partners in the aftermath of floods. The central bank official said that the external financing needs of Pakistan were around USD 31 billion while available financing was USD 37. “However, this is before taking the floods into account,” he added. (Zaki Abbas, "(“Inflation to fall to 5-7pc by next fiscal year, says SBP deputy governor,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

World Bank to cut growth projection with the floods being discussed in the EU parliament
On 6 October, the World Bank while committing USD two billion in loans for flood-affected areas, revised downward Pakistan’s macroeconomic projections in the aftermath of severe floods, by lowering GDP growth and hiking inflation as well as worsening fiscal and external deficits. Bilawal Bhutto while addressing a press conference said that the government’s strategy to manage the recent unprecedented floods in Sindh but agreed that the provincial government could not reach out to “each and every” affected person. Shehbaz Sharif has said Pakistan should not be forced to go to rich polluting nations with “a begging bowl” in the aftermath of the catastrophic flooding which has affected nearly a third of the country. Latest data and estimates show nearly 1,700 people have been killed in the floods and their aftermath caused by heavy monsoon rains and melting glaciers. Thousands more have been displaced and the United Nations has sounded the alarm on the rise of water-borne diseases in the country, particularly among the flood-hit population. The government estimates the cost of the damage at USD 30 billion, and both the government and the UN have blamed the catastrophe on climate change. The European Parliament with lawmakers from the 27-nation bloc discusses ways to help Pakistan in mitigating the impact of climate change.(“ Should not have to take ‘begging bowl’ to rich polluting nations after floods: PM Shehbaz,” Dawn, 7 October 2022; Kamran Yousaf, “Pakistan floods echoed in EU Parliament,” The Express Tribune, 7 October 2022; Hafeez Tunio, “Bilawal alleges barriers in flood relief inflow,” The Express Tribune, 7 October 2022; Mehtab Haider, “Floods devastation: World Bank cuts Pakistan’s growth projection to 2pc,” The International News, 7 October 2022)

JUDICIARY
Disqualification for life is done by the declaration from the court, says CJP
On 7 October, Umar Ata Bandial observed that handing down disqualification to a lawmaker for life under Article 62(1) (f) of the Constitution was not an easy task since it could only be done through a declaration by a court of law. He further said, “No one can be declared dishonest without an appreciation of proper evidence against him by a court of law.” Justice Bandial made the remarks during the hearing of an appeal by PTI leader Faisal Vawda against his disqualification for life by the Election Commission of Pakistan. The Supreme Court, through its judgments, has already set up a benchmark for disqualifying political leaders under Article 62(1) (f). It also explained there was no concept of “automatic determination” of the question of whether a lawmaker was “Sadiq” and “Ameen” or not. (Nasir Iqbal, “Only a court can hand down disqualification for life, says CJP,” Dawn, 7 October 2022)

Editorial, Another U-turn?
Dawn, 7 October 2022
The noise created by the audio leaks last week seems to have dissipated almost completely, while Imran Khan continues to remain tight-lipped on a date for his next march on Islamabad. November draws nearer with the army chief insistent about departing on time and urging that the national focus remain on the economy. It is difficult to avoid conjecture with so much at stake.

Editorial, Renewed TTP threat
Dawn, 7 October 2022
While the rulers in Islamabad may be distracted by power games, and a transition is taking place in Rawalpindi, both the civilian and military leadership must prioritise counterterrorism plans. Moreover, the Afghan Taliban must be clearly communicated the message that there can be no room for anti-Pakistan terrorists on their soil.

Editorial, Treason talk
The News International, 7 October 2022
The PTI’s long march is related to November in many ways. The government is also ready to give the PTI a tough time if it comes to Islamabad. Will we ever see an end to this sort of vicious politics or the now overused cipher debate that needs to be put to rest once and for all? Unlikely, going by the flexing of muscles all around.

Raoof Hasan, Here they see it, here they don’t
The News International, 7 October 2022
Try as they may, Khan is not going anywhere. A self-imposed dementia of selectively seeing something when desired and acting blind when not needed is not going to work. If someone feels that an election held without Khan’s participation will bear any legitimacy and its result accepted by the people of Pakistan, they must be dreaming. There can be no election without Khan and there is no one winning it but Khan. This is the reality that scares the entire criminal conglomerate banded under the umbrella of the PDM. 

Afzal Ali Shigri, Against all odds
Dawn, 7 October 2022
The chief secretary has converted the weaknesses of the flawed bureaucratic structure into an opportunity to undertake regional development…These actions will ensure the induction of large numbers of educated youth in the fast-changing digital world where voices for human rights cannot be ignored indefinitely. Consequently, this will compel the federation to undertake a key decision on the constitutional status of the federation for unconditional integration of GB as a province.

Mohammad Ali Babakhel, Journey of transitions
Dawn, 7 October 2022
The decision of the provincial cabinet to bifurcate SW into two districts will improve public service delivery and governance. However, the real challenge is how to synchronise the interests of the Wazirs and the Mehsuds; that will determine the success of such administrative reforms. The journey from persistent transitions to sustainable peace requires sincere efforts on the part of all stakeholders to play their role in the implementation of the Fata reforms.

Editorial, Extreme poverty
The News International, 7 October 2022
Wealthy countries conveniently have been ducking the question of their responsibility in increasing the poverty rate. They have the resources to cushion the economic blow from the pandemic and other natural disasters, but the same cushion is not available to the poor nations. And that is the crux of the matter: the Global South and developing economies need help and support to get out of the poverty trap – this help must come from the exploitative richer nations around the world.

Syed Muhammad Ali, Rethink disaster mitigation
The Express Tribune, 7 October 2022
Pakistan is still struggling with the relief phase of its second mega flood in just over a decade. After this initial relief phase is over, it will be time to think about disaster mitigation. The way the Pakistani government has responded to the flood crisis thus far indicates that our decision-makers, and relevant state institutions, did not adequately learn from the 2010 super-floods. While the world community, especially the largest contributors to climate change, needs to lend Pakistan significant support, there is much work that needs to be undertaken within the country to be better prepared for contending with varied climate-induced disasters.

Ozer Khalid, How Pakistan can further leverage SCO in 2022 and beyond?
The Express Tribune, 7 October 2022
The yearly 2022 summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) — a Eurasian political, economic, and security organization — took place on September 15-16 in Samarkand, Uzbekistan under the chairmanship of Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev. Priority areas highlighted for the SCO in 2023 included enhancing the authority of SCO and striving towards region-wide peace and poverty mitigation with food and water security. More intense trade between SCO members via the removal of trade barriers, aligning regulatory regimes, and digitalization of customs processes was also explored.

Dr. Pervez Tahir, The economy can go to hell
The Express Tribune, 7 October 2022
Shaukat Tarin, while defending the infamous petrol price reductions forced by his leader in March this year, claimed that he knew how to finance the resulting subsidy without jeopardizing the IMF program. The IMF has “nothing to do with politics. We have told them not to press hard.” Fast forward: Ishaq Dar reduces petrol prices to push the agenda of his supreme leader. “I know how to deal with the IMF and nothing will happen…It is now between me and the IMF.”

In Brief
INTERNAL
Process for appointing the new chief of army staff would begin within weeks, says Defence Minister
On 5 October, Defence Minister Khawaja Asif stated that the process for appointing the new chief of army staff would begin within weeks, assuring that the appointment would be done in accordance with the Constitution. Further, he criticised Imran Khan stating that he was “duplicitous” and was trying to engage the military in closed-door meetings, in a reference to the meeting held at the Presidency at the initiative of President Arif Alvi, while disparaging the army generals in his public rallies. (Baqir Sajjad Syed, “Process for COAS’ appointment to begin within weeks: Khawaja Asif,” Dawn, 6 October 2022)

Government has been taking measure to ensure 100 per cent literacy, says Education Minister
On 5 October, Education Minister Rana Tanveer Hussain said that the government has been taking steps in order to make Islamabad a city with a literacy rate of 100 per cent. Speaking at an award ceremony organized by the Federal Directorate of Education (FDE) in connection with World Teachers Day, the minister said that efforts are underway for achieving 100 per cent literacy in Islamabad. He said a new course should be added to the syllabus with a special focus on the character building of students. (Kashif Abbasi, “Govt targeting 100pc literacy rate: minister,” Dawn, 6 October 2022)

President approves reference seeking the Supreme Court’s verdict on Reko Diq project
On 5 October, President Dr Arif Alvi approved the filing of a reference seeking the Supreme Court’s verdict on whether the government should or should not revive the Reko Diq project. This comes after a committee headed by the finance minister and the shareholders of Tethyan Copper Company (TCC) agreed to a framework for the settlement and revival of the Reko Diq project in March 2022. (Syed Irfan Raza, “Alvi okays reference seeking SC opinion on revival of Reko Diq project,” Dawn, 6 October 2022)

Centre in panic as talks with TTP end in deadlock 
On 6 October, the Ministry of Interior put out a nationwide alert requesting “extreme vigilance” in light of the increased risk of terrorist attacks by the Tehreek-I-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). Addressing the home and chief secretaries of four provinces including “Azad Jammu and Kashmir” and Gilgit Baltistan and Islamabad’s chief commissioner, the government pushed authorities to increase security and observe vigilance to avoid any risky consequences. As a part of the failed talks between the TTP and the government in fulfilling the TTP’s main demand of reversing the merger of FATA with KP, the deadlock has been assumed to be risky to the government, which the government thinks could escalate into “avenging the killing of their commanders” to showcase superiority. In a similar consequence, the TTP has also moved their families to highly secured locations in the fear of a counteractive Pakistani attack. The ministry commented on the strike operations, and defections of the TTP sub-groups collectively launching attacks on the government, and assured security measures in their respective jurisdictions to avoid any bad consequence. (Mohammad Asghar, “Centre fears TTP attacks amid stalemate in talks,” Dawn, 6 October 2022) 

POLITICS
De-seated PTI MNAs approach IHC over ‘resignations’ by the NA speaker and ECP
On 5 October, the de-seated PTI lawmakers in a stance difference from their earlier statement told the Islamabad High Court (IHC) that the speaker of the National Assembly had treated their “en masse letters” as a resignation and recommended their de-notification to the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP). The PTI members argue before the court that after the change of their government, the leadership took a policy decision to protest against the party’s removal from office. (Malik Asad, “De-seated PTI MNAs ‘change tune’ on resignations,” Dawn, 6 October 2022)

Red lines crossing by Imran gets warned by the coalition
On 5 October, the ruling coalition partners said nobody would be allowed to attack the federal capital and warned Imran Khan against crossing the constitutional red lines. The warning came during a meeting of the coalition partners at the Prime Minister’s House with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif in the chair. The govt allies also warned that the Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa governments should not become a tool in the hands of Imran Khan to pave way for any kind of Fasad.  The meeting maintained “Those crossing the constitutional limits will have to face the law.” A declaration issued by the Prime Minister’s House after the meeting said the coalition leaders also pledged that anybody crossing the red lines of the Constitution would be stopped with the power of 220 million people and the Constitution. (“Coalition warns Imran against crossing red lines,” The News International, 6 October 2022)

ON ENERGY
Natural gas shortage would persist this winter like last year, says Minister of State for Petroleum
On 5 October, the Minister of State for Petroleum Musadik Malik stated that the natural gas shortage would persist this winter like last year. He blamed the shortage Imran Khan’s administration failure to contract the cheapest available liquefied natural gas. Further, he noted that an effective gas load management was being finalised to ensure the supply of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinders as an alternative fuel. (Khaleeq Kiani, “Minister warns of gas shortage as winter nears,” Dawn, 6 October 2022)

EXTERNAL
Lloyd Austin asks long term defence partnership betweeen the US and Pakistan 
On 5 October, US Defence Secretary Lloyd J. Austin commented on his talks with visiting Pakistan Army Chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa concentrated on the well-established partnership between the US and Pakistan’s defence structures and discussed their areas of mutual interest. Hosting Gen Bawa at the 75th anniversary of the partnership between the US and Pakistan, the countries acknowledged their efforts to maintain regional security and bilateral cooperation in various fields and announced that both sides had “convergence on major international issues”, including that of Afghanistan. Focussed on revitalising defence partnerships with US and Pakistan, diplomatic experts saw this meeting as an effort to show the recent pronouncement of the US’s release of USD450 million for the support of Pakistan’s fleet of F-16 aircraft. Rejecting Indian Foreign minister Jaishankar’s claim that these aircraft would be crafted against India, the US supported Pakistan’s right to have these airplanes and said that the programme would bolster Pakistan’s capability to “deal with terrorist threats,” and defended their claims over the funds. (Anwar Iqbal, “Focus on long-term Pak-US defence partnership: Lloyd Austin,” Dawn, 6 October 2022) 

ECONOMY 
PKR strengthens by 2.19 per USD in interbank
On 6 October, Pakistani rupee recovered by another PKR 2.19 against the dollar during morning trade in the interbank market. The rupee, which had fallen close to an all-time low of PKR 239.71 on 22 September, has been recovering since then. It has gained PKR 15.77 or 6.58 per cent in the last nine sessions. FAP Chairman Malik Bostan cited several reasons for the rupee’s appreciation, including the Asian Development Bank’s (ADB) announcement of around USD 2.3-2.5 billion in aid and expectations of a consistent decline in imports. (Taqeen Zubairi, “PKR strengthens by Rs2.19 in interbank,” Dawn, 6 October 2022)

Finance Minister to stress on lenient conditions with regards to price adjustment at the IMF
On 6 October, The News International reported on the status of understanding between IMF and Pakistan authorities. Finance minister who is to leave for Washington D.C next week for attending the annual meeting of the Breton Wood Institutions (BWIs) of IMF and World Bank, has stressed that Islamabad all set to request IMF to make conditions attached to EFF lenient, especially freezing fuel price adjustment of electricity and petroleum development levy on POL products for next few months. According The News International’s sources, during the sidelines of upcoming meetings from 10-16 October, Pakistan will make a formal request to the IMF high-ups for revising the macroeconomic framework for the current fiscal year 2022-23 by lowering the GDP growth rate, hiking inflation and upward adjustments of twin deficits known as budget deficit and current account deficit . The government has restricted the budget deficit target at 4.9 per cent for the current fiscal year under the IMF programme and throwing a revenue surplus of PKR 153 billion till end June 2023. (“Dar to ask IMF to revise macroeconomic framework,” The News International, 6 October 2022)

PM to hold presser on Pakistan's economic, political situation
On 6 October, The News International reported that PM will address the nation and plans to give policy statement on cipher issue and PTI's long march call. According to the News International’s sources, the prime minister will also inform the nation about important decisions of the Pakistan Democratic Movement and allied parties. (Ayaz Akbar Yousafzai, “PM Shehbaz Sharif to hold important presser on Pakistan's economic, political situation today,” The News International, 6 October 2022)

Digitisation can secure supply chain says deputy chief of State Bank of Pakistan 
On 5 October, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Deputy Governor Inayat Hussain remarked that the share of small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) in funding the private sector is lessening partially because of their inclination toward the informal sector which allows them to evade taxes. Observing that lending to the SMEs in cash and collateral leads to expensive and time taking efforts and claimed that these enterprises have a small share of 7.9 per cent in loans at the end of August. Commenting on the necessity of using technology, Hussain acknowledged the efforts taken by Haball Limited, a business-to-business financial technology that is looking at supply chain digitisation. Along with a shortage of cash and delayed payments from retailers, SMEs face a disproportionately high effect of non-performing loans, because their lending leads to increased operating expenses as compared to a company smaller their size. Haball Limited works with an end-to-end digital supply chain lending platform that makes way for distributors of fast-moving consumer goods to get loans backed by assets and to increase cash flows. Banking on digitisation, Haball commented that transactions could take 15 seconds to complete, as compared to a longer duration otherwise. (Kazim Alam, “Digitisation can fix supply chain: SBP deputy chief,” Dawn, 6 October 2022) 

ON JUDICIARY
Supreme Court expresses surprise over the recent NAO amendments
On 5 October, a three-judge special bench of the apex court headed by Umar Ata Bandial expressed astonishment during the hearing of Khan’s petition against recent amendments in NAO. This was the seventh hearing of the case wherein Imran’s counsel Khawaja Haris continued to advance his arguments in the case. The PTI chief in his petition had claimed that the amendments to the NAB law were made to benefit the influential accused persons and legitimize corruption. During the hearing, the bench wondered how the amount deposited with the NAB would be reimbursed to the accused after the admission of guilt and entering a plea bargain. The bench also noted that the recent amendments had decriminalized certain offenses. (Hasnaat Malik, “SC ‘astonished’ at NAO amendment,” The Express Tribune, 6 October 2022)
 
ON PAKISTAN-OCCUPIED KASHMIR
US envoy on visits POK, emphasises deep economic and cultural ties
On 5 October, The Express Tribune reported that US ambassador to Pakistan Donald Blome on the conclusion of his visit to “Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK)” said, “The United States is continuing this strong tradition of supporting Pakistan during times of great need, having thus far contributed more than $66 million in cash, food, shelter, and health assistance in response to the devastating flooding. The US support has included a US military airbridge that delivered lifesaving supplies to the people of Pakistan.” During his visit, he met with Prime Minister Tanveer Ilyas and representatives from academia, business, cultural, and civil society organisations. (“US envoy visits AJK to ‘promote Pakistan-US partnership’,” The Express Tribune, 6 October 2022)

PM offers apology to the opposition leaders
On 5 October, a confrontation between the government and opposition parties “Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK)” apparently came to an end after Prime Minister Sardar Tanveer Ilyas offered apologies to two key opposition leaders on the floor of the Legislative Assembly. The faceoff, triggered by PM Ilyas’s comment about Leader of the Opposition Chaudhry Latif Akbar about a week ago, was exacerbated on 3 October after Law Minister Sardar Faheem Akhtar Rabbani tossed his mobile phone at former premier Raja Farooq Haider during the assembly session in the wake of alleged exchange of barbs. The untoward incident not only unleashed scuffles and torrents of abuse between the two sides, forcing the chair to adjourn the session for two days but also triggered violent street protests by supporters of Mr. Haider from his PML-N party. (Tariq Naqash, “AJK govt and opposition mend fences after premier offers apology,” Dawn, 6 October 2022)

ON KASHMIR
Home Minister Amit Shah denies talks with Pakistan 
On 5 October, Indian Home Minister Amit Shah during a rally in Jammu and Kashmir denied of any talks with Pakistan. On the status of Jammu and Kashmir and the possible elections to the J&K assembly, he said that revision of electoral polls would lead to elections soon and said that he wanted to converse with the “youth of Kashmir.” Further, he focused on the measure of Prime Minister Modi and stated that these were turning Kashmir into a “hotspot of tourism.” (“No talks with Pakistan, says Indian minister,” Dawn, 6 October 2022) 

Ali Tauqeer Sheikh, Finance for climate disasters
Dawn, 6 October 2022
Clearly, Pakistan needs to abandon this suicidal path whereby all our remedial measures for climate-induced disasters add further to the cost of disasters. They are reducing our climate resilience and sustainability. No measures should reduce our social and economic viability. Can the National Economic Council, the apex economic decision-making body chaired by the prime minister, take clear and firm decisions and guide the country on financing climate disasters?

Dr Noman Ahmed, Local elections in the doldrums
Dawn, 6 October 2022
It can be concluded that a great deal of content and prosperity can be ensured for the city and the country by reducing ad hoc-ism and introducing transparency in state functions. It is up to the political leadership of all tiers to rise to the occasion, take responsibility, and deliver the residents some long-due good governance.

Editorial, ‘Draconian’ law
Dawn, 6 October 2022
The Supreme Court had stated in 2018 when it held that disqualification was for life, that it was only interpreting the law as it was. Therefore, instead of repeatedly stumbling over the optics of what touching Article 62(1)(f) would look like, our lawmakers need to hold firm and make any reasonable changes required for the sake of the stability and continuity of the political order.

Editorial, Welcome clarity
Dawn, 6 October 2022
Unfortunately, politicians of all persuasions have themselves often headed to Pindi and Aapbara to canvass those who matter. Therefore, there needs to be consensus amongst all political actors that matters of governance should be the exclusive domain of civilians.

Mashhood Hassan Azam Awan, The seniority principle
Dawn, 6 October 2022
There must be an objective criterion for the appointment of SC judges to avoid any rift among the honourable members of the Judicial Commission of Pakistan. However, till such time the objective criterion is devised, the seniority of judges must be used as a standalone criterion for the appointment of SC judges. It will only help serve as a precaution based on the bitter experiences of the past.

Editorial, Disqualification debate
The News International, 6 October 2022
Political observers and legal experts in fact had been warning of the boomerang effect of such cases from way back when the Memogate scandal issue was legally taken to courts by Nawaz Sharif – that such issues would be used against politicians again and Nawaz shouldn’t do this as it could be his turn next. Lo and behold, we saw what happened with Nawaz after the Panama verdict. There is little disagreement that over decades Pakistan's politicians have been cynically pitted against each other by power-brokers in an anti-politics game for power. This cycle needs to end.

Editorial, A state of terror
The News International, 6 October 2022
This should not be permitted and the international community needs to take stronger action to prevent the kind of random violence which is encouraged by the Indian state. The BJP and its leaders and followers have for long had blood on their hands. And it seems they are only looking to inflict even more violence on the Indian and Kashmiri Muslim.

Inam Ul Haque, The phenomenon of Imran Khan and politics
The Express Tribune, 6 October 2022
That curse which has afflicted our body politic deeply and adversely continues to this day…IK was swept/guided to power under similar hopes after the failure of the tested and tried cabal of corrupt dynasts. Midway through his maiden innings, these hopes seemed dashed. However, this stand was resurrected like never before. Empirical evidence aside, IK the idol is seen as an underdog wronged under foreign pressure, with its own people in cahoots. And that energizes mainstream Pakistan and a substantial number of fence-sitters. Irrespective of the hard realities, this narrative sells and sells well.

Imran Jan, Ad hoc morality
The Express Tribune, 6 October 2022
 The Biden administration broke the news to the US lawmakers that he was nearing a formalised agreement with Pakistan where the US armed drones would use Pakistani airspace to make attacks on the soil of Afghanistan. Pakistan objects to Israel attacking a foreign soil and innocent and helpless Palestinian people but it would happily facilitate attacks on another foreign land where innocent and helpless people would be killed.

Nawal Aamir Khan, Victim blaming now ingrained in our culture
The Express Tribune, 6 October 2022
For women in Pakistan, victim-blaming is the only thing that awaits you after you have been subjected to a crime. Noor Mukaddam’s case taught women, that even in death, they are not safe from character assassination and victim-blaming. The most repeated question asked by victim-blamers is why the victim did not report the crime immediately. The answer lies in the question itself, and the collective behaviour of society that it represents — the victim is always in the fear of being doubted, of not being believed in. For women, Pakistan has always been a land of non-believers.

In Brief
INTERNAL
Imran Khan sets a Long March date in October 
On 3 October, Imran Khan hinted at the ensuing PTI’s long-awaited march to Islamabad in the third week of October. Conveying this message in a meeting attended by district presidents and various wings of his party, he coordinated his members to ensure complete participation of the people and asked them to consider “jihad” as “real freedom”. Questioning his party workers of their plans in the Long March, he urged them to work harder for National and Punjab Assembly seats for October 16. Assuring Imran Khan of their loyalty, party officials promised full efforts in their preparations as well. Imran Khan stressed that success in Punjab is crucial to save the provincial government and directed arrangements at the upcoming by-elections before the Long March. (Saqib Virk, “PTI’s much-awaited long march likely in October,” The Express Tribune, 4 October 2022) 

Imran Khan reminds spy agencies that security is key, not ‘political engineering’ 
On 3 October, Imran Khan condemned Pakistan’s intelligence agencies over the recent controversies involving audio clip leaks featuring conversations of previous high-level and important government officials. Criticising their priorities and calling these audio leaks a “serious security lapse” on the hands of the intelligence agencies, Imran Khan did not falter behind on reminding the primary responsibility of these agencies is the security and protection of the country. The controversies surrounding the audio leaks have emanated from important government officials, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Imran Khan. Saying that these audio leaks would lead to a serious security threat which would be deemed useful for “hostile foreign elements”, Imran Khan questioned the priority of security agencies and asked for solutions for this information breach. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, however, also termed the leak as a lapse in and has probed a committee in investigating the matter.  

Ahead of his party’s upcoming Long March in Islamabad, Imran Khan has expressed his fear of being watched and tapped, and said that his plans are discussed at length with only a few of his close aides. Imran Khan has planned for the commencement of the ‘Haqeeqi Azadi March’ in Islamabad later in October. (“Main task of spy agencies is security, not ‘political engineering’: Imran,” The Express Tribune, 4 October 2022) 

Marriyum Aurangzeb backs national institutions, and calls them “guardians of national security” 
On 3 October, Minister for Information and Broadcasting Marriyum Aurangzeb defended Pakistan’s national agencies and said that the state’s institutions refused to bring Imran Khan back to the ruling power, citing that his politics was based on “crutches”. Defending against claims of these agencies being “personal guards” and “watchmen”, Marriyum communicated that the country would not forgive “the foreign agent, conspirator and liar.” Claiming that Imran Khan had toyed with the country’s security and the constitutional oath, Marriyum defended Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s efforts to rehabilitate Pakistan’s devastated areas. Citing that the ruling government were making collective efforts to provide relief to the flood victims, Marriyum expressed gratitude to the countries who are helping Pakistan in its rehabiliation. Lauding Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif for his participation in the SCO Summit and his recent visits in the US and Uzbekistan, Marriyum extended her support to the government by consistently pointing out Imran Khan’s audio clip controversy, calling him a “loser” and a “liar.” She also alleged that Imran Khan had ridiculed the country and fooled its people. She added that Imran Khan was lying about his position in the audio leak controversy, and called him out on his political motives. (“Marriyum defends state institutions,” The Express Tribune, 4 October 2022.) 

Pakistan's economy heading toward a slowdown  
On 3 October, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development warned that Pakistan’s economy is heading towards a slowdown. As outlined in the UN Trade and Development Report 2022, the economy has suffered due to massive amounts of debt, dwindling foreign exchange reserves and the devastation caused by the floods to infrastructure and livelihood. There was a special mention regarding the consequences of the floods where it was seen as a trap that developing countries fall into whenever there is a climate calamity. While Pakistan’s economy bounced back from pandemic-related contraction, the growth rate is expected to stagnate or even slowdown in 2022. This is aligned with a global slowdown caused by high inflation, rising food prices, massive balance of payment deficit and restricted energy utilisation. Pakistan is in talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to provide an injection to pull its economy from this slowdown. (Amin Ahmed, “Pakistan’s economy ‘expected to slow down’ amid global downturn,” Dawn, 4 October 2022) 

Pakistan can be a beneficiary of a US decision to make Russian oil available 
On 3 October, a State Department spokesperson reported that Pakistan could benefit out of a US led decision to maintain the availability of Russian oil in the market to lower and middle –income countries. They said that this easement should be considered carefully in terms of easing the sanctions on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine earlier this year. Deliberating that other countries would have to make their own decisions with regard to their energy imports and requirements, the spokesperson remembered that while the US’s ban on Russian imports continue, they have also issued licensing, authorised transactions in energy with sanctioned entities to carry on. Calling the coalition of the G7 countries as a move that could broaden relations, the spokesperson pointed out that the US had issued introductory guidance on ban on martime transportation services of Russian oil and petroleum products. The spokesperson also recalled that Pakistan’s position as a strong energy producer enabled US’s ability to ban oil, LNG, and coal imports from Russia. (Anwar Iqbal, “Pakistan can benefit from US ‘relaxation’ on Russia oil,” Dawn, 4 October 2022.)

ENERGY
Tight market conditions hamper any long-term LNG contract for Pakistan
On 3 October, state-run Pakistan LNG Limited (PLL) announced that it failed to attract any bidder for a total of 72 LNG cargos, after a month-long extension, of a long-term contract because of tight international market conditions. No bidder came back with a bid for either slot, indicating LNG was not available in the spot market as Europe booked all surplus cargos to make up for its energy shortages arising out of the blockade of Russian gas supplies. Meanwhile, due of Nordstream disruptions, Germany is in the advanced stages of development of at least four floating LNG terminals on war footing and has been booking longer-term contracts in the Middle East at record prices touching USD 40 per million British thermal unit (mmBtu). Because of LNG shortages, the government has not been able to run its most efficient LNG-based power plants of almost 5000mw to full capacity and instead of relying on load shedding amid unaffordable imported furnace oil and coal-based projects. (Khaleeq Kiani, “LNG tenders fail to fetch bidders,” Dawn, 4 October 2022)
 
ON PAKISTAN-OCCUPIED KASHMIR
Face-off in assembly triggers protests on streets
On 3 October, an altercation happened between Law Minister Sardar Faheem Akhtar Rabbani and former premier Raja Farooq Haider in the legislative assembly of Pakistan Occupied Kashmir, the news of the scuffle became viral on social media. PML-N workers, mostly from the tribe of Mr Haider, took to the streets to protest. They blocked roads at many points by burning tyres and placing other obstacles causing a great deal of inconvenience to the general public. The law minister later apologized. When legislators from both sides were heading to the President's House to attend a luncheon reception hosted by acting president Chaudhry Anwarul Haq in the honour of visiting US Ambassador Donald Blome, reporters asked Mr Haider if he had forgiven the law minister. He said at the time that the combined opposition would take a decision to this effect.

ECONOMY
Policy commitments made by Pakistan continue to apply: IMF
On 3 October, International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) resident representative in Islamabad Esther Perez Ruiz in an interview with Reuters said, “Policy commitments made by the Pakistani authorities as part of the seventh and eighth reviews under their IMF-support programme continue to apply.” The response was in the background of the recent freezing of the petroleum development levy by the new finance administration under Ishaq Dar. Dar said imposing additional levies was not justified as the country struggled with catastrophic floods that have killed more than 1,600 people and inflicted at least USD 30 billion in damages. He said, “Maybe Miftah sahab was comfortable (in burdening the public). But I’ve been dealing with the IMF for 25 years. I’m the only humble person who’s completed an IMF programme. Miftah sahab or anyone else sho­uldn’t worry… it’s betw­e­en me and the IMF.” (“Policy commitments made by Pakistan continue to apply: IMF,” Dawn, 4 October 2022)
 
PKR will come below 200 level viz a viz USD, says Finance Minister
On 3 October, Finance Minister Miftah Ismail suggested that rupee would be strengthened through government “policies” as the current rate was inflated due to speculation. He said, “The rupee’s real value is below 200 (to $1), and, God willing, it will come below 200 (rupees).” The minister has favoured intervention in currency markets in the past. Since Dar took over, the rupee has strengthened. According to central bank figures, Pakistan currently has just USD 8 billion in reserves, barely covering a month of imports, making market intervention through currency injections difficult. (“Rupee to come below 200: Dar,” Business Recorder, 4 October 2022) 

Arifa Noor, No saviours in sight
Dawn, 4 October 2022
Floods an impending retirement and a new finance minister — yet little seems settled…Sadly, what we are scared of asking is that even if this imbalance were to magically fix itself — as magically as the dollar is climbing down — our victorious politicians would have no solutions or the stomach to implement existing solutions to get the economy on the right track.

Anjum Altaf, Flood of questions
Dawn, 4 October 2022
What we need is an economic model empathetic to the needs of the poor and centred around their welfare; an economy that creates employment for them and increases their incomes so that they can invest in themselves to reduce their vulnerabilities. By way of a pictorial analogy, we need a model that prioritises footpaths not signal-free corridors. A model obsessed with real estate and dependent on IMF bailouts and global charity will not allow us to move in that direction.

Editorial, Cipher inquiry
Dawn, 4 October 2022
One hopes that the government has not felt compelled to announce it under pressure from the PML-N’s Nawaz camp. It is best for this matter to be resolved by a neutral arbiter so that its findings cannot be impeached on political grounds. The PTI has already asked for the Supreme Court to look into the matter. Maybe the government should also consider approaching the same forum if it is confident of its stance.

Aasiya Riaz, Welcome to a season of leaks
The News International, 4 October 2022
The most important questions are: how were these conversations recorded and by whom and why and how have these surfaced on social media or leaked?...It is surprising that the federal government has not blamed any foreign hand in the illegal bugging of the PM House – something that has been apparently going on for quite some time. In fact, no one has been blamed and no possible suspects named or identified.

Editorial, Cipher probe
The Express Tribune, 4 October 2022
Further supporting the fact that even Imran did not think this amounted to a conspiracy against him is that he did not want the US named by any of his government and party’s mouthpieces. This is because he probably thought the relationship with the US could still be salvaged — after all, Imran probably believes he knows the US better than Joe Biden. Unfortunately, it appears the former premier still doesn’t know the magnitude of the crime he stands accused of.

Editorial, Further delay?
Dawn, 4 October 2022
As for Punjab, the PTI-PML-Q combine that rules the province, and the governor, who represents the PML-N government at the centre, should not make the LG polls a political football, to be kicked around indefinitely to the detriment of the people’s welfare. Lack of an elected third tier is patently unconstitutional as it deprives people of the basic right to choose their local representatives.

Editorial, Lucky times
The News International, 4 October 2022
With Maryam getting her passport back, Ishaq Dar back in the finance ministry, rumours of a possible Nawaz return – the PML-N's fortunes are a far cry from what they were just a few months back. The question on everyone's minds now is: will Maryam be returning to London? More importantly, will it be a visit to see her father and bring him back or is there that eternal 'deal' – worked out to keep father and daughter away from politics and in London for an indefinite time?

Editorial, Disappointing series
The News International, 4 October 2022
They will need to quickly cover their bases otherwise Pakistan will have little hope of winning back the T20 World Cup for the first time since their title-winning triumph in 2009 in England. A word to Pakistani spectators though: no matter the disappointment, bullying and hackling must never be part of a sport.

Muhammad Hamid Zaman, Towards an inclusive dialogue
The Express Tribune, 4 October 2022
Above all, we need to make sure to move away from purely academic and distant discussions of our issues, and move towards an inclusive dialogue. These may seem like a tall order, and perhaps they are. But not because these discussions are impossible to convene, but because there is little interest among our politicians and media in anything beyond who is listening to whom in the PM Office.

Dr Rana Jawad Asghar, Nepra and bureaucracy — stuck in the past
The Express Tribune, 4 October 2022
Lack of strategic thinking from Nepra leadership could hinder solar expansion in Pakistan. One wonders if they are thinking about the future of people of Pakistan or for IPPs (commercial) of the past era. Technology will make their organisations and positions redundant, in due time but this delay will cost Pakistanis dear.

Faisal Ali Raja, Women in CT
The Express Tribune, 4 October 2022
Though a natural calamity like flash floods causes havoc with human life and property, the extremists also see it as an opportunity for recruitment and radicalise people on multiple grounds. It is therefore important that our CT forces should reach out to the local people to gain their confidence for enhanced social capital. The success in such an endeavour may be augmented if female CT staff is properly employed in the field.

Dr Niaz Murtaza, Transgender rights
Dawn, 4 October 2022
Transgender people suffer due to no fault of theirs and so deserve our support and respect. One hopes their partial rights to self-choice sans physical tests survive the anti-act drive and more rights accrue too.